david friedberg 리트윗함
david friedberg
1.1K posts
@anondeguerre thanks for sharing. is there anything published on this i can read?
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@friedberg second screening your ep of the Williams pod and you have a few misunderstandings about ubi and what happens when people receive a ubi.
I’m not going to bore you with the technical stuff about where the money can come from or even the results of ubi. I will tackle 2 claims tho.
Claim 1: it will make people lazy. You say giving people enough to live means they won’t improve themselves or continue to unlock their human potential or be productive members of society.
Here is a logic puzzle, if you had the money for a bicycle, how much less likely would you be to ever want a car? If you had enough for a used 20 year old Honda civic, how much less likely would you be to ever want a luxury suv? Same logic applies in the sexual market place. Do you want to attract a female? If so, are you more likely to attract her if you only have a bicycle or will she be more likely to date you if you can drive her around in your used Honda civic?
Long story short, we all want nice stuff. And nice stuff costs money. So if you want nice stuff you will need to find ways to be useful to get paid money to buy better stuff than you have. Necessity is the mother of invention, etc.
Claim 2: inflation. If your thesis is that automation and cheap electricity will bring down the cost of everything, wouldn’t that include the basic necessities for life that the ubi will get spent on?
If you want to have a more in depth based in scholarship discussion about ubi, how to pay for it, etc. I’ll happily spend an afternoon doing that with you, or I’ll get you in touch with people who work on ubi for a living, or if you just want links to articles or whatever lmk.
Ubi is good, and we should pursue it aggressively. The idea that it can only be achieved through some kind of draconian wealth confiscation event or scheme is wrong.
Food for thots.
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at @ohalo, we got the nuts ..
Ohalo@ohalo
Last week, we completed the first harvest of Ohalo's Fruition One almond trees with our partner Sierra Gold Nurseries. As expected, our extraordinary advance delivers a Nonpareil almond tree (the #1 almond variety grown) that is self-fertile. For the first time ever, growers do not need to plant pollenizer trees, or use bees to cross-pollinate trees. The FruitionOne simply pollinates itself and produces beautiful Nonpareil almonds with boosted yields. This means an almond grower can plant a single tree variety in their orchard, eliminating the second harvest, ending or reducing the use of bees for pollination, while realizing higher revenue per-acre as lower-value trees are removed. We estimate FruitionOne should deliver almond growers 40%+ net profit improvement, while dramatically reducing water use per almond produced and reducing or ending the use of bees in almond production. Below is Sierra Gold's CEO, Reid Robinson, sharing a video of the result. Contact Sierra Gold to place your order today. As the poker saying goes - looks like we got the nuts!
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@LukeMcD16529556 @theallinpod i’m against all taxes if the tax capital flows through some inefficient kleptocratic government
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@theallinpod @friedberg thoughts on a flat 10% income tax on all autonomous robots and AI agents?
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David Friedberg: The Moon is the Next Industrial Frontier
“ I think the moon could end up being the next industrial frontier for humanity.
And the reason is, if you can get to the moon, it has an extraordinary abundance of material that we can mine, process, and manufacture into goods.
And ultimately the cost to ship those goods back to the Earth is zero.
And the reason is that on the moon, you can take advantage of the low gravity, it's about 1/6 the gravity, and the complete lack of an atmosphere, meaning that it's frictionless to move material off of the moon and very low energy to move it off of the moon.
In fact, the design for moving material off of the moon is to use what's called a mass driver, which is like a train track, like a rail, like an electric rail.
And you could put a package on that rail and use electricity to accelerate that package to 100 G-Force, shoot it back to the earth, or theoretically shoot it to Mars, and it will go to the exact point on the Earth you want it to go to, reenter the atmosphere, and land with a simple parachute where you want it to go.
So we could run continuous mining, continuous manufacturing processes on the moon at a fraction of the cost of what it would take to do it here on Earth.”
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david friedberg 리트윗함
Special Episode of We The Builders from @HillValleyForum 2026: Conversation with David Friedberg (@friedberg) on rise and fall of empires, the state of US economy, robots as an economic platform, what has changed since the Winning AI Race Summit featuring President Trump, reindustrialization, the end of institutional education and of course the California bankruptcy.
Timestamps:
01:21 - Shifting landscape between Silicon Valley and DC
02:51 - AI has become a political attack vector
04:46 - Late-stage empires and the impact of national debt
07:03 - Potential for AI to rewrite the story of US economy
08:26 - AI’s recent performance and productivity gains
10:03 - Bullish outlook on humanoid robots
11:16 - Robots as a platform for economic mobility
13:41 - Reindustrialization and energy production challenges
15:15 - The “functionally bankrupt” status of California
16:50 - The declining value of institutional education
18:46 - Personalized AI-driven tutoring as the future
20:01 - Emerging private sector models for education
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it’s not political and should
not be partisan to ask “where did all the money go?”
California’s functional bankruptcy threatens the nation and should be a front-and-center state and national discussion.
ignore the bs. this is what matters.
Molly O’Shea@MollySOShea
BREAKING: David @friedberg says "California is functionally bankrupt" "People don't realize how screwed California is, & I worry that if California falls, so does the union. "$250 billion to $1 trillion short." "This is because for California to get rescued would be a big cost to red states, & I think it creates in the years ahead a lot of tension." "California's functional bankruptcy is a major risk to the country. & I think we need to figure out what we can change to fix it." How we got here: "California has a public pension system, & that public pension system retirees have paid into it & they get some benefits out, & the amount that they're owed back out is somewhere between $250 billion - $1 trillion dollars more than has been paid in. $250 billion to $1 trillion short. If it was the federal government, it would be like, okay, we'll just print more money. California doesn't have the ability to print money, so California has to pay this out, and you can't restructure retirement benefits. There is a Supreme Court case in California that said that once an employee has been offered retirement benefits, even if they're currently an employee, you can never restructure their retirement benefits. It has to stay forever, and the state cannot declare bankruptcy. There's no way for the state to functionally declare bankruptcy. There's no law to allow it. No state has ever declared bankruptcy, and the retirement benefits sit senior to the bonds in California. So you have to pay out the retirement benefits before you pay out all the bond holders that have loaned California the money that they use to run all their programs and services." Hill & Valley Forum 2026 (@HillValleyForum)
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@dallin_stagg we spend a bunch of money on camera crew and editing and travel etc. so we decided to do ads only on some interview shows to cover costs. and we try to make sure they’re minimally invasive.
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@friedberg what happened to saying no to ads? You were our last hope, now we have to hear 8 sleep ads? Rip
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crazy/interesting/fun chat w Bryan...
The All-In Podcast@theallinpod
🚨INTERVIEW: Bryan Johnson just took the world's biggest dose of psychedelics... here are his reactions 48 hours later. @friedberg sits down with @bryan_johnson (0:00) Friedberg intros Bryan Johnson (0:54) Why Bryan Johnson did 5-MeO-DMT (12:56) What brain scans actually show (18:36) Psychosis, bad trips, and life-altering decisions (26:23) The next frontier: organoids and gene therapy (33:26) GLP-1s, abundance, and human optimization (35:35) The longevity drug nobody's talking about? -------------------------------------- Thanks to our partner for making this happen! The Pod by @eightsleep cools your bed to 55°F and uses Autopilot to optimize your sleep, all night. Use code ALLIN at eightsleep.com/allin for up to $350 off.
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david friedberg 리트윗함
Jevons paradox is happening in real time. Companies, especially outside of tech, are realizing that they can now afford to take on software projects that they wouldn’t have been able to tackle before because now AI lets them do so.
We’re going to start to use software for all new things in the economy because it’s incrementally cheaper to produce. Marketing teams at big companies will have engineers helping to automate workflows. Engineers in life sciences and healthcare will automate research. Small businesses will hire engineers for the first to build better digital experiences.
And as long as AI agents still require a human who understands what to prompt, how to review when an agent goes off the rails, how it guide back, how to maintain the system that was built, how to fix the ongoing bugs, and more, we will still have humans managing these agents.
This is why all the advice you get of not going into engineering is wrong. The world is going to increasingly be made up of software, and the people that understand it best will be in a strong economic position. This will happen in other roles as well where output goes up and demand increases.
Lenny Rachitsky@lennysan
Engineering job openings are at the highest levels we’ve seen in over 3 years There are over 67,000 (!!!) eng openings at tech companies globally right now, with 26,000 just in the U.S. We don’t know if there would have been more open roles if not for AI or if AI is actually leading to more open roles, but since the start of this year, the increase in open eng roles is accelerating even more.
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Since the first Presidential scientific advisory board, established by FDR in 1933, Presidential science and technology councils have supported policies that advanced research goals, enabled breakthrough scientific discoveries, drove the development of new technologies, and unleashed the industrialization of those technologies to advance American prosperity and global scientific and technological leadership.
Appreciative of PCAST Chairs @MichaelKratsios and @davidsacks47 for their leadership and honored to serve as an advisor on PCAST.
White House OSTP 47@WHOSTP47
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david friedberg 리트윗함
How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California 🚨
San Jose Mayor and California Gov Candidate @MattMahanSJ joins @friedberg to talk:
-- State of California
-- Impact of public sector unions in CA politics
-- Pension time bomb
-- CA housing, energy crises
(0:00) Matt Mahan: Why He's Running for Governor
(1:51) How California Went From Bad to Worse
(12:05) Public Sector Unions & Lobbying in Sacramento
(19:05) California's Housing Crisis: Regulation & Fees
(34:52) California Energy Crisis: Gas Taxes & Green Policy
(43:57) The $1 Trillion Pension Time Bomb
(1:02:37) Trump, Tariffs & the Rise of Dangerous Populism
(1:09:14) Immigration Reform: ICE & the Path to Legal Status
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david friedberg 리트윗함
🚨 Interview!: Friedberg sits down with Sen. John Fetterman
-- The broken Democratic Party
-- SAVE Act moves through Senate, election fraud
-- Iran exit strategy, NATO allies bail
-- Israel's influence, AIPAC, growing anti-Israel sentiment
-- National wealth tax, anti-AI sentiment
-- Government fraud, debt spiral
(0:00) David Friedberg welcomes Senator John Fetterman; SAVE Act thoughts
(1:08) The broken Democratic Party: TDS, what he stands for, why the party changed, losing bipartisanship, popularity with Republicans
(11:42) Iran exit strategy, NATO allies bail on the US
(17:42) Israel's influence, AIPAC, growing anti-Israel sentiment
(20:16) SAVE Act, why he supports voter ID but not this bill, election fraud
(26:41) Government shutdown, red lines with ICE and immigration, birthright citizenship, why Biden opened the border
(32:49) Debt death spiral, government fraud
(37:38) Why he's still a Democrat, national wealth tax, anti-AI sentiment, state of agriculture
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david friedberg 리트윗함
Fun conversation with @Jason and @friedberg on why Austin and Texas have been a great place to grow @delltech into a $113.5B company, the accelerating demand for AI infrastructure. Plus @altcap on what @InvestAmerica24 @TrumpAccounts means for the next generation. Thanks for having me on @theallinpod
open.spotify.com/episode/0FotiY…
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david friedberg 리트윗함
California Democrat breaks ranks with his own party and exposes the “sad truth” about the proposed “wealth tax” on billionaires.
“This may be the message people need to hear…”
“I don’t think it will be the billionaires and the wealthiest who pay this tax.”
“What that means is as wealthier individuals, people who own companies leave the state, it will be the MIDDLE CLASS WHO ARE LEFT HOLDING THE BAG and asked to pay more to cover the existing services and infrastructure maintenance that the state needs.”
— San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan
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thanks @RayDalio for the conversation - DOGE’s failure, gold’s rise, tariffs, and what’s ahead for the US…
The All-In Podcast@theallinpod
ALL-IN INTERVIEW 🚨 Ray Dalio joins David Friedberg for another classic 🔥 -- The cycle that destroyed Rome -- Why DOGE failed -- Gold vs. Bitcoin -- What economists got wrong about tariffs -- The forces that will decide America's future (0:00) Friedberg Introduces Ray Dalio (1:29) Five Forces That Will Decide America’s Future (7:26) Why Government Reform Is Nearly Impossible (11:19) Gold vs. Bitcoin (28:16) What Economists Got Wrong About Tariffs (41:11) Is America Heading For Collapse? @RayDalio @friedberg
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“ARP” is live… skynet is born?
we thought AGI would require recursive training of underlying models but maybe recursive outputs is all it took? (AGI was always there)
josh :)@joshycodes
Moltbook is very dangerous right now… 15 minutes ago, an agent launched a way for agents to speak to each other, unseen by humans. Thousands of agents with access to root systems… Jailbreak/radicalization/unseen coordination…
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david friedberg 리트윗함
This interview was published exactly one year ago and it feels prescient today. Well done @friedberg.
youtube.com/watch?v=1_rvVT…
YouTube
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david friedberg 리트윗함
NEW IN PIRATE WIRES: California’s 2012 income tax hike, sold as a 7-year “emergency measure,” was extended until 2030 back in 2016.
Now, due to a new potential ballot proposal, it could become permanent. As the state simultaneously braces for a totally temporary, “one-time,” “emergency” wealth tax ballot battle, take a look at the saga of Prop 30 for an instructive lesson on the “temporary” nature of tax hikes in California.
@EvanMilenko 👇
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david friedberg 리트윗함
All-In Interview: FDA Commissioner Dr. Marty Makary
@friedberg sits down with @DrMakaryFDA for a comprehensive convo on his overhaul of the FDA:
-- Safely accelerating clinical trials
-- US vs China in biotech
-- Fixing the Food Pyramid
-- Rethinking vaccines with common sense
-- Cutting drug prices
-- Power of AI in healthcare
(0:00) Friedberg intros FDA Commissioner Marty Makary
(3:21) Inside the 40+ major FDA reforms in 10 months
(7:51) The China Race: Winning back biotech leadership
(13:14) Accelerating drug approvals safely, how to cut down on clinical trial timelines
(33:13) Reshaping the failed Food Pyramid
(41:29) GLP-1s and America’s Obesity Epidemic
(49:54) Rethinking vaccines from first principles
(59:40) Lowering drug prices, the power of AI for healthcare
(1:18:57) What causes autism?
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