OneOpenSea

2.8K posts

OneOpenSea

OneOpenSea

@OneOpenSea

If you can't explain something in simple terms, you don't understand it. -Richard Feynman

가입일 Haziran 2022
281 팔로잉270 팔로워
OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
@ryanberckmans It's like Linux in the 2010s when it became the industry standard and generated enormous revenue opportunities for corporations, especially Cloud providers.
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@ryanberckmans·
Happy Friday, Ethereum. I've never been more confident in us since I arrived in 2018. Best is yet to come ❤️
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
@JavierBlas The psychology of emphasizing the desire to get oil is interesting...fewer venomous accusations that "it's just about oil!" 😂
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Javier Blas
Javier Blas@JavierBlas·
There was a time when the White House worked very hard to try to convince everyone that a war wasn’t about oil. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump is crystal clear it’s about oil.
Javier Blas tweet media
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BMNR MNAV Tracker
BMNR MNAV Tracker@BMNRTracker·
Just get your hands on 3,448 shares. $ETH at $20,000 would likely put $BMNR around $290 (1.60 mNAV). With 3,448 shares and $BMNR at $290, you will be a millionaire.
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
@AndreasSteno LNG is definitely disrupted long term. Long-term LNG disruptions typically lead to increased oil consumption. Many industrial facilities and power plants possess dual-fuel capabilities, allowing them to switch from natural gas to fuel oil. Oil prices need to reflect this.
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Andreas Steno Larsen
Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno·
Tomorrow, I am going to show that there is actually a path towards a fully recovered oil-flow in 4 weeks from now, even despite a situation where Trump doesn't really end the war, or where he leaves with solving the Strait. There is TOO much doom and gloom around in Oil markets
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BeegJJ
BeegJJ@BeegJj·
#5 - only 50% of the SPR were taken by the refiners - they would have to pay back the barrels with interest in the future - the refiners don't want to take on that risk - unprecedented catastrophe for energy supplied globally - the light sweet has a lower yield of distillates
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BeegJJ
BeegJJ@BeegJj·
#1 Paul Sankey, Sankey Research "Every single week now is a week of global shortage" - extreme physical stress - a cargo sold >$150 Brent today - tanker shortages - $10-$20 a barrel to move crude - 4 weeks to start & reach destination - going to see physical shortages in Asia
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
@VictoriaT_ History is full of examples of warfare successfully forcing negotiations
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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
IRAN’S MILITARY SPOKESPERSON SAYS: BIGGER, WIDER, AND MORE DAMAGING ATTACKS ARE COMING SOON: TASNIM #breaking
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
@The_AI_Investor Ukraine seems to be getting some business opportunities selling drones to oil producing countries Iran has attacked.
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The AI Investor
The AI Investor@The_AI_Investor·
“Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.” Russia and China do not need to “save” Iran to win. That is the ugly part of this war: even silence can be strategy. Russia wins if oil stays high, sanctions pressure weakens, and US attention shifts away from Ukraine. China wins if the US gets trapped in another Middle East quagmire while Beijing keeps securing discounted Iranian oil, with some of that trade settled in renminbi through China’s CIPS system instead of relying on Western financial rails.
The AI Investor@The_AI_Investor

Interesting that Putin and Xi have been relatively quiet about the Iran war. A few diplomatic statements calling for ceasefire, but nothing close to escalation. A classic strategic principle often attributed to Napoleon: “Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.” If the U.S. gets dragged deeper into another Middle East conflict: → Global attention shifts away from Ukraine → Oil prices rise, boosting Russian revenues → U.S. military bandwidth gets stretched → Washington focuses less on the Indo-Pacific Meanwhile China and Russia don’t need to fire a single shot. Of course, neither wants Iran to completely collapse, that would remove a useful geopolitical partner and risk chaos in global energy markets. It’s not hard to imagine Russia and China quietly helping Iran with intelligence and drone-related support, enough to keep the war going, but not enough to trigger direct confrontation.

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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
Some countries might align themselves more closely with China and transact more in the yuan, but it's subject to currency controls and lacks the deep liquidity of the dollar. So there isn't a strong alternative. If the dollar stablecoin market expands as expected it will drive more treasury purchases. At present 99% of stablecoins are dollar backed, and Europe doesn't seem to have the decisiveness to compete. Hard see the dollar displaced anytime soon.
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Dunkan Kassel
Dunkan Kassel@WildeFocker·
@OneOpenSea @MaMoMVPY Exactly, half of a century with a free money printing machine we sponsered. How do u think a country gets to have 32trillions in debt?. It was the base of a military alliance, that is why nobody complained because it was mutually beneficial. The moment that is gone, everything is
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Lars Christensen
Lars Christensen@MaMoMVPY·
Maybe it is time to once again remind everybody that running a global reserve currency necessitates that you have a lot of wealthy ALLIES willing to hold your Treasury bonds and your currency. If you piss off your allies they will not in the long run hold on to these assets and you will have to pay a lot more to fund your enormous public debt.
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
@WildeFocker @MaMoMVPY Yeah, 55 years ago. But even that was purely transactional. Point being dollar will be the reserve currency as long as it makes economic sense. Best house in a bad neighborhood.
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
@UnintendedCons5 Nukes set back a few years. Control of the artery...if they can control it, yeah, but there are 35 nations meeting in the UK tomorrow to address that. Let's see how long they can hold the tiger by the tail before you start declaring victory.
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Unintended Consequence
Unintended Consequence@UnintendedCons5·
@OneOpenSea It doesn't matter. Small replaceable potatoes vs control of the global energy artery plus nukes and sanctions. Trees vs forest etc...
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
Since the start of "Operation Epic Fury" on February 28, 2026, the U.S.-Israeli coalition has systematically dismantled Iran's ability to project power. From a strategic perspective—focused on regional stability and the neutralization of threats—the following military capabilities have been neutralized: Strategic Neutralization of Offensive Power * Missile & Drone Infrastructure: The core of Iran’s "deterrence" has been gutted. Over 190 ballistic missile launchers and dozens of production sites (including the Khojir and Shahroud complexes) have been destroyed. This effectively ends Iran's ability to conduct sustained, large-scale long-range strikes. * Naval Dominance: The Iranian Navy has been largely eliminated as a functional force, with approximately 150 vessels destroyed. This has significantly reduced their capacity for mine-laying or harassing international shipping in the Persian Gulf. * Air Superiority: Coalition forces have established near-total control of Iranian airspace. By destroying at least 12 major radar systems and numerous S-300/S-400 batteries, the coalition can now operate with impunity from western Iran to Tehran. Command and Proxy Degradation * Leadership Vacuum: The elimination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and top IRGC commanders in the initial wave has fractured the centralized command structure. The "command and control" network is now described by analysts as "massively degraded." * Proxy Isolation: Strategic strikes have severed the logistical "land bridge" to proxies like Hezbollah and militias in Iraq and Syria. Without the steady flow of Iranian-made drones and precision missiles, these groups are increasingly isolated and under-equipped. Nuclear Program Setbacks * Facility Damage: Key infrastructure at Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan, and Karaj has been hit. While technical knowledge remains, the physical machinery and hardened facilities required for near-weapons-grade enrichment have suffered catastrophic damage, pushing any potential "breakout" timeline back by years.
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Unintended Consequence
Unintended Consequence@UnintendedCons5·
@OneOpenSea Plus nukes, plus no sanctions Bombing a few thousands buildings? China can rebuild that in a year
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
This article by Max Weinbach argues that the most effective AI agent architecture consists of a high-intelligence cloud model acting as a central "orchestrator" that utilizes smaller, specialized models as tools. Despite earlier predictions, small local models (3–7B parameters) have not reached the reasoning capabilities of frontier models like GPT-5.4 or Claude Opus 4.6, leading to a persistent "capability gap." Key economic and structural insights include: * Sub-agents as Tools: Local or smaller open models (e.g., Nemotron 3 Super, gpt-oss-120b) are best suited for token-heavy "grunt work" like data collection, file searching, and privacy-sensitive tasks. * Token Economics: Large enterprises often pay 5–8x less than public API rates through "hush-hush" minimum-spend agreements and dedicated GPU deployments. * Enterprise vs. Consumer: Enterprises prioritize reliability and will likely stick to frontier cloud models to avoid the high "correction costs" of smaller models. Consumers may use local NPUs to stretch the value of their subscriptions. * Product Strategy: Companies like Apple and Google are expected to treat AI as a loss leader, bundling inference costs into high-margin hardware and services to drive ecosystem loyalty.
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OneOpenSea
OneOpenSea@OneOpenSea·
@fbeirao The war in Iran is only going to accelerate European dependence on Asian slave/wage slave labor for its green revolution.
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Francisco Beirão
Francisco Beirão@fbeirao·
Made-in-Europe Solar Is Far Pricier Than the Competition 🔆
Francisco Beirão tweet media
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