
My assessment: Trump has singlehandedly sown confusion inside the IRGC. Commanders were already eyeing each other, convinced that someone in the room was feeding their positions to American targeting lists, and nobody could figure out who (which was already the case during the 12-day war). Which is probably why Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, felt the need to go on record denying he had met with anyone at all, even as reports had him in Pakistan preparing to do precisely that. (axios.com/2026/03/23/tru…) Also, accusing Trump of fabricating the story to move oil markets is such a tell. Men who are winning don't feel the need to explain themselves. As I said in my previous assessment, they are in complete denial, mainly because they are all confused and have no idea who is talking to whom. Their chain of command is broken.



















