The(REAL)IntelFrog

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The(REAL)IntelFrog

The(REAL)IntelFrog

@TheIntelFrogbu

Backup to @TheIntelFrog - AvGeek and OSINT enthusiast | Providing real-time updates on military aircraft movements and breaking events

BeeTwo, USA 가입일 Mayıs 2026
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@star_excelsior The water around the ship is completely still. The ship is moving at the same speed as the water around it. I don't know if you've ever been on the water or to a beach, but the wind is almost never calm.
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Star Excelsior
Star Excelsior@star_excelsior·
@TheIntelFrogbu Either the wind is really high there or the ships are moving. The wakes aren’t that big but the direction the smoke is moving doesn’t lie.
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@maxxxmoin Yeah, not sure at all aside from the fact that neither vessel was moving at the time they were struck. The SEA STAR III had no signs of life before or after the strike.
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Max Moin
Max Moin@maxxxmoin·
@TheIntelFrogbu Maybe they didnt move to a desired path/along a desired path? Quite obvious they werent evading the blockade when attacked
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@justaguyactual1 Ensuring your paperwork is completed properly and accurately really speeds things up. Smaller jurisdictions tend to get things a little quicker because they don't have the expenses that a larger one does.
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justaguy
justaguy@justaguyactual1·
@TheIntelFrogbu Yeah I’ve heard different experiences, ours was pretty smooth and received our reimbursements pretty quick even through the shutdowns. I know a few counties over they are still trying to get reimbursements from the same event we had.
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
Ok... This is going to take some digesting. There are some VERY good ideas that have been necessary for a long time coming, but they're also recommending fundamental changes that will reduce both the number of folks eligible and the amount of federal assistance. Poll 👇👇👇
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu

The FEMA Review Council has released its final report. It recommends reforming and bolstering the agency in a transformation. Several recommendations will require congressional action. I'll break it down more in depth tomorrow.

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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@justaguyactual1 They are proposing speeding up the PA process, which would be welcome. I know some jurisdictions are 5+ years post event and are just beginning to receive FEMA reimbursements.
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justaguy
justaguy@justaguyactual1·
@TheIntelFrogbu Very true….from my personal experience I’ve only been involved with 3 federally declared disaster. There wasn’t a total loss in any 3 of those disasters, so my actual experience on that is based of those. 2 of those were Public assistance for damaged county roads not individuals
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@justaguyactual1 As it stands, survivors can receive up to $44,800 for housing and $44,800 for other needs assistance, which will not buy you a new home, but is infinitely better than what's being proposed.
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justaguy
justaguy@justaguyactual1·
@TheIntelFrogbu Assist with the loses. They will sometimes cover your deductible, or make up the difference if you are underinsured. That’s where the SBA comes in they can help if you’re denied by FEMA with a low interest loan. SBA also has a mitigation loan which is actually king of nice!
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
It's all fun and games until the OCEAN TRADER shows up.
MT Anderson@MT_Anderson

🚨SOC Mothership at Diego Garcia🚨 Sentinel 2 from May 7 reveals a highly significant arrival at NSF Diego Garcia 🔸Likely spot of Spec Ops Command (SOC) mothership, MV Ocean Trader, safely anchored inside the atoll. 🔸USNS Pililaau & an Arleigh Burke also in the lagoon. My last definitive spot was way back in Nov 2025 off the coast of Puerto Rico. I had a potential sighting on Apr 13 2026 in the Med approaching the Suez Canal. This spot in the Indian Ocean strongly validates that earlier track. When the Ocean Trader slides into theatre—much like what we saw with previous posturing around Venezuela—more complex operations tend to follow. Does her arrival indicate SOCOM elements are actively gearing up for the next phase? @sentdefender

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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@justaguyactual1 I did some napkin math and the assessed value of my home is a little less than 1/3 of the market value, so based on that, a payout from FEMA wouldn't cover 10% of my loss.
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justaguy
justaguy@justaguyactual1·
@TheIntelFrogbu Yes, I’ve been monitoring the council meetings but only through IEM.
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Sal Mercogliano (WGOW Shipping) 🚢⚓🐪🚒🏴‍☠️
Sal Mercogliano (WGOW Shipping) 🚢⚓🐪🚒🏴‍☠️@mercoglianos·
For those keeping a scorecard on Iranian tankers hit: 1⃣Hasna 2⃣Sea Star III 3⃣Sevda The ships were all in light condition, inbound to Iran. The video of the two latter ships show them to be moving fairly slow, as there is no appreciable wake or prop wash. Hasna was strafed with 20mm cannon. The video released by @CENTCOM shows Sea Star III hit at the base of the stack on the port side. The weapon penetrated into the superstructure and then a fire broke out. Sevda appears to be hit between the house and stack. Damage is split between the accommodation area of the house and the machinery/stack area.
U.S. Central Command@CENTCOM

x.com/i/article/2052…

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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@SmittysRants Some of it, like streamlining the funding streams, is great. Reducing IA to one lump sum based on the assessed valuation of your home and only allowing those whose homes have been destroyed to be eligible are going to be pain points I think.
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
The FEMA Review Council has released its final report. It recommends reforming and bolstering the agency in a transformation. Several recommendations will require congressional action. I'll break it down more in depth tomorrow.
The(REAL)IntelFrog tweet media
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justaguy
justaguy@justaguyactual1·
@TheIntelFrogbu As an emergency manager I’d be interested on your take.
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@heydyvex2 I do not currently, and I'm not sure if anyone else does at this time. There is a LOT going on.
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Arya 🇮🇷
Arya 🇮🇷@heydyvex2·
@TheIntelFrogbu Hey Intelfrog, do you any comprehensive report of asset movements during the ceasefire like you and others did just before the epic fury and movement of special ops few weeks ago? I feel like we (or I) are somehow blind of things being moved.
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
Notice that there is no visible wake from either ship prior to being struck, indicating they were stationary at the time. There doesn't appear to be any movement on the SEA STAR III before or after the strike. On the Sevda, it appears that just prior to the strike, at least 2 personnel were moving on the deck towards the bow. Post strike, they appear to hasten their movement in that same direction.
OSINTdefender@sentdefender

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced that earlier today U.S. forces disabled two vessels, the M/T Sea Star III and M/T Sevda, earlier today in the Gulf of Oman in support of the naval blockade of Iran.

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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
@airsuperiorx Because it's happening whether you like it or not, just like the life extension of the best CAS aircraft ever developed in the A-10. Get used to it.
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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
Current status:
The(REAL)IntelFrog tweet media
OSINTdefender@sentdefender

The U.S. Department of War has published War.Gov/UFO to release "never before seen" government documents relating to "Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) as part of the Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters (PURSUE)" program. The website will contain records from the White House, Department of War (DoW), Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), the Department of Energy (DoE), and the National Aeronautics and Atmospheric Administration (NASA).

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The(REAL)IntelFrog
The(REAL)IntelFrog@TheIntelFrogbu·
Iranian ships have been circumventing the blockade by utilizing Pakistani territorial waters that are off limits to US Navy ships enforcing the blockade without the permission of Pakistan.
TankerTrackers.com, Inc.@TankerTrackers

Over the past two days, three cargo-empty National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) tankers have infiltrated the US Navy blockade line after making their way back to Iran via the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) of Pakistan. Combined, these three tankers are capable of carrying 5 million barrels of Iranian crude oil. CONFIRMED: Two of the three tankers were sighted on satellite imagery whereas (UNCONFIRMED) a third appeared last night (2026-05-07) on AIS off the coast of Shinas, Oman; some 254 nautical miles (470km) west of the blockade line. Her name is HASNA (9212917). Please note that we still await visual confirmation of HASNA. The identities of the other two visually-identified tankers have been shared with our clients. According to US CENTCOM on 2026-05-06: "After Hasna’s crew failed to comply with repeated warnings, U.S. forces disabled the tanker’s rudder by firing several rounds from the 20mm cannon gun of a U.S. Navy F/A-18 Super Hornet launched from USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72). Hasna is no longer transiting to Iran." marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details… x.com/CENTCOM/status… #OOTT #IranWar #Tankers

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@star_excelsior @maxxxmoin @justaguyactual1 @mercoglianos @TankerTrackers @CENTCOM @SmittysRants @elonmusk