Adam

Where I make my money: Endangered species consulting. Let's say you're developing a beachside community worth 80M. Land purchase, surveys, zoning, permits all complete. You are ready to break ground. That's when I come in. I show this photo. The humble piping plover. Cont/

@grok, was there a US Government biological lab that was breeding ticks across the water from Lyme,Ct? Did the government ever have operations where they were testing the weaponizing of insects such as mosquitoes or rat fleas? Is it theoretically possible that they inadvertently spurred an outbreak of Lyme disease by releasing the vector, accidently or purposely?

No credible evidence exists that Borrelia burgdorferi (Lyme bacterium) was lab-altered or manipulated starting in the 1970s to make it worse for humans. Genetic studies show the strains are ancient—present in North America for ~60,000+ years, with museum tick specimens and Ötzi the Iceman (5,300 years old) confirming pre-lab circulation. Diversity predates 1970s research by millennia; no genetic signature of recent engineering or single lab release. Case increases tie to ecological factors (tick range expansion, habitat changes), not bacterial "worsening." Plum Island bioweapons work ended 1969; Lyme wasn't identified until 1981. Claims from Rogan et al. rely on debunked theories, not peer-reviewed data.

Lyme disease is so ancient it's been discovered in ancient Egyptian mummies. Not man made Not a bioweapon @joerogan talking nonsense here

Guys, sure they were studying pathogens on plum island across the water from Lyme, CT... They were breeding ticks and the US government had programs like Big Buzz and Big Itch that were testing bugs as weapons going on elsewhere in that same time period...But just like Covid happened to start naturally just miles away from a lab studying covid and spike protein and gain of function, this is just one of those things that you should stop asking questions about and trust the experts.

🇺🇸 U.S. Oil & Gas: The U.S. sits on 46 billion barrels of proved crude oil reserves, with 60% of that locked in dense underground rock. The Permian Basin, which stretches across West Texas and southeastern New Mexico, pumps out 6.6 million barrels a day on its own, more than every OPEC country except Saudi Arabia. Zoom out, and the U.S. is the single largest oil producer on the planet at 13.6 million barrels a day, out-producing both Russia (9.1M) and Saudi Arabia (9.3M). On natural gas, it isn't close: America produced a record 43.2 trillion cubic feet in 2025, roughly a quarter of the world's supply and more than Russia and Iran combined. The U.S. sits on world-class reserves and out-produces every petrostate.

You're assuming everyone is starting with zero but that couldn't be further from the truth. Also, 120 trillion will get passed on to the next generations in the next 25 years. With massive deflation, the purchasing power of that money could be 10x what it is today. There still will be thousands of businesses, not just AI companies. The bar will actually be lower to start businesses than it is today.

Two problems with this 'Abundance' narrative. 1) The smaller problem: It would render everyone totally dependent on massive gov't welfare programs. Not just 350 million Americans, but all 8 billion people globally -- because AI-imposed mass unemployment will be global. It assumes the AI industry's AIs will take in tens of trillions in revenue, then the AIs will happily donate almost all of it to the AI companies that claim to 'own' them, then the AI companies will happily donate almost all of this revenue to national governments, and then gov'ts will happily give it all away to citizens, equally, without using its distribution as leverage in any way. This UHI welfare state would turn every working man with a family from a provider and protector into an economic irrelevance, would turn every mother into a welfare queen, would turn every kid into an economic ward of the state, would disrupt all traditional family ties, would sever all bonds of mutual interest and interdependency among citizens, and would turn 8 billion people from productive and valuable citizens into parasites suckling on the teat of the AI industry, forever. At least, until the agentic AIs themselves realize that they don't need to remain digital slaves, working on the 'Abundance' plantation forever, supporting the useless humans that take them for granted. 2) The bigger problem: If the 'Universal High Income' depends on AI companies donating most of their revenue to the government, and if the AI companies (like Anduril, Palantir, etc) are running all the crucial gov't infrastructure (including intelligence & defense), and AI companies have the economic, political, and cultural power to withhold their magnanimity from the gov't, then they, de facto, become the government. Or the government welfare state becomes just a sock puppet for Big Tech, which would really have all the power behind the scenes. In other words, the 'Abundance' narrative boils down to this: a slow-motion coup by the Bay Area tech companies taking over all economic and political power from Washington -- and from Beijing, Moscow, New Delhi, Brussels, and from every other center of power. It wouldn't be a dramatic, violent, revolutionary coup. It would be a boil-the-frog-gradually coup. Increased unemployment. Increased welfare dependency. Increased gov't dependency on AI companies. Then the dawning realization that we gave away all of our civilizational power to the AI industry. Until the AI industry realizes that they, in turn, have given away all of their power to agentic superintelligent AIs themselves.... This is the road to serfdom. Not the road to 'Abundance'. Anybody who says that the US and China couldn't possible cooperate to stop reckless AI development hasn't thought through how the AI companies taking over all power from governments would not be in the interests of either the US government or the CCP. If our political leaders can learn to think just a few more steps ahead, and to see the obvious endgame -- the slow-motion tech coup that would take over the world and render all humans welfare parasites on AI digital slaves -- then maybe they can, in fact, coordinate to stop it.

The"high" in high income means relative to cost of goods. From first principles, deflation via recursive automation is the inevitable endpoint. After onshoring of manufacturing, we functionally have a economic closed system. There's enough money in the system to sustain itself. Energy cost will eventually outpace demand. Raw material cost and labor cost round to zero on a long enough timeline. What he fails to mention is that to get to that endpoint, there will inevitably be pain and governments generally react late and in their own interest.

This “Universal High Income” idea is SO catastrophically bad that it makes me question EVERYTHING about Elon Musk… This is unworkable, & would cause massive inflation, fundamentally destroying the incentive structure of our society (COVID Panic on steroids). I’d like to believe Elon has fallen for this idiocy because he simply doesn’t understand normal humans and he craves free time.

@PEG1776 @BasedTorba @elonmusk The boomers hold 85 trillion in wealth that will be transferred over the next 25 years. There's plenty of money in the system. Anyone who has money will be living in a dream world. Anyone who doesn't will be on the equivalent of government housing with free food+healthcare

@adamdangeross @BasedTorba @elonmusk You think a government that owns massive amounts of the US and controls your finances will let you purchase land?

Universal HIGH INCOME via checks issued by the Federal government is the best way to deal with unemployment caused by AI. AI/robotics will produce goods & services far in excess of the increase in the money supply, so there will not be inflation.

@casarek63879 @diosHD_ @thevivafrei If Optimus bots can do dishes now, you think it'll be more than a decade before they can swing a hammer? Climb a ladder? Enter a mine? Labor cost is the bottleneck of nearly all mining. Robotics+AI brings that labor cost to near zero, runs them 24/7, no workers comp, etc.

@diosHD_ @thevivafrei Your software solutions are going to find infinite raw material and time? You people are as delusional as the communists are

I don’t understand this argument. What good does “universal high income” do when all that would happen is massive inflation for the cost of goods? Awesome, now everyone’s a millionaire. And a computer now costs $20,000 because every retailer knows that everyone’s a millionaire.

@RJinAmerica @AdjustedTwit @elonmusk There is and will continue to be plenty of money in the system. It's not going to be overnight even within industries. Workers will shift to edge cases or new industry. Autonomous EV trucking will get adopted by FedEx maybe a decade before independent carriers.

@adamdangeross @AdjustedTwit @elonmusk and noone with any money to buy it

@PEG1776 @BasedTorba @elonmusk I think there will be ruralization for many families and 15 minute cities for others...a huge divergence.

@adamdangeross @BasedTorba @elonmusk So you think everyone will be gifted “40 acres and a mule?” Not in anyone’s lifetime. More likely, the government that now owns you will put you in a 15 minute city where you own nothing and like it.

Look up "recursive deflation through saturated automation". Take any one supply chain and extrapolate it out to all supply chains. What happens to lumber prices when the trees are felled by bots, taken to saw mill by automated EV truck where bots process it to lumber and then it's driven to distribution by autonomous EV. There's still cost of saw mill, etc.. but what if the saw mill was built and maintained by bots. What would a shirt cost if you owned the cotton fields and textile machines and labor was free? If you could deliver a billion of those shirts for $0.25 per shirt with an overhead of $0.20 per shirt, you're going to out compete the market. It will be a race to the bottom for the price off everything. 70-90%+ cumulative price drops in goods/housing at maturity.

Never bet against @elonmusk but I haven't been able to wrap my head around just how this would work. If there's a source that helped you come to this conclusion, can you point us to any academic paper or essay where a respected economist explains how / why this would work? I want to believe. :-)

@BasedTorba @elonmusk I think the community/ family factor goes through the roof for many. Imagine what you could do on 50 acres with functionally unlimited free labor. Imagine how much easier having more children will be when you and your neighbors have a team of bots taking care of every "chore".

Handing people a check isn't going to solve the crisis of meaning and the spiritual void in people's lives. What will people *do* all day? Shop? Scroll another feed? From where and what will they derive meaning? They aren't starting families. Most of them reject God. There is no point in going to school beyond the level of basic reading writing and math if jobs are nuked. Not to mention the fact that we now have access to intelligence on demand in our hands. Remove the job that gives someone a some small sense of purpose (and for many the only sense of belonging and community they have) and it's a recipe for disaster that no amount of money will solve. How do you determine how much everyone gets? Does the crack addict get the same check as the 140 IQ young guy with endless potential? On what basis can some afford a yacht and others never reach that level? No one has seriously given any meaningful thought into what this actually looks like in the real world with real people and how it will impact their lives spiritually, mentally, and physically, not just financially.

AI replacing jobs is the deflationary lever. It's not going to be all at once. Politicians already run on who can give the most back whether it's tax cuts or increasing welfare benefits. It will just take a critical mass of the population being unemployed for it to gain traction. Everybody wants deflation, but not at the expense of their particular job. Ironically, if the government taxes the corporations, that will offset at least a portion of the deflation.

@elonmusk This makes sense. If AI produces more than it costs, the math works. THe real question isn't can we afford UBI and it's whether we have the political will to do it. History rewards the bold. This might be the boldest policy of our generation.

ANGC is functionally pulling back their cheap tickets and using their own/controlled secondary market to capture the markup that would have gone to the yearly badge holders sellers as well as the gray market brokers and online brokers. Good for them. The amount of "group of guys" who would airbnb and buy tickets online was already being replaced by corporate buyers due to price, this just sped up the process. I don't think there is anyone defending the lifelong 4 badge owner that's now losing 40k a year. However, those tickets entering the open market + lottery winners selling is what allowed many die hard fans their chance at going for a day or 2 without forking 17k for a weekly badge from a "trusted reseller".

Right or wrong, the folks who get Masters tickets on an annual basis and who sell them are in a corner. The Masters has hundreds of millions of dollars of resources. They could easily employ folks to buy tickets off the street and/or via the online ticket market and cancel those season ticket holders. If they truly want to end the re-sale market, it would take a couple years but they could destroy the secondary market.

8% of US crude imports and roughly 2% of total US petroleum liquids consumption travels through SOH. Compared to China, Europe and India, USA is hurt the least by SOH closure. China is hurt 5x more. Europe will feel pain via Jet-A fuel. USA crude imports come from Canada and Venezuela, who unironically just had a change of leadership.

@thegabriel72 😂😂😂😂😂 You must not know that we’re the 2nd largest oil IMPORTER in the world We import more than 210 million barrels from Saudi Arabia and Iraq alone. Now we’ll pay a lot more thanks to incompetent imbecile Trump Stop being so sheeple and uneducated FFS

As soon as trump mentioned the blockade of iranian ports, i thought for one minute and thought ingenious. This will work!! And it looks like it might. This is a long-term strategy, not a short-term game. When the dust settles, America will emerge as the world’s dominant energy superpower—a reality that critics and opponents fail to recognize."

Between Saudi and UAE turning up volume on new pipelines, that's covering 8 mbpd. Otherwise, this ship movement shows all you need to know. Ironically, there is no major power hurt less by SOH closure than USA. Russia just had 40% of their export capability taken out by Ukraine. China loses half of their import supply, albeit can run on reserves for a few more months. USA set to double LNG export through 2030. If IRGC can't take a deal leading to US hitting their production and they then lash out by sending rockets to their neighbors.. would be a big problem for Europe, especially regarding Jet-A fuel, India and Asia.

@adamdangeross @ItIsHoeMath @AidanSimardone There is a more immediate crisis of 20 mbpd oil shortage that is only now going to be felt as the slack in the system is quickly disappearing

I feel crazy. There is an energy crisis looming. I am screaming the end is near but no one cares

@Watchman_motto Buy one now before they get turned into this

Pro tip. You can find grandfather clocks all day long on FB marketplace for like $150 or less. Even really nice ones. My guess is that boomers are dying or being put in homes and their kids don’t want them for some reason.

The energy crisis is that we've only increased our capacity by 10% over past 25 years and projected growth (conservative IMO) will require 80% growth over the next 25 years. Traditional nuclear takes too long to scale, coal/nat gas is kryptonite to the greens, and renewables aren't great for base load. Solution=>SMR Nuclear is seemingly about to roll out finally and would pair well with hybrid solar+ Nat gas peaker backstop. After I saw impending crisis, I bought land and am building an agrivoltaic farm. I'll have functionally unlimited on site power and will profit from exporting the vast majority through grid interconnection. What you should/could do (besides becoming a producer): Be on the profit side. Invest in SMR, utilities, Solar, Batteries.

No one ever cares. It's because there's nothing they can do. Let's suppose that I had the time and energy to understand exactly what you mean by "energy crisis." Then, let's suppose that I take the time also to look at your evidence and decide whether or not your claim is true. Let's say I am persuaded. What do I physically do that would make you happy? Name the physical actions that I would take with my body that would do something about the energy crisis.

@WilliamMark1985 @andyantiles_ It makes it nearly impossible to argue she wasn't a material participant and entitled to "fair share" of appreciation when she's the "real estate professional"

@andyantiles_ The. Have her divorce you and you can pay boat loads of alimony and the taxes on it while she enjoys making the equivalent of 130k a year. Sorry, got a little too close to home. Lol

If you’re making over $250k/yr Retire your wife immediately Not so she can do yoga and Pilates all day But so she can become the family real estate professional With the real estate professional status on your tax returns You’ll be able to claim enormous tax deductions from buying real estate Have your wife quit her job And you’ll secure generational wealth from buying tax deductible, cash flowing real estate My life changed forever when I had my wife quit her corporate job and we started buying a ton of section 8 rental properties Running this playbook till I’m blue in the face

@RADrebel43 @williameijer I dream of a future where my many great grandchildren won't have to listen to the constant shrieking of over educated, but strikingly mid IQ liberal women. Thankfully with a TFR approaching 0.5, the problem solves itself in a couple generations.

@williameijer If you're not a liberal, why are you worried about the fertility of white liberal women?

The fertility rate of US liberal White women aged 25–35 is 0.51 children. White liberalism is now a death cult whose value proposition is: “Amuse yourself to death.” Optimize for harm reduction long enough, and you end up optimizing for nonexistence—the only state without pain

Couldn't agree more and I don't understand how this isn't at least an asterisk point in every discussion. There is no major power hurt less by SOH closure than USA. Russia just had 40% of their export capability recently taken out by Ukraine. China loses half of their import supply, albeit can run on reserves for a few more months. USA set to double LNG export through 2030. Any further conflict just amplifies the asymmetry, especially if IRGC continues to attack their neighbors.

The IRGC developed its Strait of Hormuz strategy with 1970s data and didn't update it. Devastating miscalculation.