capmike

2.2K posts

capmike

capmike

@capmike_

You are being used for votes. Politicians don't care about you. Shed the left/right-red/blue mentality. Seek answers and question everything.

LMAO 가입일 Haziran 2013
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Stu Langriv
Stu Langriv@stulangriv·
@KJVPopulist Every day I must mute a new account that gives attention to this obviously mentally ill person that I've blocked
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1611 Populist
1611 Populist@KJVPopulist·
I see evanlovesreddit is having a normal day
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@Munchausen23 @peterrhague We have video evidence that it didn't. So yes, we do know that. It's you buying into a conspiracy theory, not the people that believe in a moon landing.
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Baron Münchausen
Baron Münchausen@Munchausen23·
@peterrhague We don't know that. I'm not buying into the moon landing story. But you carry on, no issue if you subscribe to it.
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Peter Hague
Peter Hague@peterrhague·
Enough of this ignorant nonsense. Uninstructed sunlight is only about 50% more intense than what comes through the earth’s atmosphere on a sunny day, cameras can control the level of exposure, and the particle radiation levels on the Moon are not high to destroy the film.
Darren of Plymouth@DarrenPlymouth

The camera that took this picture, a Hasselblad, was not protected in any way from solar radiation. The moon unlike Earth is in direct intense sunlight as it has no atmosphere or magnetosphere. The Kodak film would have been destroyed… this picture could not have been taken on the moon.

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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@trevorbmbagency Does it really matter? I don't track Elon's tweets. I spent the last few days in between work staring at photos from Artemis 2 and any video content that NASA has released. I REALLY don't care and am very surprised that anyone does.
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Trevor Beattie
Trevor Beattie@trevorbmbagency·
@capmike_ I know. And I agree. Which is why I’m so surprised that the key player in the future Moon Escapades of Project Artemis has reduced his public comment to a cursory single word formulaic reply to a NASA post. Aren’t you?
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@Radios4Freedom @ThierryBorgeat I'll gladly take the hill on the SpaceX math. But I’ll give credit where it's due—that was a great trade, and that's a beautiful piece of land. Enjoy the off-grid life.
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Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭
Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭@ThierryBorgeat·
SpaceX IPO valuation: $2 trillion. P/E ratio: ~1,000x. For reference: At 1,000x earnings, if SpaceX grew earnings 30% per year — every year — it would take 27 years to grow into its valuation. At 50% earnings growth per year? Still 18 years. This isn't investing. It's a pledge of faith. SpaceX is extraordinary. The technology is real. Starlink is a genuine monopoly. But at these multiples, you are not buying the company. You are buying the dream. And dreams don't always compound.
Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭 tweet media
Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭@ThierryBorgeat

Something deeply uncomfortable is happening to the Nasdaq-100. SpaceX is targeting a $1.75 trillion IPO. Nasdaq wants the listing over NYSE. So Nasdaq is rewriting its own rulebook. Here's what they are proposing: 1️⃣ "Fast Entry" rule: any mega-cap IPO gets added to the index after just 15 trading days — bypassing all standard seasoning and liquidity requirements. 2️⃣ A 5x multiplier for low-float stocks: if SpaceX floats just 5% of shares, passive funds are forced to buy as if it were weighted at 25% of total market cap — $438 billion of phantom weighting. The result? Tens of billions of price-insensitive passive dollars — your pension, your ETF, your QQQ — are legally mandated to buy SpaceX at whatever price it trades to on Day 15. Hedge funds will front-run this guaranteed bid aggressively. Then when the lock-up expires, insiders flood the market with shares — at the exact moment passive funds are again forced to buy more. "If you're playing a poker game and you look around the table and can't tell who the sucker is, it's you." The sucker is every passive investor in a Nasdaq ETF.

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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@agraybee You do realize that Artemis won't accomplish its goals in the next year with Artemis 3 unless Starship or Blue Moon don't accomplish their goals... right? NASA doesn't have a Human Landing System in development... they have contracts with Elon and Bezos to develop it for them.
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@Radios4Freedom @ThierryBorgeat Yes, Wall Street famously loves buying into IPOs for companies that are going bankrupt lmao. Sorry you closed out your Tesla position 5 years ago... Would have been up roughly $140/share if you hadn't. I'm not investing, so I don't really give a shit.
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The OFF-GRIDiot
The OFF-GRIDiot@Radios4Freedom·
@capmike_ @ThierryBorgeat It's crystal ball future guesswork with a shirt n' tie. And even 5 years after i closed my portfolio to TSLA, the P/E is retarded and Tesla is going broke. Elon is downsizing and SpaceX is broke too, or he'd never IPO it. He doesn't blow up his own money, he uses yours.🤣
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@Radios4Freedom @ThierryBorgeat You are confusing Market Cap with Operating Revenue. Stock price ≠ operating capital. SpaceX keeps the lights on by selling launches and Starlink subs, not by selling stock to pay the electric bill. With a 50% profit margin, they have zero to worry about.
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The OFF-GRIDiot
The OFF-GRIDiot@Radios4Freedom·
@capmike_ @ThierryBorgeat 2/2 If they don't make that type of cash, investors pull out and no more operating capital for SpaceX and the lights go out. YES they HAVE to make that money.
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@Radios4Freedom @ThierryBorgeat IPO valuations aren't "crystal ball fantasies," it's called forward P/E. And "they just have Starlink"? Ya, like Amazon "just" has AWS. It's vertical integration, launching their own satellites to propel their golden goose into orbit for pennies on the dollar.
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The OFF-GRIDiot
The OFF-GRIDiot@Radios4Freedom·
@capmike_ @ThierryBorgeat And u just said it....BASED on crystal ball FANTASY. SpaceX has NOTHING to back up that valuation to investors. They have Starlink, and 2 out of 10 falcon launches are commercial income, the rest are just working overtime to keep the internet company operational.
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@Radios4Freedom @ThierryBorgeat Do you think a $2T company has to make that amount back in 5 years in cash? Investors pay premiums for monopolies (yes, a monopoly in the next 5 years at least) with a 50% profit margin. The $2T is a TARGET valuation based on future earnings. Basic market mechanics.
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The OFF-GRIDiot
The OFF-GRIDiot@Radios4Freedom·
@capmike_ @ThierryBorgeat You are just being desperate. It's ridiculous in ANY theatre with ANY math or copium. Ask yourself, how much does SpaceX have to make to cover that valuation in 5 years?
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Finance Jack
Finance Jack@FinanceJack44·
Let's do some math here: SpaceX did ~$16 billion in revenue last year. If SpaceX IPOs at $2 Trillion that would put it at a P/S of 125... If you buy in to this IPO you are exit liquidity. Plain and simple.
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@Radios4Freedom @ThierryBorgeat $77B on a gross of $717B. So, 50% return on SpaceX compared to 10.7% from Amazon, which is where my 5x number comes from. It has everything to do with a valuation assessment of an upcoming IPO lmao. Does the business model really matter for investors? So yes, I'm fine. Are you?
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The OFF-GRIDiot
The OFF-GRIDiot@Radios4Freedom·
@capmike_ @ThierryBorgeat Are you okay man?...Amazon's NET last year was $77 Billion. The reason they don't have a ~40% margin is because they are a RETAIL chain that works on low margin high throughput....entirely different business model. Cringe dude, has nothing to do with $2T fantasy valuation.😆
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@svms92365 @slave_2_liberty @Sourshoes416 This is a photo from Earth taken from a cell phone with "Night Sight"... or long exposure settings activated. You have no idea how photography works, and your claim that you used to work at NASA is seriously in question. Would love to see some evidence.
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Silver Valley Morning Show
@slave_2_liberty @Sourshoes416 I used to work at NASA. I think it's wrong of them to manipulate images and portray them as real. This is supposed to be the night side image, but it's too lit up. You could manipulate the contrast and brighten it. the sun is behind the lower right of the earth.
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@BillSPreston11 @galacticdunk "An action has an equal and opposite reaction" Crazy 8th grade concept. There's a reason a rocket stores a fuel AND an.... wait for it.... OXIDIZER!!! Crazy how mixing these two things could ignite and propel (reaction) a vehicle forward IN A VACUUM!
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Bill Esquire
Bill Esquire@BillSPreston11·
@galacticdunk Propelled themselves in a VACUUM… DUDE 🤣💦good lord. Do better.
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Bill Esquire
Bill Esquire@BillSPreston11·
It’s an honest to God shame that people just blindly see this and accept it as reality. Then go to battle with it as their weapon of truth. At least question why you’re told it’s an oblate spheroid (wider at the equator than north and south) and yet it’s shown as a circle.
Buzz Patterson@BuzzPatterson

It’s round, gang.

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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@flatsmackin Every day, I read shit on social media thinking "nobody could be dumber than this person" And every day, I'm proven wrong.
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DemonstrableReality
DemonstrableReality@flatsmackin·
You can’t fall “around” the earth. You either fall straight down to the ground, or you fly above it. You can’t fall sideways.
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@Radios4Freedom @ThierryBorgeat You're missing the part where they are rumored to have had a $8B net on that $15B gross. 5x larger than Amazon's. And honestly, they have a good 5 years (at least) before any competitor catches up the value proposition of launching satellites on a Falcon 9.
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The OFF-GRIDiot
The OFF-GRIDiot@Radios4Freedom·
@ThierryBorgeat Follow Thierry for more ways to go the long way around just to call something a SCAM.😉 SpaceX 2025 had (supposedly) $15B of GROSS income....not even NET. $2 Trillion for ANY reason is fkn retarded and softening it with 'investor terms' and other bullshit is equally retarded.
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Tevis
Tevis@FunOfInvesting·
SpaceX targets a $2 trillion valuation?! SpaceX makes $15 billion in revenue. $AMZN is $2.2 trillion valuation. $AMZN makes $718 billion in revenue. Someone please make it make sense.
Tevis tweet mediaTevis tweet media
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CommonSenseSkeptic
CommonSenseSkeptic@C_S_Skeptic·
@Telperiar Subscriptions will level off and decline - not that very subscriber pays the same, anyway - while CAPEX will continue to climb without end given the five-year lifespan of the units in orbit.
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CommonSenseSkeptic
CommonSenseSkeptic@C_S_Skeptic·
Wonder if anyone has any insight as to why the next Starship launch isn't going to happen until after the IPO, considering they haven't launched one of these "rapidly reusable rockets" since October? Anybody want to take a guess??
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capmike
capmike@capmike_·
@C_S_Skeptic @storageinator Falcon Heavy was their second vehicle with a 100% success rate since being put into commercial service.
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