弱智

@The_Avg_Bear Shortear small caps ya no es lo que era antes

Mi récord day fue el 3 de noviembre de 2025, cuando apenas llevaba 2 meses haciendo trading sistemático. Cinco meses después, no lo he vuelto a batir. Y aun así, hoy soy mejor trader que entonces: -Mi portafolio es más robusto -Mi mentalidad es más fuerte -Mi riesgo está mejor definido -Soy más consistente Tu mejor día no define tu nivel. Un gran día puede ser varianza!! No mires el PnL de otros pensando que lo están haciendo mejor que tú. No sabes qué riesgo asumen, cuánto capital manejan ni cuánto tiempo llevan en esto. El PnL es solo la punta del iceberg.

@daytradingzoo This week only, no limit reached yet 😂

Anyone saying they never run into their AI model token limits is either: - nothing building anything complicated - full of sh** - on an unlimited business plan 😉

@TradeQuantiX Really low sharpe ratio, he could be doing so much better

Who’s gonna tell him? 🥶

@hackertrader When 249 trades are enough to go into production 😂

One of the most interesting slops we are going to witness is backtesting. I wonder if it will affect the market as so many “holy grail” backtests will enter the market creating opportunities for non slop traders

@Tra9der6 @agarciacapelo 😂😂😂😂

@kingofdrawdowns @agarciacapelo Mira ver esos números. Si vas con un 10% y salta una vela un 100% no es adiós cuenta, es adiós el 10% de la cuenta 😅😂

@agarciacapelo Si cuentas que tenemos fat tails mayores a los que se en años, tienes la ilusion de ir bien durante meses o semanas, y a lo que vas con un 10% de tu cuenta de mkt value, te salta una vela de 100% o mas en 1min o menos y adios cuenta. El juego ha cambiado x.com/The_Avg_Bear/s…

@kingofdrawdowns hay cosas que siguen funcionando pero esta muy lento últimamente y se tiende a animar cercano a la apertura. Luego cualquier basura empieza a tirar de la nada y hay que estar atento

que mercado mas guarro... movimientos bestiales a todos lados en fundamentales basura con un price action que da pena y si no eres rápido te revientan. Y la plataforma sin ejecutar trades que llevan horas ahi... Bienvenidos a Small Caps... Si pestañeas te lo pierdes y si no, tmbn

@SmallCapSmarts short selling is no longer what it used to be

Classical PvP price action in small caps today in $UGRO Anyone who wanted more action should be probably happy now. What's the theme here btw?

@The_Avg_Bear Totalmente cierto, sobre todo shortear premarket, ya no funciona, mucho scam

@The_Avg_Bear @cangrejotrading

Este tío es la bestia

@The_Avg_Bear @cangrejotrading siempre llegas tarde tete

@cangrejotrading Esa te la envié yo, me siento estafado.

Casi Max Loss hoy familia. -470$ No me duele por la cantidad monetaria, nos dedicamos a arriesgar dinero. Me duele porque la pérdida podría haber sido casi un 50% menor si hubiera respetado ciertas reglas. Igualmente, no sobrepase el Max Loss. Seguimos mañana 🦀

@Fearless_Trades Well... One of my strategies is a setup I got from you

@kingofdrawdowns I already did. I left the ones up that I don't care about. Not sure which one you mean.

I'll probably make this my last system P&L post. It was fun publically growing a systematic account from scratch, but I'm getting DMs from system traders recommending I keep shtum now the account is getting bigger, which is fair enough. I'm not exactly leaking any major edge here (I think it's fair to say people have posted much worse in the past) but I also don't want to shoot myself in the foot.

@EternaLEnVy1991 4M is just what you spend on locates in 1 week

why do weddings cost 4million

@SteveDJacobs @hackertrader MAYBE The low DD might just be from opening many simultaneous trades, possibly hitting 4x leverage where floating winners mask the losers. The real danger in that case would be tail risk: a sudden 30% market drop while 4x leveraged would wipe out the account. Did you check Steve?

I am skeptical too. There is truly only one way to find out and that is to try to execute it as close as possible to the model with real capital (at least there is no leverage in the model so hopefully no LTCM type scenario). Let's see what $1M becomes in 5 years ... to paraphrase Catherine Aird: "It will either be a good example or a horrible warning" 🤣

8 Known Algo Backtest Issues In the current backtest : x.com/SteveDJacobs/s… Eight potential issues have been identified. Points 1-4 have "quick sanity fixes" with the current data source before moving to point-in-time: 1) Small-cap-at-entry grew to $1B+ Using Current Market Cap × (Entry Price / Current Price) gives an estimated market cap at entry. It's not perfect (share count changes from buybacks, dilution, and secondary offerings mean it's an approximation) but it catches the obvious cases where a $200M company in 2020 is now $2B. Filtering out sub-$1B at entry removes trades that wouldn't have seen in the screener at the time. Best Fix: switch to a point-in-time data source such as massive. 2) Liquidity Implement a n-day average daily dollar volume (D$V) on the day of entry to ensure there was adequate liquidity when the trade was entered. For example, use 10-day D$V of $50M+. 3) Price floor In addition to the liquidity, a minimum share price could be added at the time of entry. For example, only companies with a share price >= $10. 4) Sector/Industry concentration The tickers can be tagged with their Sector and Industry data to identify sector/industry concentration across the portfolio in the walk-through models. 5) Large-cap-at-entry that shrank This could be addressed with the current data source if all stocks are included in the analysis rather than the $1B+ universe. Alternatively, point-in-time data source will address this issue. 6) M&A / acquired companies Only possible in point-in-time data source 7) Survivorship bias Only possible in point-in-time data source 8) Slippage The current broker has zero fees for trading common stocks and orders are placed as limit orders and/or execute at close orders. However, the execution price may differ from the model price. In a universe of $1B+ market cap stocks that trade $50M+ and $10+ share price, the spread and slippage will be lower than say trading lower cap and/or low liquidity stocks. Points 1-4 can be addressed with the current data source (Finviz) as these are "quick wins". Points 5-7 require re-coding to point-in-time data source. Point 8 I am less concerned about. The live "walk-forward" vs Model over time will highlight the impact of slippage. Please let me know if you are aware of any others and I will try to incorporate solutions - the goal is always to be as accurate/realistic as possible. 🙏

@SmallCapSmarts Professional gambler

Question for full-time traders: What do you say when someone asks what you do? “Trader” is basically ruined by TikTok kids and fake lambo gurus. If you dodge it, people think you’re broke. Say too much and suddenly you’re “that rich guy”.

@TheoryTrading You're leaving at the perfect time, wise choice

It's May 17th, 2026: PDT has finally been lifted and 24/5 trading has been implemented. You've been waiting for this day for years. This is the day "dumb money" longs return. This is the day when "clean" price action/pyramiding comes back and when gappers finally start to ADF again. It's finally time to have your "short bear" 400,000% parabolic run. Fast forward one month... You are in a 65% drawdown. You have spent 6x more on locates this past month and missed 40% of your plays due to no borrows since every new trader read the new "Market Wizards" and is shorting small caps. You have gotten HOD cleared out on every pyramid attempt. Every "bag holder"/"look left" play has failed. Every strategy in your portfolio has been decimated. The Spaniards posting daily execution charts coupled with widely available AI backtest tools have eroded your winrate and risk to reward ratio. Every gapper with dilution chops and "barcodes" all day only to dump at 1am when you're asleep. To adjust, you decide to start swinging these short overnight since a fundy bro said "all small caps need to dump and dilute eventually". Every two weeks the manipulators squeeze a play 10,000% on low liqudity in AH at midnight $CIIT style to target swing shorts. You cancel all of your "robust" flashresearch backtested strats. You turn to the "just adapt it's a skill issue, bro" guys for help. It doesn't work. All of the furus on twitter ramp up the fomo agent tweets and ads to all of the struggling short sellers. They are all at ATH numbers selling subscriptions. Three months later you open up linkedin and update your work history: "Quantiative trader of equities" 03/2020-09/2026. Shorting small caps with the flash research backtest tool. The end of the HTB edge is near. Godspeed.

Este mes está siendo bastante peor que el anterior. Muy seco todo, forzando demasiado la máquina para sumar, y eso me conduce a bajar el pie del acelerador... Un consejo de un amigo hoy: Asegúrate de que te quede gasolina cuando el mercado vuelva, no quemes capital.

Hoy estaba MUY cerca de mi Max Loss. He hecho un play penoso, y me he sobre sizeado mucho. Me ha tocado remar, controlando mi ansiedad y sumándole a buenos plays para “mitigar pérdida”. He entendido que tengo que hacer mi propio playbook con mis A+, A y B setups.