accepter

@DropSiteNews 1000km from ukraine...

🇺🇦 Ukraine continues strikes on Russian Baltic port of Ust-Luga Ukrainian drones struck the Transneft crude oil loading terminal at Ust-Luga on Russia’s Baltic coast for the fifth time in ten days on Tuesday, with industry sources telling Reuters the attack hit oil export facilities at the port, which typically handles around 700,000 barrels of crude per day. At least 40% of Russia’s total oil export capacity has been halted through a combination of drone strikes, a disputed pipeline strike, and tanker seizures, according to Reuters calculations.

@DonMiami3 Underground epsteins islands chequered floor?

I expect Trump’s announcement to be one of a short 2-3 week operation that rhymes with Bound Door

@OffGuardian0 @Lance0123456789 @pati_marins64 You mean like this? Where they lost and then reset the games so the asymmetric opponent was hamstrung? en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millenniu… BTW how do tou think the soviets got kicked out of Afghanistan who had no airforce? Similar idea.

I mean, no offence, but if relative outsiders on X have got all the deets on Iran's asymmetric war plans, you have to wonder why they're apparently a mystery to Israel and the US. All those years of planning this attack, war gaming all possible scenarios, using satellites and spy planes and sending missions out there to watch their bases and spy out their secret installations - and they end up knowing less about Iran's military strategies than if they'd just read a few tweets? Do we just go for the ragged old "cock up" theory and leave it there? It's showing the strain a little isn't it.

Examine this statement from the article below for logical consistency and real-world plausibility.... "Iran lost its air force. It lost its navy. It lost two thirds of its production capacity. It retained the only thing that matters: 39 kilometres of coastline on both sides of the narrowest point. The US Navy will not enter. Chinese tankers will. And the sorting algorithm processes another vessel, collects another yuan payment, and demonstrates once more that geography is the one military asset that cannot be degraded by precision strikes." Anyone see any problems with this? Bear in mind it's narratives like this that are being used to explain why energy shortages and everything associated with them are longterm inevitable now.

@OffGuardian0 @Lance0123456789 @pati_marins64 Depends what the goal is, doesn't it? Defeat or chaos? Iraq, Syria, Libya. Not defeat just decent into chaos. Israel has been pretty open about not wanting stable neighbours to justify continual land grabs. How else do you grow Nile to Euphrates? Iran needs to survive, not win.

@OffGuardian0 @Lance0123456789 @pati_marins64 Not really. You dont need an airforce to role a drone out of a cave and hit fire. Thats what asymmetric means. The US can do more damage than Iran 10:1 for months or years but that little 1 will keep on plugging away. And thats all Iran has to do - survive enough to do that.

@Lance0123456789 @propitious29 @pati_marins64 Ah right, you mean Iran's air force was so much weaker than the US/Israel that it was all but useless. That reinforces the absurdity of parts of the narrative though doesn't it.

@OffGuardian0 They did and they knew this would happen. They were either ignored by a mad king or ignored by a malevolent one. You're suggesting there's no risk to shipping and/or the us could make the risk disappear by snapping fingers. Thats what im pointing out is wrong.

I'm not sure what point you're making any more. Do you seriously think that in the twenty plus years the US has wanted to attack Iran it never gamed or planned for the possible closure of the Strait? One of the most strategic seaways in the world? That's about as plausible as Bush saying they had never envisioned planes flying into buildings. I don't know exactly what is going on out there, none of us do, even if we're right there on the spot. There's layers of reality overlayed by confusion, poor reporting, wishful thinking and more. But I do know a nonsensical inconsistent propaganda narrative when I see one, and that article we highlighted is all of that.

@OffGuardian0 And in case you dont know the "insurers" are not normal insurance they are industry owned insurance clubs. So its owners capital at risk not a vague third party if thats where youre going

I'm not believing anything, I'm pointing out the obvious inconsistencies and implausibilities in this one narrative. Fyi - ship owners are constrained by their insurers. If the insurers won't cover them they can't afford to operate. All that's needed is to frighten the insurers with dire warning of losses and the strait is effectively "closed" without a shot needing to be fired. The rumor of potential disruption would be enough. Not saying this is definitively what is happening, but it's certainly a factor.

@OffGuardian0 All this was foreseeable of course and maybe the plan.

@OffGuardian0 No shit. So actually hitting a boat or 2 is even more than a mere threat which you day yourself is all insurers need. Now maybe you see why removing even the perceived threat requires a type of "success" from the US military that is not achievable. needs the other side to agree

@OffGuardian0 There can be a preplanned agenda ro take advantage of a problem and ALSO be true that th3 greatest military on the planet is only that in the conditions it were made for.

Many would say a country that has had its navy, air-force and 2/3 of its industry destroyed (if you believe the article) is ALREADY defeated. And what is this nonsense that the US navy can't go anywhere incase it gets fired on?? I think you'll find navies expect to be fired on in wartime situations, it's kinda the point. And dealing with an opposing force with (allegedly) ZERO warships or war planes would be one of the less risky scenarios for sure. I accept you are trying to make it all make sense, but it just doesn't. The inconsistencies and real-world implausibilities are just fatal once to apply any sort of analysis. It's just a thin narrative intended to give bare minimum justification for a pre-planned agenda.

@OffGuardian0 US has can't put an aircraft carrier anywhere hey can get hit. Thats why they were great 20 years ago but useless relics today.

@OffGuardian0 Sane us military that failed against Vietnam, Afghanistan and yemen?? And against Iran can't even use the army and is reliant only on air power? How exactly can you "defeat" a country 100% so they can't blow up one boat from the air?? You can't. Maybe they knew they couldn't.

Think about it - do you believe the largest military machine on earth could not defeat an enemy whose entire navy and air-force AND wealth-creation have been (allegedly per the article) wiped out? The alleged facts in that piece can't co-exist. Some (maybe all) must be false. It's a nonsense narrative designed to give a pseudo-physical explanation for a pre-ordained reality. A major point of this war was always going to be the "closure", partial or complete of the strait, as a means of imposing the energy shortages that are an essential part of the new global order being laid out for us. Reasons need to be given for why this closure is unpreventable and inevitable. So dross like this gets spewed out by various media outlets.

@OffGuardian0 You're argument relies on the competence of the slowest moving, largest most corruption institution on the planet. Interesting strategy. You realise that problem reaction solution is also more effective when the problem is real?? Same as covid you focus in the wrong areas

@OffGuardian0 To make a real war under fake pretences is easy. Just need a few retards in charge with zio handl3rs. Ir basically the status quo in most countries for 60 years

@OffGuardian0 This part being fake is least likely. You need collusion from 100 private shipping companies and multiple state actors to all put their personnel profits and goals aside to fake this part.

@zerohedge ...for a visit... then back to Germany

Germany's Merz Expects 80% Of Syrians To Return Home Within 3 Years zerohedge.com/geopolitical/g…

@CheburekiMan I hear the sound of demons

Imagine the gall of calling Iranians religious extremists when your "faith adviser" is this batshit person.