uneeb

@nazzari @speedrun Trying 2x now

i have lots of slots open on my calendar the next 2 days and I want to fill them! If you want to talk about working at a @speedrun 001 --> 007 company or our alpha fellowship - DM me i'd love to set up some time tomorrow or friday. in other words, if you are a person who wants to work for an @a16z backed startup, I may be able to help. you can also apply to our talent network: a16z-games.typeform.com/1337-talent?ut…

You are hinting at something important. But I think casinos are, by definition, not a new market. It's a recycled concept that has existed for hundreds of years. - Prediction Market is a new market. When was the last time it was possible to bet on when the "Israel-Iran war will end"? - When was it possible to trade "memes"? Or even JPEGs as NFTs.

@uneebagh onchain casinos still feel more like a wrapper than a new market what do you think could actually break that pattern

I worked on Megapot for a bit and also thought about onchain casinos deeply. It doesn’t make sense unfortunately. I commend Patrick for trying to make it work but if he wants to innovate on lottery, he needs to go where the lottery crowd is already at. I’ll take on-chain as a solution if it is clear that that’s the model we need. So far, I’ve seen complex mechanics retrofitted to please crypto people. But maybe I’m wrong. I don’t throw money at chance.

@sjdedic What exactly is the opportunity? I feel we need to be able to explain it. Facebook and Airbnb and Google are very explainable.

Everyone loves to cry about how they would’ve been a multi-millionaire by now if they had just bought Facebook, Google or Airbnb in the mid 2000s. Cool. Crypto is literally giving you that exact same chance right now. A new financial system being built from the ground up. Most assets-90% below highs. Fundamentals stronger than ever. Institutions racing on who can adopt it the fastest. And what are you doing? Sitting on the sidelines doing the exact same thing people did when Facebook was “a website for college kids” and Airbnb was “strangers on air mattresses.” Doubting and waiting for confirmation. That’s not going to happen though, or it will be too late. It never felt safe to buy. Not Facebook at IPO. Not Amazon after the dot-com crash. Not Bitcoin at $200. The best entries always felt wrong. That’s what made them the best entries. This window won’t stay open forever. And in 10 years you’ll either be glad you acted or you’ll be telling the next generation “if only I had bought crypto back in 2026.” Your call.

A while ago I iterated on a chess idea and launched it under the name of dchess, eventually giving it up. My problem was that I simply didn’t care enough to make chess the purpose of my existence (that’s why I stopped playing competitively in high school too). The second big reason was that the onchain piece didn’t really make sense. It seemed forced. I’m excited to see how pixie tackles this.

@heettike either edge will get arbitraged out, or the market is inefficient due to something more foundational. no free lunch.

tldr there are contracts on polymarket that are near certain (90% probability). you still arent sure, there are edge cases when your luck is dumb but vvv often you can make a 10% gain by buying into a consensus opinion now an agent will just auto trade these markets fir you give it $100 with a $10 maximum for each trade @freemoneylfg has ~10-15 events that are resolving in 24 hours make 5-7% everyday some rlly high probability events are already trading at 97-98, so you’re only making a couple bps there i am excited for auto pilot

@huangkuan Transparency is pretty crucial when it comes to lotteries. You have a point. It will come down to how much they can convince others to build on top by providing the right incentives. That being said, consumer lotteries can also simply build the infrastructure out themselves.

@uneebagh Nothing stops people from building “exiting lottery crowd friendly” applications on top of Megapot. Megapot is a protocol.

Despite having a lot of conviction in myself, when I first plunged into the startup world, I had a lot of doubts… “All the smart ppl are in San Francisco and I’m not” “People are way more knowledgeable about blockchain than me” “You just have to get on stage and share your ideas to get funded” That alongside all the pressure around succeeding after leaving a great career. I started losing confidence. Then it completely shattered. I gave up. Joined Coinbase as a SWE. I started regaining my confidence. I moved to SF and realized it wasn’t really necessary for me to be here (but I still love the city). Founders with all the stage presence folded. Nerds won in the long run. I realized I just needed to go harder and longer. I was doing everything right. That’s all. When Coinbase had its IPO moment, I knew the opportunity was back on I felt too scared to touch new ideas. What is trending? I need to time it right. I have a background in payment systems, maybe that’ll make sense from a story perspective? I need to find a team and maybe I would just join someone else? Look at these new tools, maybe I should build anything using them? Fuck, nothing is working. Why is it taking so long? I stopped looking for ideas. Nothing seemed right. Then one casual night in late 2024, I was showing a friend how to trade memecoins. That’s when it clicked. I remembered that Bitcoin was simply an early investment for me. I am a pretty good investor. I watch CNBC everyday. That’s what I do. If you look for ideas, they don’t come to you. But they exist all around us. That salad that you enjoy making can be converted into a product. Trying to find parking spots? Another idea. Planning trips? Business waiting around the corner. Anyone can build a restaurant, but in order to make a successful business you need to go deep. On design. On finance. On product. If you go far enough, long enough, you get somewhere. Building a business is not much different than just doing good. Just pick what you enjoy doing and do it better than anyone else. Much, much better. I’m very excited to unveil soon what I’ve been busy cooking. It’s been 2 years in the making and it’s finally coming to fruition. More to come soon.

stay focused...ignore the rat race...try to build things that are cool. the rest will fall into place

@garrytan Why are people mad? I looked at this and it genuinely looks super useful. Will give it a spin.

My CTO friend texted me: "Your gstack is crazy. This is like god mode. Your eng review discovered a subtle cross site scripting attack that I don't even think my team is aware of. I will make a bet that over 90% of new repos from today forward will use gstack."

@reganbozman Not really, but I’d argue it still needs to be exciting. It doesn’t feel like crypto is opening new frontiers recently. It’s boring. No new ERC standards, no new chains, just tokens and stablecoins. I don’t mind. It didn’t make sense to me anyways

would question the notion that "crypto" needs to be fun not sure my friends grinding at AI companies would say the day to day of it is fun, but that they are working hard with smart people on very large problems imo we need more of that attitude in crypto

@chintanturakhia @jake_researcher Hallucination is not a context rot problem. It’s a well documented problem with transformers. Lot of active research going on here

@jake_researcher human reviews exist for sensitive areas. agent reviews are 99% better than human for many/most things. hallucination is a context rot problem. do progressive disclosure and setup your agents files that way. validation and testing catch bugs, and have the agent fix it.

Back in January I told Eng two things: 1. Delete your IDE 2. Stop writing code And build only through agents. In a few weeks, we: • Built 30+ internal tools to 10x the way we work • Created a deep library of agents + skills to kill repetitive work • Formed “agent councils” for PR and app perf reviews • Shipped multi-month projects in ~1 day It was a clear mental shift to focus us on the things that matter most: - Upstream intent. - Downstream validation. Engineering has always been about building with intent and judgement. The code was just a medium for expression. Now agents are that medium. Rip the bandaid off.

@sporadica I can’t see it (probably beyond hope), but I do see the dead bodies (at least with humanity)

if you can’t see this, you’re beyond hope

@Celesteamadon You are looking at least $5K in rent

What does a girl have to do to find a 2 bedroom apartment in the Marina 😭

@toly Sure, let’s start. Do you think Solana solved blockchain? Meaning it will be the last chain to ever exist?

Only two complete idiots can agree on everything, so I am always open to finding people that disagree with me.

Not war. Social clout. Most successful people are American and Jews (nearly all?). You get upside by aligning your ideology with theirs. That’s literally all there is to it. Clashing ideology is akin to creating hostility which leads to non-cooperation which leads to detrimental consequences for your brand. Personally I hate all ideologies, but I guess we live in an increasingly ideological world. Someone make crypto work please…

@uneebagh do they side with the winners? the US hasn't really won one of these since WW2, nor have any of the people it's bombed, and even WW2 was 90% the soviet union lol

nearly the entire og guard of anti-state crypto—udi, nic, bankless, ameen, toly—is now whiling away their days clamoring for war i say this with no great animus. it's just a testament to how profoundly out of touch this industry is with the world's ideals—and its own.