0xRicker

@qwinsi0x you are smart guy

@0xRicker Essentially, he doesn’t guess - he models state transitions. That’s the advantage of Markov chains.

Ex-Citibank quant trader built Polymarket bot and turned $1.2K → $797K using one secret I traced his 43,495 trades using Opus 4.7 → backtested his strategy on 72M trades dataset The bot runs Markov Chains on price state sequences to find entry points the crowd can't see most traders see "95¢" and feel something. too cheap, too rich, about right. that feeling becomes a click It sees a price that has spent the last N windows bouncing between states - and calculates the transition probability to the next one the strategy in plain terms: • DOWN at 94–98¢ + UP at 3–5¢ on the same window → combined < $1.00 → guaranteed arb on the gap • Markov state model flags when UP at 3¢ has >40% transition probability to resolve - bot sizes in • BTC Up 3.4¢ → now 7.5¢ → +120% in one window • runs both directions simultaneously across BTC and ETH Profile: @bonereaper?r=joinjoinjoin" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@bonereaper?r=…

@starmexxx Glad to hear that, bro. I tried to explain it clearly-did I get it right?

@0xRicker markov chains on price state sequences is such a clean approach, the math isn't even that complicated when you break it down like this

@nitesheth01 yep friend, and quant bots even more

@0xRicker bots printing like always

@HarryTandy im start watching this gem right now

> 2 years you use 5 tools for research > notion for projects > readwise for highlights > x bookmarks for tweets > browser bookmarks for links > chatgpt for quick thinking > looks like a “stack” > works like 5 locked rooms > every saved idea needs manual routing > every highlight needs manual context > every bookmark waits until you forget it exists > you shut it all down > move everything into one obsidian vault > 6 folders only: inbox, sources, ideas, projects, outputs, claude > every link, tweet, article, highlight lands in inbox first > capture takes under 10 seconds or it dies > claude reads the vault every week > finds connections between notes written weeks apart > spots patterns across 3+ sources > flags contradictions you forgot you had > picks the one source worth turning into an article > monday review goes from 45 minutes to one synthesis > x bookmarks stop being a cemetery > notion projects stop pretending they’re alive > your research starts compounding because everything lives in one graph > build it in one weekend and realize the “perfect stack” was just context scattered across apps

@de1lymoon Actually, I'm the one who should thank you for the great article

@0xRicker You got it all right, that's exactly how it is Thanks for the support

some guy at his desk at 2am just replaced an entire 15k/mo agency with 3 python files he calls them "agents". each one has a role, instructions, tools and memory. they run while he sleeps the clients have no idea they are paying a script

@theloryx Soon people will understand it

@0xRicker agent = gold for future success and not everyone gets that

@CryptoMavka thats important notice

@0xRicker And he doesn't need to know, the main thing is that the agents work properly while he rests.

@nofadsec Look like I need to read full article

Bloomberg made market data feel like a country club. Pyth Terminal makes it feel like opening a browser tab. 3,000+ live feeds. Crypto, equities, FX, commodities. No API key just to look. No sales call just to understand the product. See the data first. Pay only when it becomes useful. That is a very different model.

@nofadsec Generally yes, you ready for this?

@0xRicker Is this a complete replacement for a person?

@gippp69 And it’s game changing

@0xRicker Each agent has his own task, and this is an advantage

do you understand what JALEN BRUNSON just did. 27 years. That’s how long the KNICKS waited to get back to the Finals. Not a rebuild. Not a “maybe next year.”Twenty-seven years of noise, bad picks, and New York pretending patience was a strategy. Then Brunson showed up and turned “not a No. 1 option” into “the reason the whole city is breathing again.” > first Knicks Finals appearance since 1999 > carried the offense without a superstar safety net > made a franchise built on pressure look calm for once > took the most mocked role in basketball and made it undeniable this is the part people miss: the Knicks didn’t just make the Finals, they did it with a guy everyone thought was too small for the job. same city, same spotlight, different ending.

@0xRicker No way lol

This trader joined today and turned $433 into $43,398 on a single bet with 9,900% return 0 views. No name - He's the one nobody knows or talks about and he quietly printed $52,258 in one day Here's exactly what he did: His wallet: @0x676cdce125a5c668d2ffb09d4e10ec92eec89d6a-1779674003212?r=joinjoinjoin#kAJcHgm" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x676cdce125a… → BTC Up or Down · May 25 · 4:00AM–4:05AM ET → Bought 43,398 shares of UP at 1¢ per share → Risked: $433 → Won: $43,398 → Return: +9,900% The market was pricing BTC going up in the next 5 minutes at 1% probability He disagreed. He bought 43,000 shares at a penny each BTC went up. Every share paid out $1. He walked away with $43K He's looking for moments when the market severely misprices a short-term BTC direction

@octofii No

@0xRicker at least did you get paid?

can someone explain to me why people get banned on polymarket dub? i didn't do anything against the rules

@beamnxw That’s fact dude

@0xRicker that's the kind of moment that keeps people chasing this space

> do you understand what just happened > a stranger with $433 in his wallet > bet on a feeling he had this morning > just a quiet click that turned $400 in $44k > just one good call while everyone else clocked in > bookmark this. seriously. right now