0xRicker

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0xRicker

0xRicker

@0xRicker

Researcher & Contributor | Polymarket Maxi | @zscdao member

Bali, Indonesia Katılım Kasım 2025
328 Takip Edilen2.5K Takipçiler
0xRicker
0xRicker@0xRicker·
People once they realise that it would take them 1 month to change their life and turned $9,000 into $784,000
0xRicker@0xRicker

Quant HFT Bot turned $9,000 into $784,000 in 30 days on Polymarket No leverage. No insider info Just sports math that 99% of traders ignore Past month profit: $784,174 35,627 predictions. Hundreds of simultaneous positions The only right way to copy-trade him even with $10 using: @0xricker" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@0xricker The math behind sports O/U trading: Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, not to be accurate Polymarket prices reflect crowd opinion, not sharp data When these two diverge, there's an edge Formula: EV = (your_prob − market_price) × payout If your model says 43% and market says 50% → you buy Under Edge: 7 cents. At scale: everything. When a key player gets injured 20 minutes before tip-off, the O/U line moves But Polymarket takes 3-5 minutes to reprice In those 3 minutes he has already entered

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cvxv666
cvxv666@antpalkin·
@0xRicker It would have been an incredible month for me
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0xRicker
0xRicker@0xRicker·
Quant HFT Bot turned $9,000 into $784,000 in 30 days on Polymarket No leverage. No insider info Just sports math that 99% of traders ignore Past month profit: $784,174 35,627 predictions. Hundreds of simultaneous positions The only right way to copy-trade him even with $10 using: @0xricker" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@0xricker The math behind sports O/U trading: Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, not to be accurate Polymarket prices reflect crowd opinion, not sharp data When these two diverge, there's an edge Formula: EV = (your_prob − market_price) × payout If your model says 43% and market says 50% → you buy Under Edge: 7 cents. At scale: everything. When a key player gets injured 20 minutes before tip-off, the O/U line moves But Polymarket takes 3-5 minutes to reprice In those 3 minutes he has already entered
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0xRicker
0xRicker@0xRicker·
@ninedol Kreo can actually provide both speed and model accuracy
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Ninedol
Ninedol@ninedol·
@0xRicker edge comes from speed and model accuracy, not just spotting the move scaling this to 35k trades is where it turns into real money
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cvxv666
cvxv666@antpalkin·
@0xRicker There comes a time when simulation becomes more useful than personal experience
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Yanik
Yanik@TemsYanik·
Trader on Polymarket earned $1,342,358 on trading political. A former political science PhD student who dropped out His strategy sounds absurdly simple: > he buys contracts on events that are almost certain to happen > the market says 85 cents - he thinks the fair price is 99. > he bets $300-600k and pockets the difference > He almost never buys a contract below $0.70 Hence the absurdly high win rate with 1,154 trades (84.6%) You can copy his trades here and take your edge: t.me/predictr_trade… His real edge isn't in the data. It's in understanding human behavior For a $600k bet on "Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?" he surveyed people - expats, acquaintances, and people hired on Fiverr specifically for this His profile: @scottilicious?modal=signup&mt=1&via=yanik" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@scottilicious… When everyone without exception says the same thing - that's the signal The main inefficiency on Polymarket is the 70-90 cent range. > Retail wants to buy at 10 cents and make 10x Hi buys at 85 cents and makes +15% on volumes retail doesn't play in The game has changed If you don't understand human psychology and can't read politics as behavior, not as data - you're not a trader. You're liquidity
Yanik tweet mediaYanik tweet media
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fgen
fgen@fgenstart·
@0xRicker best entry indicator is still placebo feels test i need infinite ur friends doing better reminder always
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0xRicker
0xRicker@0xRicker·
Your friend made $10k this week. You've been trading for 4 years and still losing The difference: he runs 10,000 simulations before going live You trust one backtest sample = np.random.choice(trades, replace=True) Bootstrap + Markov Chain tells us where the contract is going before it gets there Book it or keep losing
Noisy@noisyb0y1

x.com/i/article/2034…

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0xRicker
0xRicker@0xRicker·
@noisyb0y1 it should - so more people will read this alpha article
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Noisy
Noisy@noisyb0y1·
@0xRicker i'm sure this will get 100k views minimum
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0xRicker
0xRicker@0xRicker·
From Designer to $1M+ PnL on your own Polymarket bot Want to go from zero to $50k/month on Polymarket? This info will help you with this Block 1: Binance + Pandas Series - Part 3/12: Data is fuel. Pull BTC/USDT OHLCV via Binance API (daily ~730 rows, hourly ~18k), log returns, SMA/volume, resample, clean → save to HDF5/CSV - Ready-made data_loader.py script - Goal of the series: From zero knowledge → fully automated trading bot in Python The fastest way to copy-trade anyone using @0xricker" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@0xricker Block 2: Polymarket edges and bots (weather, arb, copy-trading) - Weather bots: NOAA/ECMWF/GFS data → 94% real prob vs market 11¢ → 4x on near-certain events. Real wins: $100 → $8k, +$76k, +$75k pure weather - OpenClaw + ChatGPT + simmer-weather skill → fully auto, scans every 2 min - Arb/math plays: YES+NO < $1 → buy both, collect 3¢ risk-free. 43k+ trades → $774k PnL. Leaked quant repo: multi-model divergence → $76k Block 3: Infra + AI + Mindset - Polymarket open-source: py-clob-client → get_markets(), post_order. Build order-book bot in a day - everything you need is already public - AI over code: Claude prompts + Kelly criterion → +40%, 68% WR. 47-line .txt file → $1k+/mo. - Overall vibe: From “inexperienced designer” → quant edges in weeks. Math + automation + copy-trading > emotions Most people scroll past edges worth money. Don't be most people - book it
0xRicker tweet media
sopersone@sopersone

x.com/i/article/2034…

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Predict Report
Predict Report@PredictReport·
@0xRicker this is actually real value would be sick to automate it fully
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sopersone
sopersone@sopersone·
@0xRicker Even a janitor can learn anything they want if they have the desire The main thing is to have the motivation
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