nick tang
3.4K posts

nick tang
@0xtangelo
investing @finalitycap + writing @321converge




This might be the funniest chart in tech right now. Apple's capex strategy has to be the luckiest accident in history: Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google, are in a spending arms race plowing over $100B PER QUARTER into data centers - While Apple spending is down 19% Meanwhile: - Mac Minis sold out bc everyone's buying them to run OpenClaw - Mac Studios have a 6-week backlog - Someone ran Qwen 3.5 on an iPhone yesterday - The M5 Max just shipped with 128GB of unified memory and runs Llama 70B from anywhere The company spending the least on AI infrastructure accidentally became the AI infrastructure

2/ Figure and @mcagney aren't in the crypto business or the real estate business. Like Walter White, they're in the empire business Figure Lending: - B2C/B2B HELOC marketplace - Built Provenance L1 blockchain - Blockchain based settlement for fast & cheap originations - $15B+ on-chain private credit loans (75% of all on-chain private credit) Figure Markets: - $YLDS yield-bearing stablecoin w/ $600M+ circulating - OPEN: on-chain public equity network - Tokenizing their own stock as $FGRD, tradable on OPEN




You need an AI to keep up with AI. claw: what can I do you for today? me: install every other bot, test it and keep me up-to-date on all new AI release going forward. Oh, and go wild respond to all my emails however you like.





8/ Web3 accelerates this and unlocks new app primitives 🧬: user-owned data, in-app wallets, stables, and DeFi Blockchains offer financial services w/o bank charters or even certain licenses. Cryptography can improve UX w/ stronger privacy📲 The application stack is evolving 🛠️

With all due respect to Chris, I completely disagree with this take. Chris argues that "web3," particularly crypto-powered gaming and media, failed due to scams and regulation, and that better regulation will unlock these non-financial cases. OK, think about this for a second. Does this pass the smell test? Do you think web3 gaming failed because of Gary Gensler? Do you think web3 media plays failed because the scammers crowded out the honest media innovators? Really? If this is true, why didn't they kill financial crypto, which had WAY more of both? Financial use cases were right in the crosshairs of the regulatory harassment, and they also attracted way more scams. Why shouldn't we instead accept the more obvious answer: non-financial use cases for crypto have failed because no one wants them. Let's just admit it. They were bad products. They failed the market test. It was not Gensler or SBF or Terra that caused these things to fail, it was that no one wanted any of it. Pretending otherwise is cope. Enormous sums of capital and talent explored these ideas, and we should acknowledge what we learned. That lesson is not "if we just had better laws, then finally people would finally be using decentralized Spotify" or whatever. Call a spade a spade. Every single use case in crypto that has worked at scale has been financial in nature. 2008: Bitcoin - non-sovereign store of value 2014: Tether - stablecoins 2015: Ethereum - programmable money 2017: ICOs - capital formation 2018: Prediction markets (Augur, later Polymarket) 2020: DeFi - literally finance is in the name 2021: NFTs - non-fungible financial assets (to the extent they worked) 2024: RWAs (the year BUIDL took off) All this stuff was adopted bottoms-up. We as investors discovered that people wanted to do these things with crypto. The web3 consumer stuff, on the other hand, was primarily conjured up by investors and pitch decks, ZIRP accelerationism, and "wouldn't it be crazy if" blog posts. This was the opposite of the "what smart people are doing on their weekends" thesis. In fact, if you go back to the Ethereum white paper from 2014, almost every single Ethereum use case Vitalik describes is financial in nature: token issuance, stablecoins, derivatives, on-chain treasuries/DAOs, on-chain savings, insurance, price feeds, escrow, gambling, prediction markets. It's all in there. This is nothing to be ashamed of. Finance is almost 10% of GDP. It's an enormous part of the world economy, and banks are some of the lowest NPS score companies in the world. People hate their banks and the outdated financial architectures their money runs on. It's literally why Bitcoin was created. There is so much to innovate in the realm of finance, and I truly believe we are only at the beginning of that displacement. You don't need to assume anything more to project the next 10x in crypto. The old saying goes "crypto will do to finance what the Internet did to every other industry." I respect Chris's optimism. But 18 years in, we should not be propagating this meme about consumer web3 use cases as though they're inevitable. If you are hanging around the rim hoping that crypto is going to disrupt media and gaming, you should know the history and look at it with clear eyes. Now if you as a founder believe that despite that, you know the secret to cracking this market--I respect that, and I certainly don't begrudge anyone to follow their convictions. But I think it's important that investors be honest that all the evidence points the other way.

The best pure play exposure to Anthropic in the public markets is SK Telecom $SKM They invested $100M at around $5B valuation. While they may have paid a small premium on valuation vs Zoom, SK Telecom invested ~2x the size $SKM's 0.58% stake is likely greater than $ZM's and is a much larger percentage of their market cap SKM = ~23% (based on $9B market cap) ZM = ~4% (based on $28B market cap and same dilution as SKM's stake)








In December, tech bros got Claude-pilled. In January, finance bros get Claude-pilled. Anthropic might be the most valuable company in the world and also the scarcest asset. Find any way to get exposure.








