yu
1.6K posts
Although Tails are a classic and practical rejection signal, they are not a perfect mechanical indicator and have several key limitations (based on mainstream trading literature and real‑world feedback):
• Highly context‑dependent and subjective: How long a tail is (2 or 3 TPOs?) is defined differently by different traders; extreme volatility, news‑driven markets, or strong trend days can severely distort the profile structure, causing tail signals to become distorted or unreliable.
• No‑tail days (poor high / poor low) can actually signal strong trends and should not be mechanically interpreted as reversals.
• Ex‑post nature and poor real‑time usability: The TPO distribution only forms fully after the session ends, so it is hard to confirm tail signals in real time (except for the last‑time‑frame spike). Early tails may also be “erased” or filled in by later sessions.
• High risk of false signals: Tails can be easily broken by strong trends, especially under initiative drive; if you rely only on TPO and ignore actual volume, you may overlook real institutional participation and end up seeing “strong structure with weak real‑world support.”
• Ignores volume and order flow: TPO records only “time spent,” not “volume intensity,” so reliability drops sharply in low‑liquidity or thin‑order‑book instruments.
• Steep learning curve + platform differences: Different platforms calculate TPO slightly differently; beginners often overinterpret tails and ignore the broader auction context. If you rely solely on Tails without seeing the bigger picture, you risk “missing the forest for the trees.”
In short, Tails are a structural reference, not an independent predictive tool. They are best used to provide a probabilistic framework, but win rate depends heavily on market regime and multi‑layered confluence. Using them in isolation often leads to overtrading or missing major trends.
Exotick@Exoticktrades
Market Profile Tails form only at the extremes on a profile. Provide the clearest example of market rejection. Looking for a row of single prints at the pivots. Good confirmation of finished business, expect the pivot to hold with strength. ...example shown below ↓
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@GAREX_F @dontbsalti How do you make a shared YouTube link jump directly to the target time when clicked? That’s impressive!
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Globex combine party 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Is this a top signal for prop firms ? 💀
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New theme dialog in v4 – what changed and what to set first.
We cut all v3 themes (98% of people were using defaults).
Pick a base theme, then set two colors that run everything: buy, sell. Order book depth, heatmap delta, chart bars – all inherit from those four.
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Proud of our @ObamaFoundation Scholars and the incredible work they’re doing in their communities. abc7chicago.com/post/barack-ob…
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@PGSA_IRAN God: I feel stressful
x.com/168ylf/status/…
yu@168ylf
God is under a lot of pressure
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In the Name of God
The official X account of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (#PGSA) is now live.
Follow us for real‑time updates on the #Hormuz_Strait operations and latest developments.
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This is equivalent to trying to sell a cop drugs while he’s in uniform in his police car.
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prompt: what are the market implied probabilities for $NOW - give me the next 90 days, I want an intuitive visualization
cvforge:
( cvforge is Free! We provide the options data - you bring your coding agent - build what you want! )
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The hardware in old Chinese cloud accelerator cards never fails to impress me.
If you go on Chinese ebay (idlefish) you can get a Xilinix UltraScale FPGA for ~$50 USD.
For perspective, the same raw chip is currently ~$2,100 on Mouser.
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London Metal Exchange CEO Matthew Chamberlain delivered welcome remarks at the #LME Asia Metals Seminar, sharing insights into the LME’s strong market performance and strategic initiatives, including updates on Hong Kong warehousing and monthly liquidity enhancement measures.
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