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5.3K posts

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@1stPrinciples4L

Katılım Mayıs 2013
645 Takip Edilen265 Takipçiler
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@JMireles7 @Geiger_Capital But if more leave because of this to offset by their lost tax revenue…. Then the law hurt more than it helped??
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JMireles
JMireles@JMireles7·
@Geiger_Capital All the people crying over this in the comments are hilarious. None of you proplr will be effected by s one-time 5% on billionaires. Ya’ll people be simping for the 1% way to freaking much…..🤦🏻‍♂️
JMireles tweet media
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Geiger Capital
Geiger Capital@Geiger_Capital·
The California wealth tax is not on income… It’s 5% of your net worth. It’s state seizure of private assets. This is now on the ballot and likely to pass. Realize where we are.
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@pmarca Were they wrong or just early
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Hermes Lux
Hermes Lux@HermesLux·
This is how the MSTR 10-delta strategy would have done during it's OCT-DEC 2024 run. Using the Black-Scholes calculation, and an average IV of 125%, we can provide some very close estimates for how it would have looked. In reality, it would have been even more favorable to this because the IV peaked well over 200% making the 10Δ strikes much higher: → On 10/1/2024, MSTR closed at $162.69 and trading as high as $169.43; The opening 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $303 strike. → On 10/15/2024, MSTR closed at $194.31 and trading as high as $211.16; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $361 strike. → On 10/31/2024, MSTR closed at $244.50 and trading as high as $252.88; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $455 strike. → On 11/6/2024, MSTR closed at $257.81 and trading as high as $261.20; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $480 strike. → On 11/21/2024, MSTR closed at $397.28 and trading as high as $543.00; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $740 strike. → On 11/29/2024, MSTR closed at $387.47 and trading as high as $417.62; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $720 strike. → On 12/13/2024, MSTR closed at $408.67 and trading as high as $409.71; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $760 strike. → On 1/2/2025, MSTR closed at $300.01 and trading as high as $310.80; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $558 strike. → On 1/15/2025, MSTR closed at $360.62 and trading as high as $368.42; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $671 strike. → On 1/31/2025, MSTR closed at $334.79 and trading as high as $352.71; The 40 DTE 10Δ would have been close to the $623 strike. During the week of 11/5–11/11—after weekly rolling of the short call, you would have been at the $328 strike call. MSTR highs stayed well below $328 until Monday, November 11, 2024, when the stock hit a daily high of $351.73 and closed at $340.00. This was the first time the MSTR price would have exceeded the 10Δ short-call strike. But, according to the strategy, you would have continued rolling out every week, even while rolling the short strike ITM—by continuing the exact same weekly roll strategy (+$5 strike each week to keep ~40 DTE), the price of MSTR first fell back below the short call strike on December 23, 2024. On that date, MSTR's high was $359.74 which was less than the $363 strike you would have eventually rolled to. From that point on, rolling out weekly to a lower delta, even if you chose to keep the same strike, would have been much smoother and everything would have worked out beautifully as you would have realized some massive premiums during that time that would have eventually expired worthless had you held them to expiration—which you wouldn't have because you would have kept rolling until today.
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@viktoroddy but honestly who even goes to websites anymore?? This is what I mean --> it's just faster stronger mechanisms to deliver things........ ...that nobody needs or wants.
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Viktor Oddy
Viktor Oddy@viktoroddy·
Claude Design is insane. ❤️‍🔥Just recorded a 18-min tutorial on how to build animated, award-winning websites with Claude Design + Opus 4.7!
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Broken Incentives
Broken Incentives@brokenincentivz·
@RHodls My 4/25 155 calls are probably going to get exercised 🥺
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Rob HODLs
Rob HODLs@RHodls·
Covered Calls on $MSTR is a highly ill-advised strategy for the foreseeable future. Picking up Pennies in front of a steamroller. Be careful out there, folks.
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@Cefu_0804 @PeterDiamandis But what are they actually building and what’s the actual value?? Still unclear to me.
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Mike
Mike@Cefu_0804·
The gap between the people that know and those who don’t became even clearer to me since I’m in a AI course with around 20 participants this week. From those 20, at least 8 didn’t even knew you could vibe code a working app in 30 minutes. 3 of those 20 still thought mid journey is the way to go, not knowing you can just simply ask any bigger frontier model these days to create a picture of visual of whatever you need. It’s kind of shocking how much the gap widened
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Peter H. Diamandis, MD
Peter H. Diamandis, MD@PeterDiamandis·
If you're not feeling AGI right now, you're just not paying attention.
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Vadim
Vadim@VadimStrizheus·
so you're telling me Claude Opus 4.7 can now... - analyze an entire podcast - find viral clips that will get views - crops and centers to the speakers - schedules and posts for you without any human in the loop?!? it's so over.
Vadim@VadimStrizheus

🚨 BREAKING: Claude can clip YouTube videos for you! We plugged Vugola directly into Claude so it finally can replace your social media manager. Claude can now clip, schedule, and post your content for you 24/7 while you keep building and shipping.

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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@Jason The problem is nobody cares about this right now because it doesn’t innovate on anything. It’s just building faster. It’s not building anything new.
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@MarylandHODL21 1000000% BTC doesn’t move. You can take it to the bank.
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@yianisz Man just build stuff for no use.
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Yiannis Zourmpanos
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz·
Built a Kraken–Anduril dashboard tracker to understand the forward revenue impact. Here’s what the data suggests for $KRKNF: 1. Kraken tech is embedded across 5 autonomous platforms 2. Estimated 40–50% pipeline exposure tied to Anduril programs 3. Dive-LD alone could generate $400–600M/year at scale 4. Ghost Shark / Dive-XL adds another $64–192M potential At full deployment, the Anduril ecosystem could represent $500M–$1B annual revenue potential for Kraken’s technology stack. This is why I view $KRKNF as a compounding defense platform, not a hype trade.
Yiannis Zourmpanos tweet media
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@HermesLux Don’t get how any of this matters unless BTC decides to go up…. And it doesn’t seem like it.
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@dotkrueger Power law is a joke. Historical slop that doesn’t apply anymore.
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Cole Grinde
Cole Grinde@GrindeOptions·
@SmokeySnipe How would you go about sustaining your life with that amount?
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Cole Grinde
Cole Grinde@GrindeOptions·
Can you become work optional with $500,000 invested? 👀
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regen@1stPrinciples4L·
@JukescatPeasant @Adriezy1 @i_jushe777 @TFTC21 You thinking too isolated. Too “like today”. Remember, when the middle class is out of work — everything gets squeezed. Competition goes up, prices go down… All labor will suffer hard!
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TFTC
TFTC@TFTC21·
Andrej Karpathy just mapped every job in the US economy by AI exposure. 342 occupations scored 0-10. The results are brutal for anyone who works on a screen. Here's what the data shows: 1. 42% of all US jobs score 7 or higher for AI exposure. That's 59.9 million jobs. $3.7 trillion in annual wages sitting in the blast radius. 2. Software developers score 8-9. Financial analysts, accountants, management consultants, bookkeepers, customer service reps. All deep red. If your output is text, code, or spreadsheets, you're competing with something that doesn't sleep. 3. The safest jobs? Roofers. Plumbers. Electricians. Construction laborers. Nurses. Truck drivers. The jobs that require hands, not keyboards. All scored 0-3. 4. The weighted average across ALL 143 million US jobs is 4.9 out of 10. The entire economy is halfway exposed. Not a sector. Not an industry. The whole thing. 5. Education doesn't protect you. Bachelor's and master's degree holders are MORE exposed than trade certificate holders. The more your job is "thinking work" done on a computer, the higher your score. Everyone spent 20 years telling kids to skip the trades and get a desk job. The desk job is what's getting automated first.
TFTC tweet media
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