@SamoBurja Agreed but we need events like these to push us along. That’s generally how human nature works. Desperation breeds ingenuity.
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NYCWelfareStatePolitics
7.6K posts
NYCWelfareStatePolitics
@3stddev
Documenting the terminal decline of NYC.
NYC Katılım Aralık 2014
90 Takip Edilen91 Takipçiler
We have to build more of every type of energy (coal, nuclear, solar, natural gas) while also reducing oil consumption.
China has figured out that it has to escape the oil trap. The United States needs to do the same.
Forget carbon neutral, this is national security.
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@ornithopter16 @AlbertoMiguelF5 @Nadav_Eyal Show us one legitimate article about significant damage to a critical installation in Israel? Even one?
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@3stddev @AlbertoMiguelF5 @Nadav_Eyal They are accurate enough to strike & penetrate air defences.
You think dimona is less protected than desal plants!?
x.com/AJEnglish/stat…
Al Jazeera English@AJEnglish
Iran strikes Dimona, near Israel’s nuclear site, hours after a strike on Iran’s Natanz facility. And US President Donald Trump sends Iran an ultimatum. Al Jazeera's @MarahRayan has the latest developments in the war on Iran.
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"But it is impossible to ignore the trap. Iran has taken the global economy hostage; to free it requires a strike on Iran, one that would deeply harm the global economy. The meaning of the trap: the war began over the nuclear issue but is now being fought over Hormuz."
נדב איל Nadav Eyal@Nadav_Eyal
Exclusive- Israeli officials I speak with admit Iran’s core perception may be decisive: Tehran believes it is winning this war. When Iran agrees to a “gesture of goodwill” in Hormuz, it doesn’t see a concession- it sees recognition of its control. They say the leadership- operating under pressure and isolation - has only a partial picture of the damage inside Iran, reinforcing that confidence. Some now argue only a sharper escalation, including energy targets, can reset that calculus. This view has been presented to both American and Israeli decision-makers. Read my latest here, (and sign up to my substack): nadaveyal.com/p/irans-danger…
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@myer80066 @CliffordDMay These assholes are literally
Just peddling third worlderism at this point where the US is always losing. If you told cretins that the Nazis literally fought until the last day even as they were decimated, they wouldn’t believe you because “only America sucks”.
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@CliffordDMay It’s telling how shooting 10-15 missiles a day and striking a target every 1-2 days, most relatively unimportant, is viewed as maintaining a strong military
If any other military historically was subdued the way Iran is this wouldn’t be a question
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Perhaps she's right and the U.S. assessment have overstated the degree of degradation of Tehran's military capabilities.
Or perhaps Tehran's military capabilities were underestimated prior to this conflict.
Either way, it stand to reason: Good that this conflict is taking place now, not a year or two from now when Tehran's military capabilities (and nuclear weapons program) would be significantly advanced.
Nicole Grajewski@NicoleGrajewski
My comments in this @Reuters exclusive: Even after weeks of strikes, Iran continues launching from sites that have been heavily targeted. That suggests U.S. assessments may be overstating degradation.
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@TrentTelenko The best way to punish aggressive foes over the ages has been to take away their land. Thats the only way these MFers learn.
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Almost as if this was a planned US outcome to cut off China from any access to Mid-Eastern oil in the event that it invades Taiwan. 🤨🤔
Anas Alhajji@anasalhajji
⭕️I wonder how Iranian monarchists feel about President Trump returning the three islands (Abu Musa, Greater Tunb and Lesser Tunb) to the UAE. ⭕️The three small islands sit right at the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz. The last Shah ordered the Navy to occupy them in 1971. ⭕️The UAE has claimed them ever since, especially since Arab tribes inhabited the Greater Tunb and the others. ⭕️By returning them to the UAE, the US can establish a military base there and control the Hormuz Strait for decades to come.
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But you don’t understand. China is the only one that can build anything anymore and we all must bow down to it.
Weapons are like statues. They’re there to be admired and not used. If we do have to use them it’s only when there’s a great power conflict so if there’s something wrong with them we only find out when we’re in really deep shit.
You just don’t get it.
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So what? Iran is one of maybe three countries we’d use them on and we aren’t going to war with China anytime soon. And if we had to, we could convert other capacity and ramp up military production.
Kelly Grieco@ka_grieco
Yikes. The US has burned through ~850 Tomahawks in 4 weeks. That's roughly a quarter of the inventory. At ~600 produced/year, that's ~1.5 years of production gone in a month. Hard to see what long-term political goal this buys. washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
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@myer80066 @ratlpolicy Regular MIL standard are the Russo -UK war where RU couldn’t achieve air superiority even with a 10x larger Air Force and against their own self designed air defense systems.
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@ratlpolicy Exactly. Argue geopolitical strategy if you want, but don’t pretend that this is anything other than a military ass whooping
We’ve just gotten so used to dominance that we forget what regular military standards would feel like
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What about the past month has convinced you that American military technology "doesn't really work?"
Please, be specific.
Academic Agent@AcademicAgent_X
I am now more convinced than ever that the huge US military budget has been a kind of gravy train investing in overbloated tech that doesn't really work and acting as a sort of make-work scheme. I no longer see it as an unbeatable military.
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Considering not one F-35 has been downed among US or Israeli Air Force’s and considering it played a substantial role in removing the nuclear threat from Iran, $1.7 trillion amortized over 30+ years seems cheap.
If Iran wanted to trade just their nuclear ambitions in a peaceful way for $1.7 trillion, wouldn’t that be a good deal?
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@ratlpolicy The F-35's $1.7T lifetime cost and chronic delays illustrate acquisition dysfunction. But questioning procurement efficiency isn't the same as proving tech doesn't work.
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@ratlpolicy Third worlderism on X is very strong. It’s always America sucks but somehow their own country is complete and total shit.
This guys from the UK. The UK is a shell of its former self but America sucks is what they want to expound on all day.
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You’re right. They supplied a higher percentage of oil and nat gas to the EU which was “only” 20% of global GDP.
Even if all of the oil and nat gas gets taken offline in the gulf, it’ll take 6 months - year but the world will adjust.
Every major conflict has spiked oil 100%+.
This is all the pussified west and anti American third worlderism on social media acting like it’s the end of the world.
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@3stddev @AnnaEconomist Russia doesn’t supply oil to the same extent as the Middle East.
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I am not a geopolitical analyst. But my guess (which is as good as anyone’s) is that Trump will escalate. And there will be a point in the next two months when oil will reach $150-$200.
Idrees Ali@idreesali114
Qatar, Oman and Kuwait are pushing behind closed doors for a swift end to the war. The UAE, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain say they are ready to absorb an escalation of the war and will not accept a post-war Iran that is still able to use the Strait of Hormuz as a bargaining chip.
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@lfjncl9891 @constans So you acknowledge we’ll get there?
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Cue America about to discover the largest samarium deposits ever found in history
Zarrar Khuhro@ZarrarKhuhro
Here's the fun part: Tomahawks need samarium-cobalt magnets for their fins. China controls 85-90% of the supply because samarium is mined almost exclusively in China. Thank you for your attention to this matter.
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@lfjncl9891 @constans Of course it will. It’s just a matter of desperation. You think everyone in the US is an anti American suicidal leftist?
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@lfjncl9891 @constans Mining isn’t some leading edge tech. It’s heavy industry. Of course it couldn’t be accomplished in a year but within 5 years we’d be all set.
What’s holding things back is regulation and poor ROI for investors.
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@lfjncl9891 @constans “Takes a lot of time” is all dependent on resources and attention. Things can be done fast if the necessary resources and attention are directed at them.
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Exactly. Ignorant retards online just regurgitating the same old “America is finished narrative” by sincerely believing China is the end all, be all on this earth.
Of course, we also had US politicians and a US elite who were scumbags that only knew how to play domestic culture war politics so it appeared that the US was/is completely inept.
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@constans Minerals aren't rare. The world is massive. The US has all these minerals. We dont mine them because its more expensive than subsidies chinese labor and its environmentally destructive.
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@MichaelShurkin @LahavHarkov Yes, of course. The governments or IL and he US need to clearly articulate their objectives to this buffoon.
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@LahavHarkov Whether it's the right prism depends on what the objectives are. The problem is that neither the US nor Israel clearly has articulated its objectives.
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The White House said Iran’s missile capability is “functionally destroyed.” Israel says Iran can no longer produce ballistic missiles.
So why are Israelis running for shelter multiple times a day?
And is missile capability the right prism through which to examine the war?
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@LahavHarkov @DovCarpe Missile production is separate from already produced missiles.
Do you people just write things for he sake of posting?
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@DerekPederson3 Bro, she was never a “smart” anything. “Policy wonk” is laptop class speak for a bullshit artist.
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Elizabeth Warren's transformation from a smart, progressive-inclined policy wonk into a dangerous, ideologically puritanical socialist demagogue has been something to witness.
Alec Stapp@AlecStapp
This is why we must hold the line against slopulism in housing policy. At first Warren's position was "investors can build as many apartment buildings as they want, they just can't build single-family homes to rent" Now she is sending menacing letters to institutional investors who build multi-family apartments and manufactured housing.
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Wha? You think Iran can keep control of the strait if there’s a sustained campaign to wrestle it away from them?
This platform is filled with morons who pretend like the IRGC are the German Nazi war machine of 1939.
The IRGC are literally a bunch of clowns who only know how to fire poorly constructed, inaccurate missiles.
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I understand the UAE/Saudi/Bahrain preference here, but also, what's the real plan for making Iran unable to control Hormuz? Feels like the only way to do that is Emirati control of a bunch of the islands near the Iranian shore, and that seems... challenging.
Idrees Ali@idreesali114
Qatar, Oman and Kuwait are pushing behind closed doors for a swift end to the war. The UAE, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain say they are ready to absorb an escalation of the war and will not accept a post-war Iran that is still able to use the Strait of Hormuz as a bargaining chip.
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