5ElemAlpha

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5ElemAlpha

5ElemAlpha

@5ElemAlpha

Ex-institutional trader | Macro strategist & systematic investor | Sharing market insights & trade ideas

New York, NY Katılım Eylül 2021
35 Takip Edilen30 Takipçiler
5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@HormuzLetter Wtf!!! Agreement to enrichment?! And handing over control of SoH?!!? wtf?!
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The Hormuz Letter
The Hormuz Letter@HormuzLetter·
BREAKING: Iran's Supreme National Security Council says the US has agreed to the following 10 points as the basis for the ceasefire: 1. No further US aggression 2. Continued Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz 3. Acceptance of uranium enrichment 4. Lifting of all primary and secondary sanctions 5. Termination of all UN Security Council and IAEA resolutions 6. Compensation to Iran 7. Withdrawal of US combat forces from the region 8. Cessation of war on all fronts 9. Release of all frozen Iranian assets 10. Controlled transit through the Strait of Hormuz coordinated with Iranian armed forces These are the Iranian side's claimed terms. Trump said on Truth Social that the 10-point proposal is "a workable basis on which to negotiate." The US has not publicly confirmed the specific points.
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@zerohedge You never pick a fight with someone who has nothing to lose. In this case we have bibi dealing with corruption allegations, trump dealing with Epstein allegations, Iran dealing with protestors. Seems like ongoing war is best for everyone involved to hide the real problem.
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
"If Trump wants to fall from one hole to another with his madness, we have prepared a black hole for him from which it will be impossible for him to get out" - Tasnim reports citing military source, via Telegram "Trump's threats are more due to his desperation and helplessness and Iran's authority in the field than to his initiative and power. But if Trump wants to fall from one hole to another with his madness, we have prepared a black hole for him from which it will be impossible for him to get out." "We have prepared good surprises for Trump's possible madness; one of them is the addition of Aramco oil facilities, Yanbu oil facilities and the Fujairah pipeline to Iran's targets, and in the event of Trump's crime, Iran will not hesitate to impose heavy costs on the United States and its partners." "Trump thinks that with these threats, the strait will open and the price of oil will drop! He does not know that if he carries out his threat, he will have to wait for oil prices to reach $200 in the coming days."
zerohedge tweet media
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@realMeetKevin AXIOS has been a major propaganda tool for the trump regime in this conflict, are we supposed to take their claim at face value?
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Meet Kevin
Meet Kevin@realMeetKevin·
🚨 WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL: Trump is "bloodthirsty, like a mad dog", disagreeing that Hegseth or Marco Rubio are egging him on. "These guys sound like the doves compared to the Pressident," Trump is calling today, "Infrastructure Day." per a White House official via Axios.
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ian bremmer
ian bremmer@ianbremmer·
“there is no longer a nuclear threat from north korea” - donald trump, 2018 could iran be next?
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@zerohedge Each second Trump delays the deadline is bullish for the market mechanically given amount of put option theta gets decayed.
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Nonzee
Nonzee@0xNonceSense·
🇺🇸 TRUMP INSIDER STRIKES AGAIN HE JUST OPENED A $100M+ SHORT BEFORE THE U.S. MARKET OPEN. SAME TRADER WHO REPORTEDLY MADE ~$75M CALLING THE IRAN SITUATION EARLY. NOW BETTING ON DOWNSIDE AGAIN, EXPECTING MAJOR NEWS THIS WEEKEND. HE HASN’T MISSED YET 👀
Nonzee tweet media
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@annacoull Tomorrow will be interesting irrespective of market open or not.....pay attention to the headlines.
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Anna Coulling
Anna Coulling@annacoull·
There's low volume & then there's today's volume on SPY daily chart with a similar pattern on QQQ, IWM & DIA. Tomorrow should be interesting.
Anna Coulling tweet media
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@KobeissiLetter Boots on the ground tomorrow night when market close for the long weekend.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
Tonight's situation is incredibly puzzling. In President Trump's address to the nation just now, he effectively reread many of his recent social media posts out loud. Between threatening Iran's power plants, saying the Iran War would last 2-3 more weeks, and calling out NATO, there was nothing new. Yet, the market is now trading like the Iran War is ramping up for another month-long escalation. Why? Because he didn't explicitly de-escalate. Ironically, President Trump's address to the nation just now has imposed more pressure on the US through the market's reaction. The market, which was finally beginning to show some signs of calming, is now highly agitated, with US oil prices back to $104/barrel, stocks down sharply, and the bond market melting down again. Ironically, President Trump is now back to solving the problem he fixed earlier this week: How will he contain the market?
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@Osint613 Clearly trump is setting the market up for a weekend incursion.
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
BREAKING 🔴 Trump: “Iran's New Regime President, much less Radicalized and far more intelligent than his predecessors, has just asked the United States of America for a CEASEFIRE! We will consider when Hormuz Strait is open, free, and clear. Until then, we are blasting Iran into oblivion or, as they say, back to the Stone Ages!!! President DJT”
Open Source Intel tweet media
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@Osint613 Leaks ahead of Trump’s 9PM ET address suggest a "Mission Accomplished" pivot. Expected to announce a 2-3 week US withdrawal timeline while issuing a final April 6 ultimatum: hand over the uranium or face a surgical extraction by the 82nd Airborne.
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@biancoresearch US must secure a decisive victory over Iran including opening of the strait, the consequences over the impact on petrol dollar will be catastrophic absent of total control in the region.
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@zerohedge People don’t realize how tied the USD is to Middle East dominance. If the US doesn't achieve a decisive win over Iran, we’re looking at the collapse of the petrodollar and a total dumping of Treasuries.
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@KobeissiLetter Market isnt becoming numb to the headlines, market is realizing that this is going to be a protracted war and Iranians are not going to budge on their demands.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
At 4:11 PM ET, President Trump extended his “pause” of US strikes on Iranian power plants and oil prices fell -6%. 40 minutes later, that entire decline was erased. Markets are becoming numb to the headlines.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
JUST IN 🔴 Canada says it is ready to help ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
Open Source Intel tweet media
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@KobeissiLetter Yet shipping data show no transit still. Basically all talk no actual chance
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
There are widespread reports on Iran allowing "any country aside from the US and Israel" to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. If this is true, China and India alone will be able to restore nearly 7 million barrels of oil supply PER DAY. In other words, ~39% of the 18 million barrels per day of supply currently offline due to the Strait of Hormuz closure would return to the market. This would be massive news if confirmed.
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@zerohedge SPR release is very bullish E&P stocks as it raises the backend of oil curve. Bullish.
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
UNITED STATES TO RELEASE 172 MLN BARRELS OF OIL FROM STRATEGIC PETROLEUM RESERVE - DOE
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@michaeljburry looks like targeting critical energy infrastructure is a good strategy for Iran to make Trump TACO
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Cassandra Unchained
Cassandra Unchained@michaeljburry·
President Trump may have gotten into something that would be incredibly dangerous for the world if he shows again that a falling stock market is his kryptonite. @realDonaldTrump
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WarrenVsCCP | 🇺🇸🇹🇼🇺🇸
Meet Eileen Gu, American 🇺🇸 by passport, competing for Beijing 🇨🇳. She’s American🇺🇸, but chose to compete for China🇨🇳. China 🇨🇳 doesn’t recognize dual citizenship. If you want to represent China 🇨🇳 on the world stage, then be consistent — give up the U.S. 🇺🇸 passport. You can’t claim the benefits of America 🇺🇸 while competing under a system that doesn’t even acknowledge dual loyalty. Pick a side.
WarrenVsCCP | 🇺🇸🇹🇼🇺🇸 tweet media
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Khalil Underwood
Khalil Underwood@RealKhalilU·
Wyd if she starts chasing you?
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5ElemAlpha
5ElemAlpha@5ElemAlpha·
@zerohedge A major bank just got liquidated. Just look at the volatility in copper
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