7AM

@RXu107 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Anyone who read the rules made real bank that day 👏

🐾 Monad 上线一天后是否大于 4B？—— 今年最大的预测市场的跨平台信息不对等性机会！ 大家可以看下猫猫我 Repost 的这篇文章 他提到了一个观点就是 “在昨天晚上9点，@Polymarket 上购买 Monad 大于4B 的 NO ” 是一个大机会 因为昨天在快结算尾盘的时候依旧有 35%-60% 且流动性充盈 但猫猫完全不同意这位老哥的看法！！！！ 因为这个市场整体的规则写的非常非常模糊！ 我们先来看看这个盘口的规则： “规则要求用 T+24 小时时段里“最具流动性的平台”作为结算依据” 这条模糊不清的规则导致了两个非常严重的问题： 1 时间问题： 主网在 11.24 的 9 EST 上线，CEX 在 10 EST 上线，中间差了整整 1 小时，以哪个时间为基准？ 2 数据源问题： 没说清楚以哪家 CEX/ DEX 价格进行结算，只给了一个非常模糊的概念 “最具流动性的平台” 下图为 @coinbase 和 @Official_Upbit 在结算时间段对应的 MON 价格 如果以 Coinbase 来结算的话，毫无疑问是 NO，但以 Upbit 价格来结算则达到了符合 Yes 的条件 在如此模糊不清的规则下，这也能解释了为什么没有 bot 来扫尾盘 另外这个盘口最迷惑的一步：在临近结算提案人突然加一句： “最具流动性的平台，参考 Coinbase” 这一句就很扯淡了，你前面 24 小时都没写 Coinbase，临了临了突然甩一句 “Coinbase 是流动性最好的平台” 更关键的点在于： “流动性最强”本身就是一个多维度的概念： 从 成交量（Volume） 来看： 根据历史数据，Coingecko 给出的全球现货分布里—— Upbit 的交易量占比 35.88%，而 Coinbase 只有 18.39%，那我们就要采用 Upbit 作为最具流动性参考吗？ 但若以流动性指数（Liquidity Score） 来衡量： CoinMarketCap 的指标显示，Coinbase 的流动性评分为 636，高于 Upbit 的 511 在这一维度下，Coinbase 又显得更具“市场深度与撮合能力” 不同的流动性衡量方法会得出完全不同的结果。 而规则并未事先定义采用哪一种标准，使得“最具流动性的平台”这一条款在实际执行中无法客观落地 基于以上种种源于原因 导致 polymarket 社区对这个盘口判定结果依旧存在巨大分歧，所以导致此盘口已经被两次 dispute 了 而同一个盘口 @opinionlabsxyz 的规则就明显清晰的多 时间点明确：以任何dex/cex 代币流通后的24小时 数据源明确：以 CoinMarketCap 作为唯一数据源 也正因如此，昨日真正具有风险回报优势的并非 Polymarket 的Monad 4B NO 尾盘 而是在 @Polymarket 的因规则不确定性导致 NO 端出现集中抛售时，反向布局确定性的 @opinionlabsxyz 的 4B NO 因为按照 CMC 的公开数据，在结算前约 30 分钟的价格区间内，MON 的 FDV 全程未触及 4B，定价相对明确 在这里必须对 @ForrestOLAB 与 @Nicki57457 所坚持的规则透明度标准表示尊重 在预测市场中，明确、可验证且不可随意变动的规则，才是整个系统可信赖的根本 结尾： 这一事件说明：预测市场在跨平台资交易，问题从来不在价格，而在于规则是否事前明确且可复现 Polymarket 的本次盘口的问题在于：未提前定义“流动性”应按哪项指标衡量，导致任何结算结果都可能被质疑 相比之下，@opinionlabsxyz 用统一时间点与单一数据源，给出了可验证的标准 最终，这起争议真正提醒我们的不是 YES 或 NO，而是： 预测市场必须建立在清晰而不可随意调整的规则之上，否则和合约市场的类 MMT /MYX 之徒的 Crime Coin 无异

@huang_wanlin @opinionlabsxyz Nice one bro! You’ve gotta have some trust in the underdog sometimes 🙏

有人是看我帖子下单的吗！！？？ 卧槽 KT 真的太牛逼了哈哈哈哈哈哈哈！！！ 舒服了！感谢 KT！！感谢 Opinion！！！ @opinionlabsxyz

@0xInitiator @opinionlabsxyz @ForrestOLAB lfg 🙏

This is the type of founder you want to see behind your project. I'm very bullish on @opinionlabsxyz ! Today I had a bug with my balance on OpinionLabs, so I wrote a reply to @ForrestOLAB X about the issue and asked for help. I was really surprised when @ForrestOLAB personally contacted me in DMs and provided support. After the team fixed the error, he even followed up to ask if everything was solved. @ForrestOLAB reminds me of @chameleon_jeff - this is definitely the kind of founder you want leading your project. gOPINION

@ForrestOLAB I was there it was wild 👀

Volume & OI both have just DOUBLED since my last tweet, in just 3 hours. 100m soon🚀

@michael_lwy @opinionlabsxyz This heal my inner autism child

this is actually my favorite feature from @opinionlabsxyz

@0xSmallshark @opinionlabsxyz dm me on discord bro

I want to join the Pioneer Program! Even though I didn’t get the invite code yet, I truly believe in what @opinionlabsxyz is building — a real, passionate, and creative community that values authenticity over hype. I love communities that reward genuine participation and loyalty, not just big accounts or loud voices. That’s why I want to become a Pioneer — to contribute, create, and help shape this prediction revolution together. Let’s make something meaningful, one honest conversation at a time

@0xBumblebee @delucinator x.com/trylimitless/s…

@delucinator proofs or it's a meme?

The Limitless guy is basically a solana memecoin founder

@oragnes please fill out your email here and wait fam app.olab.xyz/home

@7am_OpinionLabs Give me code .

@ForrestOLAB 🙋

Let me know if you want to be an early bird and get in first 👇

OPN Point Program Season 1 is LOCKED and LOADED

@ForrestOLAB @trylimitless @BNBCHAIN Fastest switch up I’ve seen in a while 😭

4 facts: 1. Copying GTM strategy. Noted. 2. While you @trylimitless were busy launching/ soft rugged $turky memes, we stayed heads down building. 3. Welcome to be #21 on BNB Chain. 4. Let users + volume do the talking. Pick a date to launch same day on @BNBCHAIN . Actions > words. Focus on building, not copying.

@ForrestOLAB @trylimitless @Polymarket @cz_binance @OracleBNB @KaitoAI How can you call yourself a prediction market builder when you faked proof that CZ blocked you? 😂 x.com/cz_binance/sta…

@bestshitcoin @AAyenuyo @Cointelegraph So it’s fine to take fees from users, but not okay for some token owners? talkin abt rtard take 😂

@7am_OpinionLabs @AAyenuyo @Cointelegraph with trading fees and not listing fees?

🔥 CZ: If you have to beg an exchange to list, ask yourself who is providing value to whom. Work on your project, not other people.

@bestshitcoin @AAyenuyo @Cointelegraph Explain to me how you gonna run a business without charge anything?

@7am_OpinionLabs @AAyenuyo @Cointelegraph that's one of the most retarded takes i've heard in a while. proper team due diligence prevents that. stop being retarded/blind binance fans.

@bestshitcoin @Cointelegraph Sorry, I don’t mean to sound toxic, but I just can’t stand dumb comparisons

@7am_OpinionLabs @Cointelegraph so nance isn't charging trading fees anymore?

@bestshitcoin @Cointelegraph I'm not the one who complain about the fee and bring cartel into this fart brain 😂✌️

@bestshitcoin @Cointelegraph Someone want to rent your house and won’t pay the rent what you gonna do?

@Cointelegraph same mechanism with a cartel collecting insurance fees from its neighbors

@bestshitcoin @AAyenuyo @Cointelegraph Let's pump this token to the moon and then rug holder with no fees so we can create another token get free list wohooo Let's turn this CEX into Pump Fun version 2

@AAyenuyo @Cointelegraph from what exactly?

@wizw1z @cz_binance Major projects aren’t listed on some specific CEXs. For example, why doesn’t OKX list BNB? Nothing personal just move on

@cz_binance Sooo....why haven't you listed HYPE?

Unpopular opinion post: On Listing "Fees" (saw this a few times recently) 1. If you are a project complaining about listing airdrops or "fees" (to users), Don't pay it. If your project is strong, exchanges will race to list your coin. If you have to beg an exchange to list, then... You need to ask yourself why, and who is providing value to whom. 2. If you complain about a competitor exchange's listing fees, then by all means, make your own listing fees 0, and be happy. In fact, why not set all your fees to 0? including trading fees? In a decentralized world, businesses are free to have their own business models. No one is forcing you to adopt a certain model. Focus on treating your users well. Don't focus on your competitors. 3. If you are a bag holder of a coin, complain to the project. Not the exchange. Or use a DEX. 4. PancakeSwap doesn't have listing fees, and has very good volumes. Further on this topic, exchanges adopt different listing models. 1. List everything on every blockchain. Most tokens are scams. Of the real "hard working" projects, most fail. Only a few projects will succeed. 2. Selectively list and make listing fee a revenue source. It's fine business model if you can attractive enough projects to list. Many small exchanges use this model, as they don't have enough trading fee revenue. 3. Selectively list. Ask for Airdrops to users. Security deposits, to make scams and failed projects more expensive to pull off. Protect users. These models are not black and white, and many exchanges adopt a combination of them between spot listing, futures listing, alpha listing, web3 wallet buys, etc. Work on your project, not other people. 🙏

@sleepy0x13 @opinionlabsxyz 👀