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I was hanging around here before it was cool (also a bit after it was initially cool, basically in that uncool gap):
bsky.app/profile/adamdr…
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Adam Drummond
16K posts
Adam Drummond
@AGKD123
Pollster, these days only really here: https://t.co/lMxqWr2539
London Katılım Mayıs 2011
630 Takip Edilen2.1K Takipçiler
@Psythor Mine's much more active but I follow a fairly large number of Americans TBF
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The real loser so far this election is Bluesky. My timeline there is empty.
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Adam Drummond retweetledi
@gabrielmilland Although I'd also add a hefty error margin to those figures given that I had to read the question text back slowly
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4. Parties and campaigns can read public polling as well and so the private work often plugs gaps in that. E.g. for a mayoral election we knew that there would be public polls coming out once a month so our private ones went in those gaps for more regular data
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3. Asking different questions: public polls ask voting intent, leader approval etc. and topical stuff, but campaigns need other, more practical questions like have people heard this or that message (from your client or others), which version of this strapline lands best etc.
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This was interesting so my few bits to add to it:
1. Central point is totally correct, private polling doesn't use some secret sauce that isn't available to public polling, in both cases the incentive is to be as accurate as possible so you do the best you can
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@CWP_Weir "Harris is taking back a significant number of the double-haters that were supporting you Bobby, we need to shake up the race"
"Wait, I've got it"
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@montie Not a comment on your original point but:
twitter.com/AGKD123/status…
Adam Drummond@AGKD123
Fieldwork for this was finished by Friday morning, vast majority done before Starmer's press conference. Also it's his disapproval numbers returning to something normal and we saw something similar with Sunak's post-GE bounce wearing off as well
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While northern towns are burning this is not a good look
Steven Swinford@Steven_Swinford
Times weekend read: * Labour has set sights on destroying the Tories - Starmer’s allies think they are there for the taking * Morgan McSweeney told political cabinet: ‘They have been reduced to a number so small that they could hold their annual conference around this table. Less One Nation, more one room’ * Ministers were told that many of those who backed Lib Dems and Greens did so for tactical reasons and would be open to voting Labour in future * One senior aide to Starmer said that a quarter of those who backed the Conservatives would be open to voting Labour in future too * The argument was that Blair’s landslide in 1997 was seen as a high watermark. If Labour delivers this time there should be no limit to ambitions * Labour will continue to build on claim that Tories have left ‘dire’ inheritance. More tax rises are coming on October 30 * YouGov suggests Labour strategy might work - six in 10 back cuts to public spending, 41% vs 34% back tax rises * But there is risk - 35% believe tax rises would be Labour’s choice against a quarter who blame Tories * Starmer due to go on holiday in a week’s time - but his response to riots next week could be far more significant than anything in first month of his premiership thetimes.com/article/7c93d0…
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Fieldwork for this was finished by Friday morning, vast majority done before Starmer's press conference. Also it's his disapproval numbers returning to something normal and we saw something similar with Sunak's post-GE bounce wearing off as well
Politics UK@PolitlcsUK
🚨 NEW: Keir Starmers approval rating has dropped from +19 to +3 in two weeks in the latest poll [@OpiniumResearch]
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Adam Drummond retweetledi
Just wanted to share quickly how lovely yesterday felt in Southport; a total contrast to the night before. 🧵
The mosque and people’s garden walls were rebuilt by builders and bricklayers volunteering their time and labour:
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The British public are badly wrong here. E.G. A week trip to the British seaside is not a ‘staycation’ it’s a holiday and always has been. Staycation is about staying put at home.
YouGov@YouGov
What do you believe the term ‘staycation’ to mean? A holiday where you stay in your home: 26% A holiday where you stay somewhere in the UK: 67% yougov.co.uk/topics/travel/…
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Probably would've been good to specify that this is referring to one specific case
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This was prompted after hearing not one but two younger colleagues say "Gen Zee" and my general assumption that because of global media most English pronunciations will gradually Americanize.
Looks like the line is holding for now
Adam Drummond@AGKD123
People with kids (in the UK), settle a bet for me: Do your children tend to pronounce the letter Z as zed or zee?
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