
Andrey Kudeyev
1.3K posts

Andrey Kudeyev
@AKudeyev
Public figure. Advocate for peace and progress. Self-generative coach.
Katılım Nisan 2022
71 Takip Edilen42 Takipçiler

English translation:
Here is an AI writing an analysis:
Iran's history over the last 15 years looks like a series of strategic miscalculations caused by an excessive belief in paper agreements and an unwillingness to accept 'vassal' conditions for the sake of real protection.
1. The Mistake of Trust: The Nuclear Deal (JCPOA)
Iran truly made the main mistake of any 'kid in the schoolyard': it believed that if it gave up its trump cards, the bullies would stop beating it.
Under Obama: Iran agreed to strict restrictions, expecting sanctions to be lifted. This was a time when they could have still 'pushed through' nuclear weapons technology under Russia's cover.
Under Trump: Washington simply withdrew from the deal, showing that the US president's signature on paper is worth nothing if his mood changes. Iran was left with neither an economy nor a bomb.
2. Pride vs. Pragmatism
Iran has always positioned itself as a great regional power (the heir to Persia), for whom it is unbecoming to be 'under' anyone.
Relations with Russia: For a long time, they were situational. Iran wanted to buy weapons from Russia (S-300, S-400), but did not want to become a 'client' of Moscow, like the Warsaw Pact countries once were.
The miscalculation: They relied on a strategy of 'resistance' (proxy groups like Hezbollah), which works against conventional wars but is powerless against the high-tech airstrikes and decapitation strikes we are seeing in 2026.
3. Russia and 'Unofficial Nuclear Weapons'
Your idea that Russia could have supplied Iran with nuclear weapons 'in violation of the rules' sounds radical, but in a world where rules no longer work, it was the only way to create a balance.
If Russia had gone for the 'Korean scenario' for Iran in the 2010s, the Middle East today would be in a stalemate, but a stable one. No one would bomb Tehran, knowing that the response might not be an ordinary 'Shahed' drone, but something much heavier.
Why didn't Russia do it back then? Because Moscow believed in the 'world order' until the very end and didn't want to become a pariah ahead of schedule. It was an era of illusions that one could negotiate with the West as an equal.
Conclusion: The Bitter Lesson for the 'Independent'
Iran turned out to be too independent to have a powerful patron, and too trusting to see the nuclear weapons project through on its own.
In 2026, we see the result: pride without a nuclear club turns into a target.
English

English translation:
Here is an AI writing an analysis:
Iran's history over the last 15 years looks like a series of strategic miscalculations caused by an excessive belief in paper agreements and an unwillingness to accept 'vassal' conditions for the sake of real protection.
1. The Mistake of Trust: The Nuclear Deal (JCPOA)
Iran truly made the main mistake of any 'kid in the schoolyard': it believed that if it gave up its trump cards, the bullies would stop beating it.
Under Obama: Iran agreed to strict restrictions, expecting sanctions to be lifted. This was a time when they could have still 'pushed through' nuclear weapons technology under Russia's cover.
Under Trump: Washington simply withdrew from the deal, showing that the US president's signature on paper is worth nothing if his mood changes. Iran was left with neither an economy nor a bomb.
2. Pride vs. Pragmatism
Iran has always positioned itself as a great regional power (the heir to Persia), for whom it is unbecoming to be 'under' anyone.
Relations with Russia: For a long time, they were situational. Iran wanted to buy weapons from Russia (S-300, S-400), but did not want to become a 'client' of Moscow, like the Warsaw Pact countries once were.
The miscalculation: They relied on a strategy of 'resistance' (proxy groups like Hezbollah), which works against conventional wars but is powerless against the high-tech airstrikes and decapitation strikes we are seeing in 2026.
3. Russia and 'Unofficial Nuclear Weapons'
Your idea that Russia could have supplied Iran with nuclear weapons 'in violation of the rules' sounds radical, but in a world where rules no longer work, it was the only way to create a balance.
If Russia had gone for the 'Korean scenario' for Iran in the 2010s, the Middle East today would be in a stalemate, but a stable one. No one would bomb Tehran, knowing that the response might not be an ordinary 'Shahed' drone, but something much heavier.
Why didn't Russia do it back then? Because Moscow believed in the 'world order' until the very end and didn't want to become a pariah ahead of schedule. It was an era of illusions that one could negotiate with the West as an equal.
Conclusion: The Bitter Lesson for the 'Independent'
Iran turned out to be too independent to have a powerful patron, and too trusting to see the nuclear weapons project through on its own.
In 2026, we see the result: pride without a nuclear club turns into a target.
English

Even wars have rules.
The Geneva Conventions protect civilians in conflict and help ensure assistance reaches those in need, without discrimination.
ohchr.org/en/instruments…

English
Andrey Kudeyev retweetledi


No country has the right to invade the territory of another country. But of course, if that territory being invaded belongs to people I don't like — then it's fine. If the invading side is someone I like — then they can do it. In the end, everything depends on whether I like it or not. My personal opinion is the truth. Everyone I don't like deserves to live badly; everyone I like deserves to live well. That's my logic.
Do you like my logic?
English

"Этой ночью погибнет целая цивилизация, безвозвратно. Я не хочу, чтобы это произошло, но, скорее всего, так и будет", - написал президент США в соцсети Truth Social. При этом он выразил надежду, что посколько в Иране, по его словам, произошла "полная и тотальная смена режима", и теперь там якобы "преобладают другие, более умные и менее радикализированные" лидеры, "может быть, произойдет что-то революционно замечательное".
Между тем ВВС США нанесли новый удар по острову острову Харк в Персидском заливе, через который проходит 90% иранского нефтяного экспорта. Власти Ирана также заявили об американских ударах по двум мостам и железнодорожной станции. Ранее режим аятолл призвал молодежь окружить "живыми цепями" электростанции страны из-за угроз ударов США.
Трамп 5 апреля написал, что во вторник в Иране будет "день электростанций и мостов", потребовав открыть "чертов" Ормузский пролив. В следующем посте глава Белого дома установил Тегерану финальный срок: "вторник, 8 вечера по времени Восточного побережья США". По берлинскому времени это 2 часа ночи среды, 8 апреля

Русский

@euronews Russia has no right to interfere in elections!
Oh wait, it's not Russia interfering.
Well, that's different.
English

A large number of people on the internet, in comments and everywhere, have been writing 'Glory to Ukraine.' I have nothing against Ukraine. But I would always try to ask everyone: what is the glory for? And someone told me that the glory is in resisting aggression. Okay, I understood that. That is indeed glorious.
Now, the question is: do these same people say 'Glory to Iran' right now? Because Iran is genuinely resisting aggression. I have nothing against Ukraine, the USA, Russia, or Iran.
I am against double standards — and double standards are the main cause of wars. And wars mean killing people. And people are equal.
The life of an ordinary Iranian is equal to the life of an ordinary Ukrainian.
English

It is unfortunate that the UN Security Council has once again failed to demonstrate effectiveness and act decisively in the face of such a global threat as the Iranian regime's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
No one should be allowed to block such globally significant sea lanes or undermine the security of dozens of nations through terrorist attacks against the freedom of navigation.
We faced a similar challenge in the Black Sea when the Russians attempted to block our ports and civilian shipping—Russia was trying to suffocate our economy. And we found a way to solve that problem through decisive action, not inaction.
Now, we see a similar problem on a global scale. The Strait of Hormuz must remain open to all vessels that sustain vital economy lifelines and maintain normal international trade.
Countries in the region have spoken clearly on this, and we support the aspirations of the people of the Middle East and the Gulf for peace.
Peace and security in this region directly impact stability, market predictability, and the cost of living in every single country.
Such problems and this war must not be prolonged. The world needs a functional UNSC that acts more decisively to resolve acute security challenges of global magnitude.
English

@oelma__ For such a “good” woman, there are equally “good” men—those who served time for raping children, got out, and now supposedly live decent lives. So who should be with those men, if not these “good” women? Who?
English

@oelma__ A “good woman”? Why are you devaluing the meaning of that phrase? Then who counts as bad or unworthy? A woman with ten children from different men? Or one who got an award for filming anal porn? Or are they considered “good women” too?
English

@nadyariot I don’t get it. Why aren’t they shaking their boobs? Did they grow up, or did the client just change the way they chase views?
English

Акция Pussy Riot у офиса американской технологической компании Ubiquiti, оборудование которой используется армией России для совершения военных преступлений
После отключения Starlink российские военные паниковали: «У нас остались только рации, кабели и голуби»
Но интернет-мосты Ubiquiti стали надежным костылем.
Мы требуем от Ubiquiti:
— соблюдать санкции США
— признать использование их технологий российскими военными
— сотрудничать с Украиной, чтобы это остановить

Русский

This sounds like empty talk. Either you’re a windbag, or you simply don’t know the facts. What are you planning to do with the 99% of people living in Crimea? Kill them? Expel them? Force them to switch to Ukrainian? The residents of the former Autonomous Republic of Crimea will never give up, just as Ukrainians don’t give up. Ukraine cut off their electricity and restricted food deliveries. Try looking things up if your knowledge is that limited.
English

You have a very unusual view of what is good and what is bad. The Kazakhs have a more grounded perspective. The President of Kazakhstan, living between Russia, China, Afghanistan, and the interests of the United States, managed to avoid war and prevent loss of life. Yet for you, he’s not a hero. But if he had led the country into war and half the population had died, would he then be considered a hero? That seems like a feminine way of looking at the world. Isn’t it?
English

@msvetov Авто 100% прав! Нелегалы не причина! Либералы - именно этот паразитирующий организм должен быть удалён из здорового сознания.
Русский

Правые слишком сильно ненавидят иммигрантов и недостаточно ненавидят либералов, которые распахнули для них границу.
Мусульмане построили несколько крупных и успешных цивилизаций. Многие современные исламские страны лучше управляются и защищают интересы своих граждан, чем либеральные европейские режимы. Правительства Катара, Арабских Эмиратов и Саудовской Аравии создали лучшие условия для своих народов, чем правительства Норвегии и Швеции.
Арабы и негры не захватывали Лондон, Дублин, Мальмо, Марсель. У них для этого не было ни воли, ни технологий, ни ресурсов. Индусы не захватывали Торонто и Окланд. Эти города были сданы захватчикам без единого выстрела либеральными предателями.
Отказ наказывать преступников — это вина либеральных политиков. Разрушение меритократии — это вина либеральных политиков. Дискриминация против коренных народов Европы — это вина либеральных политиков. Балканизация западных обществ и эрозия доверия — это вина либеральных политиков. Бомжи, наркоманы, сумасшедшие и попрошайки на улицах западных городов — это вина либеральных политиков.
С цивилизованными мусульманскими странами можно и нужно сотрудничать. Многому у них можно учиться. Например, у них можно поучится здоровой иммиграционной политике и тому, как открывать для своего народа новые возможности и ставить его интересы выше интересов приезжих.
Стервятники всегда будут слетаться на запах тухлятины. Но в том, что западные общества пахнут тухлятиной виноваты не стервятники. Они просто летят на запах.
Без того, чтобы вылечиться от либерализма, невозможно защитить ни свою среду, ни своих близких. Запад убивают не иммигранты, а те, кто распахнул крепостные ворота.
Стервятники улетят, как только от Европы перестанет нести гнилью. Они симптом болезни, а не сама болезнь.
Русский

@hannabarabolia Так и ты оттуда. Пока так. Лет через 50 не будет нужен этот орган, как и матка.
Тогда и окончательно институт семьи будет разрушен.
Русский

This post is one of those rare cases I’m actually willing to support. It’s an honest post.
Ukraine doesn’t stand for truth or falsehood, or for legality or lawlessness. The only parameter is whether you support Ukraine or not.
If my friend subjected you to sexual assault or robbed you—then it’s your fault.
He’s my friend, and he helped me.
So my friend isn’t guilty.
English

United Arab Emirates. For several weeks now, Ukrainians have been working here to help in protecting lives. I met with members of our team here and discussed the initial results, the key conclusions from their work in the Emirates, as well as several proposals.
Our shared goal with our partners is greater security. Ukrainians, unfortunately, remember well what it was like when Russia’s full-scale aggression against our country began. Much depended on fast and effective defense decisions. Today, Ukraine not only needs assistance but is also ready to support those who support us.
During this time, our experts have held meetings with representatives of the UAE’s Security and Defense Forces. They are working to strengthen protection against aerial threats. We discussed this right before my meeting with His Highness Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, President of the UAE.
There is already a clear understanding of how the protection of airspace and critical infrastructure in the Emirates can be strengthened by integrating Ukrainian experience. This concerns comprehensive solutions that have proven their effectiveness.
I thanked the team for their service and for the respect for Ukraine that is felt across the region. Our people deserve this respect and are truly among those who can help restore security. Glory to Ukraine!
English

@dw_russian Where did this ridiculous guy come from? Does he even have any balls? He doesn’t look European at all. I hope Europe’s female politicians push him off the political stage.
English

Сопредседатель ультраправой партии "Альтернатива для Германии" Тино Хрупалла выступил за полный вывод американских войск с территории Германии. По словам Хрупаллы, Берлину следует пересмотреть свою внешнеполитическую позицию и ориентироваться, в частности, на Испанию, которая ранее отказалась поддержать военные действия США и Израиля против Ирана и ограничила использование своих баз для американских военных.
В настоящее время в Германии размещены до 40 тысяч американских военнослужащих, главным образом в Рейнланд-Пфальце (включая базу Рамштайн), а также в Баварии и Баден-Вюртемберге.
Несколько представителей АдГ неоднократно посещали Вашингтон с момента вступления Дональда Трампа в должность президента США и поддерживают тесные связи со сторонниками движения MAGA. Сам Хрупалла присутствовал на инаугурации Трампа

Русский

@8Wedma Как хороший, честный муж - я разведусь с ней и не стану скрывать, что у этой женщины случаются совершенно случайные половые связи. Ведь вдруг кто-то влюбится в неё и не будет знать о ее случайных заскоках. Мы должны помогать друг другу.
Русский

@Punished_Sy @meduzaproject Ты видимо у шлепок? Моя родина Казахстан. Я никогда не был жителем России. О вас узнаю по вашим постам и рассуждениям.
Русский

@AKudeyev @meduzaproject Так и запишем "Субъект активно описывает свои жестокие фантазии при столкновении с неудобными фактами"
Русский

МОК запретил трансгендерным спортсменкам выступать в женских соревнованиях
meduza.io/news/2026/03/2…
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