Alex

14.2K posts

Alex

Alex

@ALex28943

Illinois, USA Katılım Şubat 2010
40 Takip Edilen698 Takipçiler
Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@OptionsMir Before the war with Iran the S&P was stuck/consolidating/downtrending….im trading post Iran conflict- the issues that were there before are still there now- Trump just created a distraction-AI is still replacing jobs and software….and private equity is still hurting
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TraderMir ‎ ✮
TraderMir ‎ ✮@OptionsMir·
if you’re still trading based on war headlines please explain in one paragraph or less, why?
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@TonyFerreira20 @StockSavvyShay @brewmarkets Correct…this is all a positioning move….not buying pressure as it was in April 2025….financial conditions are the real problem but a good distraction worked for private equity to try to hide their problem….this war was all about financial markets
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Tony Ferreira | Macro
Tony Ferreira | Macro@TonyFerreira20·
@StockSavvyShay @brewmarkets Markets reclaiming pre-shock levels this quickly usually signals the move was positioning-driven, not liquidity-driven. When financial conditions stay stable, geopolitics rarely breaks trend.
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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
The S&P 500 is now back in the green for the year. It has also climbed back above its pre-Iran war level.
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@MichaelPBento All of this is just positioning unwinding…..same for US markets….just step back and realize the markets are in the exact position they were in in October….there’s been zero growth since then…the economy is not in expansion anymore….its contracting- Iran war was a distraction
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Michael Bento
Michael Bento@MichaelPBento·
The Nikkei is trading like Japan isn’t running out of oil
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@FinanceLancelot I mean that’s great that a deal will be reached (everyone knew this was gonna happen)….now to face the actual issues at home (which are f**** horrid) people are pissed-great distraction for 2 months tho…midterms are cooked- and to boot I’ll never vote for a sitting person again
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Financelot
Financelot@FinanceLancelot·
BREAKING: A new round of negotiations between the US and Iran may be held on Thursday President Trump says “they want to work a deal.”
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Alex@ALex28943·
@StockMKTNewz Market is ignoring any damages done….
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Evan
Evan@StockMKTNewz·
The S&P 500 is now trading at higher levels than when the 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 conflict began
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Consensus Media
Consensus Media@ConsensusGurus·
SanDisk should announce a stock split after the bell to really send this into one big blow off
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@TraderJonesy Had the worst day of the year today…..PPI numbers will be manipulated…I’m still in $680P for 05/15…..once the market assesses the damage from this war they’ll start looking at the real economy- and it’s not the “hottest economy right now”-people are pissed at prices
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TraderJonesy
TraderJonesy@TraderJonesy·
Me going into PPI tomorrow with my 670 May 29th puts. $SPY $SPX #SP500
GIF
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@WallstFendi Bank earnings will be hidden until next quarter where they will reveal their exposure to private equity….JPMorgan is the ultimate sleezeball who will hide what’s actually happening bc their stock has gone parabolic
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Wall St Fendi
Wall St Fendi@WallstFendi·
If you’re embarrassed, and you’re stuck in putts tomorrow might be your only chance for relief fingers crossed $spy
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@Crypto_Doug Yup took mine today too….this was one hellava short squeeze….the amount of individual names that went parabolic since April 1st is mind blowing 🤯
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TezzLA
TezzLA@Crypto_Doug·
Took my biggest loss of the year today. I was up significantly last night but was waiting for bigger move down which clearly never came. Currently in 04/24 $ndx 25k puts 04/17 $spx 6.8k puts Sell will come. Good luck to all
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@Remzztrades The leaders in the markets became $SNDK, $MU, and $WDC?
GIF
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
$spy $qqq there’s so many straight upwards (not parabolic) moves since April 1st….its insane the amount of short covering that has taken place bc these are all squeezes….not new volume
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@uncledoomer The mag 7 did not participate today….
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@amitisinvesting Well of course he has to focus back on the economy bc the middles/lower class is getting shredded right now and they’re pissed….midterms are gone bc of this- “here’s your increase in tax returns bc prices just spiked even more than last year”
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
I have a take on why Trump did the impromptu DoorDash press conference with a driver today. It's actually quite obvious why he did it and quite frankly I think it's very, very bullish. So, what have we heard over the past 5 weeks from Trump? "Iran can't have a nuke. We are going through an excursion. We will blow up the country if they don't comply." The past 1.5 months have all been about the Iran War. Every truth social post, media appearance, press conference has all been about this war. Well, it looks like there may be a serious chance at a deal which would end the war based on updates we got today. So, what's the first thing Trump decides to do? Go back to the affordability narrative. The whole point of the DoorDash driver was to show the American Public that the Big Beautiful Bill is working, no tax on tips/overtime is meaningful, and reframe the narrative around how Trump is helping the working class. For the FIRST time in over a month, we got an actual PR moment that had nothing to do with the war. Why is this bullish? Because it might mean that Trump is ready to move on from the war, claim victory, and get back to focusing on the one thing that will make or break the midterms: the economy. IF Trump is able to get a 10-20year ban on Iranian enrichment AND he is able to get oil down, stocks up, jobs up, etc. then come November...his narrative will be: "I not only got you a job and cheap oil and low inflation, but I'm keeping your kid's kids safe from a nuclear Iran." Voters have a very quick memory. Most will forget about this war by November if it ends soon. If it is still continuing...then it's really hard to care about a nuclear Iran if you can't pay rent. Today's moment with that DoorDash driver showed me that it feels like Trump wants to get back to focusing on the economy, which if true, probably would be very bullish for the stock market.
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@tradesoftoday @ConsensusGurus Everyone forgot the Epstein files, AI taking over jobs, private equity/credit going under….this was a created distraction and it worked….unfortunately the inflationary consequences will be great- but it hasn’t bled into labor market yet- but people are pissed 😡
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@tradesoftoday @ConsensusGurus Blockades don’t just last a week….when’s the last time one actually happened? No one investing/trading has experienced one before….but what happens when the damage from this whole thing is assessed? Bc it’s gone on long enough to create damage in the economy
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@TheBronxViking What happens when everyone stops focusing on the Iran War and wakes up to the damages it’s done in the actual economy….it’s now gone on long enough to do damage….airlines spiking prices, carriers raising rates…it hasn’t bled into labor market yet bc it’s in contraction
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TheBronxViking
TheBronxViking@TheBronxViking·
$SPY is now up $56 in just 9 trading days, straight out of that inverse H&S breakout🤯 Today was another relatively low volume climb higher. But under the surface: Over $400M in net call premium → driven by the AI trade → and finally $IGV (software) showing up with its best day in over a year up 5.4% No doubt a lot of short covering pushing price higher. Keep watching the flow but do not ignore the daily volume on a lot of these moves 🤝
TheBronxViking tweet mediaTheBronxViking tweet mediaTheBronxViking tweet media
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@tradesoftoday @ConsensusGurus As in losing my own job….the labor market is tightening, raises and overtime are going away….people are fighting for hours again….
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Alex
Alex@ALex28943·
@tradesoftoday @ConsensusGurus I guess 🤷‍♂️ hell I dunno anymore….ill give it 1 more day then im not going against the grain like i did last year-if you ask yourself are you economically better than 1 year ago & the answer is no then there’s something wrong in the market- for the 1st time im scared of job loss
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