Aaran Daniel

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Aaran Daniel

Aaran Daniel

@AaranDaniel

Head of Data @winefi - sharing uneducated opinions on current affairs, health, data science and @arsenalFC. Writing songs and dancing badly in my free time.

Argentina & London Katılım Kasım 2009
609 Takip Edilen1.7K Takipçiler
Aaran Daniel
Aaran Daniel@AaranDaniel·
@MaajidNawaz Has anyone seen any signs of an uprising of the people in the streets of Iran?
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أبو عمّار
أبو عمّار@MaajidNawaz·
RADICAL MEDIA STATEMENT ON IRAN WAR: 1) All war is undesirable and should only ever be a last resort. 2) Military strikes are undesirable but they are not the same thing as all out war. 3) All out World War III remains highly unlikely. 4) This ongoing conflict didn’t just start last night. The joint Israeli / US strikes on Iran, and Iran’s own strikes against regional Sunni Arab countries, will last a specified duration but it is difficult to conceive how they cause regime collapse inside Iran on their own. 5) Once these strikes subside, it is highly unlikely that the US or Israel will commit boots on the ground to bring about regime change inside Iran. 6) After these strikes are over, the people of Iran themselves will be responsible for removing the regime that rules over them, if they so desire. 7) The Iranian people may succeed if figures senior enough inside the Iranian military change sides and abandon Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khameni. This happened to Asad inside Syria, and to Maduro inside Venezuela. This may already be the plan. 8) Without exercising this plan, the Iranian people are unlikely to succeed in changing their own regime. 9) War is diplomacy through other means. Peace is the absence of the practicality of war. These strikes will eventually subside. Peace will then either be achieved with a new power inside Iran, or an exhausted Iranian regime that accepts US terms. It is highly unlikely that there will be all out World War III. We await the opportunity for peace and reassert the need for a grand regional settlement for peace in the shape of renewed peace Accords, named after Cyrus be they, or Abraham. 10) Regardless, the Iranian regime is a sectarian Shi’a Islamist theocracy that was invented by Khomeini in 1979 using his theory of Vilayat al-Faqih (Guardianship of the jurists). Shi’a Islamism, as invented by Khomeini, has no legitimacy in traditional orthodox Shi’a religion, which prohibits ‘ruling in God’s name’ for all except the awaited Messiah (the missing 12th Imam in Shi’a doctrine). It was to circumvent this prohibition that Khomeini argued that the jurists could ‘guard’ the rule in God’s name on behalf of the awaited Messiah, until he arrives. Khomeini’s heresy is rejected by all orthodox Shi’a Muslims. It is good for humanity when theocracies fall.
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James.
James.@afcjxmes·
We cannot extend his contract. It’d be such a bad decision on every front.
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Mo
Mo@MoArsenal86·
“If Arteta goes trophyless again…” I promise you the owners, board and club do NOT care what you think. He’s one of the most highly-rated in the industry and the dressing room absolutely loves him. Keep fantasizing about “replacing” him.
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AI
AI@nonewthing·
This is part of why Partey needs to go. Simply unreliable when we have almost no option. His brain and his body has let this club down one too many times. It is enough.
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Aaran Daniel
Aaran Daniel@AaranDaniel·
@alexfmac Completely, his opinions on wealth, “the rich”, capitalism and politics are all informed by his career and the kinds of people he was surrounded by… trading and traders.
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Alex Macdonald
Alex Macdonald@alexfmac·
If you’re a young person watching this clip you could be fooled into thinking Gary is wise. He’s both rich and a socialist - how is that possible? Well let me explain what ails him. He made his money playing a zero-sum game (trading). Someone had to lose in order for him to win. Most people in a capitalist society, like Daniel, create real value for everyone by playing positive sum games. That’s how most entrepreneurs get rich. Gary, despite all his gold stars on his maths tests at school, still doesn’t understand positive-games. Don’t be Gary.
Gary Stevenson@garyseconomics

Can you become a millionaire?

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Aaran Daniel
Aaran Daniel@AaranDaniel·
@moving_charlie Buying/selling a first time home right now is carnage with SDLT exemptions limits returning to £300,000 at the end of the month. It means a lot to people. £5000 might be a small % of the purchase price but it’s a big % on top of the deposit you have to save + all other fees
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Moving Home with Charlie
Moving Home with Charlie@moving_charlie·
🎯 👏🏻 😩 🔫 Stamp Duty on homes is THE most stupid tax (of many) in the country. Scrap stamp duty, watch housing transactions take off and boost the economy.
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Aaran Daniel
Aaran Daniel@AaranDaniel·
@moving_charlie I suppose in the end it depends on whether you think state runs institutions are ever capable of intelligently managing the risk of debt. I think they are but the system and incentive structures need to be sound and the people in power intelligent 😅.
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Moving Home with Charlie
Moving Home with Charlie@moving_charlie·
@AaranDaniel Because there’s always some risk. Sometimes it works out. Usually it doesn’t. The government shouldn’t be gambling
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Moving Home with Charlie
Moving Home with Charlie@moving_charlie·
The reason your taxes are so high now is because previous generations allowed the government to get away with overspending (getting into debt). People always pay, if not in taxes, in failed public services. Allowing the government to continue overspending (borrowing ever more) is burdening your kids and grandkids with even higher future taxes. Only the mathematically ignorant would ever support borrowing against our children’s future earnings as a good idea. And people say “running a government isn’t like running a business.” That mistaken belief is why our parents generation allowed the government to overspend. Now we can’t afford homes as nice as our parents have. Let’s not be a generation who perpetuate that stupid mistake. We’ll have no excuse when our kids grow up and ask us why we voted for it. Growing government debt is the destruction of our children’s prospects. Tell me I’m wrong.
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Aaran Daniel
Aaran Daniel@AaranDaniel·
@moving_charlie Unaffordable unsustainable debt is bad but government using debt selectively is not. A government running a surplus is a government taking a profit. Collecting more in revenue than it gives back to its tax payers. (Is the counter argument 😅.. I’m not 100% sure where I stand)
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Moving Home with Charlie
Moving Home with Charlie@moving_charlie·
Debt is not unavoidable and has an interest/cost/future burden that a government running a surplus wouldn’t need. Yes, there are instances where it’s worth it to create income producing assets where the long term payoff is significantly higher than the cost of debt. But apart from that, debt ruins lives and enslaves future generations.
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Aaran Daniel
Aaran Daniel@AaranDaniel·
@Ike_Saul Yeah they didn’t want him to say anything inflammatory to Putin and just tried to crowd him out to show off to Putin. There’s clear tactics going on… the morality of these tactics and whether or not they’ll work is another thing
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Isaac Saul
Isaac Saul@Ike_Saul·
Everyone is sharing the clip where this goes off the rails, but if you watch the actual full sit down you’ll see it all turned sour at this moment. Which should have not have been controversial. Zelensky is allowed to make his case to the public. That’s why he’s here!
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Isaac Saul
Isaac Saul@Ike_Saul·
To be clear: this entire thing went off the rails because Zelensky made the catastrophically offensive move of pointing out the reality that Putin broke a ceasefire in 2015 and that when Vance talks about diplomacy, he can’t explain how Putin is a trustworthy partner. Zelensky simply spoke the truth, which Vance deemed totally unacceptable and offensive because he was trying to “litigate” the issue in front of the press. And then it unraveled from there. Just wild.
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Aaran Daniel
Aaran Daniel@AaranDaniel·
@jxmnop Prompt: “explain this section of code to me. “
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dr. jack morris
dr. jack morris@jxmnop·
people underestimate the mental cost of outsourcing code to Copilot/Cursor it's a mortgage: quick progress now at the expense of not understanding your own codebase it may be that beyond simple line autocomplete, it's more efficient in the long run to do everything yourself
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Daniel Priestley
Daniel Priestley@DanielPriestley·
The Government recently issued a warning to people with more than £3500 in savings. They say that you better be prepared to pay taxes on any interest you might have earned. This follows their warning for people who sell £1000+ of items on eBay or Facebook or Etsy. They’re chasing down the data of every seller to collect the taxes. What they are really saying is they hate people becoming self sufficient. They hate people with savings and who take a little bit of initiative. They don’t care that Facebook, eBay, Google etc bills customers from Ireland to avoid billions in taxes. Or that big banks play by their own rules. Nope, they just want to make sure that Aunt Sarah who sold some arts and crafts and saved the money in an interest earning account pays her extra £87 of taxes. It probably costs them millions to crack down on these tiny amounts but it’s the principle of the matter - we want you to know that no matter how small you make a step forward, we are here to take it from you. If they truly cared about poor people, they would encourage self sufficiency. If you save £1000, we will give you an extra £20 bonus. If you sell stuff, we will make the first £20k tax free so you can get going. A smart government would want its citizens to save money and sell stuff online. The benefits to society would be worth a lot more than the pennies collected in taxes.
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The xG Philosophy
The xG Philosophy@xGPhilosophy·
On aggregate: Newcastle (3.34) 4-0 (4.79) Arsenal
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Sash ~
Sash ~@ltarsenal·
Man I haven’t enjoyed a game of football like in a long, long time. I can’t stop smiling.
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Aaran Daniel
Aaran Daniel@AaranDaniel·
@afcjxmes 100% one of my favourite games ever, so many moments, I want to watch it again
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now.arsenal
now.arsenal@now_arsenaI·
The song “humble” by Kendrick Lamar was played right on the final whistle at the Emirates Stadium. I fucking love this football club… 🤣
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now.arsenal
now.arsenal@now_arsenaI·
A photo that will go down in Arsenal history. Hang it in the louvre. 🖼️
now.arsenal tweet media
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Clive
Clive@clivepafc·
Let them talk about us…. We just get bigger 👀😃
Clive tweet media
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