Aaron TΞrrill 🌩

@wheatonbrando You’ve had this in the chamber for 36 hours

wait, Jalen Williams is injured?? when did that happen?! weird, maybe that’s why he only played 14 minutes last game

@CoachRexWalters Case and point: Keaton Wagler (Shawnee Mission Northwest grad) ranked 149th in his class, will likely be a top 5 pick this year. True freshman!

My advice to HS/AAU Ball Players. Rankings mean nothing when you’re on the court. Also, make your teammates better > focusing on being recruited or who’s watching. Just keep working, keep improving, keep making your team better. Good Luck!

@SheaSerrano HEB broke the 300 mark on number of stores, *checks notes*, 18 years ago

you’re right i haven’t lived in texas very long

@KevinOConnor There are tons of on/off stats that measure these metrics. All you did here was explain why his on/off stats are good. Do this with Jokic’s teammates. Also, no offense but nobody should get credit for “figuring things out” by not playing 3 point guards at the same time lol

With Victor Wembanyama on the floor, the Spurs generate far more layups for their point guard trio — a trio I spent all summer convinced wasn’t an ideal fit. De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, and Dylan Harper are three downhill guards and none of them is a proven knockdown shooter. On paper the spacing math didn’t work. Mitch Johnson solved it by playing only one or two of them together at once. And Wemby handled the rest. Harper’s at-rim frequency jumps 15.5% with Wemby on the floor. Castle, 14.2%; Fox, 9.7%. More shots at the rim is one piece. More shots going in at a higher rate is the other. Every rotation player sees a jump, not just the guards. Devin Vassell’s true shooting climbs from 55.2% to 60.8%. Harrison Barnes from 58% to 64.7%. Julian Champagnie from 58.4% to 63.3%. Fox is the exception — his true shooting stays the same. Some of this increase is thanks to transition offense off stops. Most of it is Wemby’s gravity in the half-court. Gravity comes in different flavors. The first is simple spacing: his shooting pulls a big out of the paint and the guards drive into an empty lane. The more interesting one is what happens when he rolls. When off-ball defenders decide to stay home on shooters, the big man still needs to prevent a lob to Wemby, which means Fox, Castle and Harper can go one-on-one with a full head of steam and walk into layups. Of the nearly 400 handler/screener duos to log at least 100 pick-and-rolls this season, Fox/Wemby, Castle/Wemby and Harper/Wemby all rank in the 88th percentile or better in scoring efficiency. None of this shows up on his line. Wemby finishes those possessions with zero points and zero assists and jogs back down the floor, and the box score insists nothing happened. Something happened.

@nsparker810 @HPbasketball No disagreements on my end there!

@AaronTerrill @HPbasketball lol. Try best player in the world 😉

Surprising, not shocking. Basically Denver came to conclusion that rest and avoiding injury is more important than 3-seed, avoiding OKC's bracket, and potentially homecourt

@nsparker810 @HPbasketball Oh no we’ve got a “I love the Nuggets because I love Christian Braun” guy coming in here with the takes smh 😉

@AaronTerrill @HPbasketball 11 straight wins and just messing around

@HPbasketball Is there any scenario they play Houston, but with Denver as the 5 seed? That’s playing with fire IMO, but Denver still probably rolls them,

Which isn't great, but they probably believe homecourt isn't that valuable, most teams feel that way. They're wrong, but still.

@JeremyBoogz @HPbasketball Okay haha

@AaronTerrill @HPbasketball They not ducking nobody , these guys learned after 24 chasing that that high seed doesn't mean anything if guys not healthy. I will never forget KCP podcast were he said they prioritized seeding which was dumb and got to the playoffs banged up then Minnesota bounced them.

@JeremyBoogz @HPbasketball One could argue they’re choosing to duck the Wolves and the Spurs instead of ducking the Thunder. Which I think is fairly reasonable considering the Wolves matchup.

@AaronTerrill @HPbasketball they have a better road record then home record and D.A. confirming they not ducking no smoke

Guy really just said Microsoft is losing and his example was HE used a Microsoft product, within a Microsoft platform, likely on a Microsoft operating system. And his other gotcha moment was stating how Microsoft owns 27% of a company that was just valued at 852 billion dollars.

@RugPullatypus @andrew_kuh62433 @PuroSpursDad Your math is wrong

@andrew_kuh62433 @PuroSpursDad No. I don't think that at all. The stats you gave were dead on - for their careers. I was pointing out SGA started being considered elite the season he averaged 11 FT a game. From then to now he is averaging about 10 of my math is right.

In Duncan’s first 8 seasons, he had 3 titles. Sit down and color.

@kirkgoldsberry Award preliminary **Draft Kings ™️ branded** ping pong balls

My simple solution to tanking. Phase 1: Award preliminary ping pong balls using a weighted inverse performance index adjusted for strength of schedule, injury-corrected win probability, and a 12-variable regression model updated nightly by a committee of actuaries sponsored by Emirates. Phase 2: Preliminary ping pong balls are distributed by an independent custodial agent following a 60-day comment period in which all 30 franchises may submit objections in writing then all 14 non-playoff teams are evaluated by a Warren Commission-type panel that assigns each a parameter in a simple ridge regression model. the coefficients are public. It's all powered by AWS.

NEW US CENSUS DATA IS OUT Remember the whole "Austin Mass Exodus" news cycle from last year? I guess you could say the reports of our death are greatly exaggerated.

@automaticnba @scorps_art The gravity of all 3 guys as dribble/pass/shooters likely props up those shot quality numbers. Very few 3-headed monsters all have point guard skills.

@scorps_art this type of data doesnt go that far back but its 100% insane to have 3 guys in the top 7 on the same team they might genuinely be the best passing/playmaking trio we've seen in a long time

Is Luka/Reaves/Bron the best passing trio in NBA history? Idk enough about this stat but being 3 of the top 7 seems kinda insane

@MaxxJay_ How about eliminating the hobbit movies from existence?

The ONLY change to Lord of the Rings that should be happening is swapping the green army with the same CGI as Pirates of the Caribbean.

@RJ6658714370070 @stoodbee96673 @SpeakContext @statmuse @Novig So a player that plays more minutes per game doesn’t have an advantage if you’re counting season totals on stats? Well they do hunt him, quite frequently. So idk what to tell you.

@AaronTerrill @stoodbee96673 @SpeakContext @statmuse @Novig The game is not linear where you can extrapolate like that. I always hated that stat, your production is not even minute by minute. The game is played in bursts. Also dumb that Luka is hunted because he's allowing less points per possession then top defenders in the league

Fun fact: Shai can miss 175 shots in a row and he would still have a higher FG% than Luka. Market says SGA has a 92% chance of winning MVP on @Novig

@RJ6658714370070 @stoodbee96673 @SpeakContext @statmuse @Novig You can’t use totals as a metric for players that play different minutes lmao. Per 36 SGA clears in steals, blocks, deflections, loose balls recovered, and most other defensive metrics. I’ll give you contests and charges drawn, cause every team hunts Luka on every possession

@stoodbee96673 @SpeakContext @statmuse @Novig Its too* learn some grammar. And since youre all so focused on stats they show different. Luke allows 0.84ppp in isolation, has more steals, more charges drawn, more contests. Shai is on a better defensive team

@BIGMEM12 Shades of @TweetsbyJY

Oh my goodness y’all seeing what I’m seeing

@JoshEberley If after Cade there are no players that can be #1 options on a contender. It’s a no brainer Barnes or Mobley at 2.

Cade Cunningham goes #1 in a 2021 redraft… That part we don’t got to debate anymore. But who goes #2?