
Adam Routh
1.1K posts

Adam Routh
@AdamJRouth
Defense and space research. PhD via @Kingscollegelon. Former member of the Army's 75th Ranger Regiment. Views are my own.


What?? Who could have foreseen this?


US destroyers launched Tomahawks at Iranian targets, but here’s the problem: America doesn’t have unlimited TLAMs. The Trump admin burned through big numbers in earlier strikes on Iran, Houthis, and Nigeria without replenishing stockpiles. TLAMs would be vital in a China fight.


America's military magazine depth is too shallow. Stocks must be replenished quickly & at scale in order to position our armed forces to succeed in wars big and small, long or short. nytimes.com/2025/05/01/opi…


The Pentagon is raising concerns to President Trump about an extended military campaign against Iran, advising that war plans being considered carry risks including U.S. and allied casualties, depleted air defenses and an overtaxed force. on.wsj.com/4u75NpU

“SM-2, SM-3 and SM-6 munitions have been rapidly consumed as the Navy has protected vessels in the Red Sea against Iranian-proxy forces in Yemen and defended Israel against ballistic missiles” washingtonpost.com/national-secur…










American missile-defense systems played a crucial role in protecting Israel during 12 days of fighting with Iran. But the war revealed alarming gaps in U.S. supplies and strategy. on.wsj.com/46sRORM

Some additional PAC/MSE data from J-Books and DSCA: DoD Procurement: FY24 230, FY25 214, FY26 233 FY24 FMS announced: 600 Average time between award and delivery: 29.9 months (note: MSE's procured in FY23 just started production in May) Max annual production rate: 550 (650 planned by FY27) Procured all time: 2047

I have a piece in @WSJ today making the case that @realDonaldTrump and @PeteHegseth made the right decision to pause weapon shipments to Ukraine:

@AdamJRouth The West has had at least three years to start ramping up production. They appear to have done absolutely nothing except wish for it all to stop and the problem to disappear. There also appears to be no sense of collective urgency or collective will to fix these problems.