Adam Quade
264 posts


@Drexel76 @PhilGould15 No, the opposite is in fact true. Almost double the number of tries scored per game now than in the last year of unlimited tackles (1966) right in the middle of Ken Irvine's career. He was also at the Bears for most of it, hardly a strong club in that era.
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@RicFinlay There has been alot of changes in the side already, Ussie most likely gone. I just think Lyon brings alot more to the team then his bowling
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@LeagueUnlimited South Africa seems like such an untapped resource for league. You wonder why we dont get any SA rugby players having a crack at league.
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@Reynoldz_East7 2 players in the Samoa squad were born in Samoa, similar stat for Tonga. Whilst this is a sugar hit for rugby league, ultimately those countries need to build on this and develop their own instead of relying on goodwill of Australian and NZ born players.
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@LeagueFreak @easter_ed Bit dramatic saying that's a disgraceful decision. Both on ground and video ref cleared it. Crichton could have cleared the line a bit better but ultimately didnt have an effect on the defensive line
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@easter_ed You could see Williams (from memory) react to the player in front of the ball runner (Munster) and that is more than enough for me. A disgraceful decision in may option.
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I’d call that obstruction.
Ran around his own player. That’s something that’s been obstruction for 130 years.
#RugbyLeague #NRL
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@johnnyddavidson Only 2 of the players in the Tonga squad were actually born in Tonga, the same goes for Samoa. Whilst the current international league competition might look good, essentially this is being propped up by the NZ and Australian rugby league systems, not tonga or Samoa
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@OutOnTheFull22 @England_RL From an Aussie view, the England pack didnt show much aggression in attack or defence. Poms need to watch state of origin for a bit of inspiration, see how queensland do it
Thought the backs were okay, created lots of chances. Brimson into fullback would give a bit of x factor.
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The @England_RL changes I’d make for the second test
The most important is bringing in Harry Smith, we need a kicking game, whether it be kicking down town to relieve pressure or building pressure itself
Two 6s in the halves was a poor call on Saturday… we need a genuine 7

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@luketsmith90 @JohnnyGordon6 Yep. Definitely agree. Thats why slater in my books is the best ever fullback. Sustained brilliance for a decade.
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@Adam_Quade_ @JohnnyGordon6 And that’s fine. He’s on form the best in the world right now, killing it, but was Tommy turbo in 2021. And look at him. Being the best ever you would have to do it for a decade or more
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@luketsmith90 @JohnnyGordon6 To be fair he got a pcl injury early in the season and missed two months. He was a bit rusty when he returned
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@FMCANZ Can you tell me why you have cotton on your list of crops that are under threat? Over the past 5 years I doubt anyone has sprayed for FAW in Australian cotton.
Also there's no way SW WA is a year round host for FAW. Poor map
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@ReadingThePlay Great write up. I've got no confidence in the broncs. Too many changes in positions and I feel if they dont start well the game will get away from them. Going to be 27 degrees on Sunday, fittest team will win.
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#NRL Finals Wk 3 #Prelim
Went this way, look two quality contests.
We have two very intriguing match ups this week, as we’d expect and want for prelim finals weekend. What is even more interesting is that, unlike most years where the final four remaining come from the top four we have seen two straight sets exits in the Raiders and Bulldogs and so two teams on the rise from the bottom of the eight in Sharks and Panthers.
Storm v Sharks
Storm are positioned pronounced market favs. I’d suggest a lot of this is 12 month market weight then flavoured by their record at home (won 13 last 15 games here), record at the ground v Sharks (won 7 of last 8) and home finals and prelim finals record.
All of that makes sense, but in peeling back the form leading into this game and some of the scenario wrapped around all of that I can’t get my number past 5.5 between them, and that has some if and but of the Storm aiming up.
Their recent marker game is two week ago, home win and tougher contest v Bulldogs, and with notable outs in Hughes, Papenhuyzen and Blore. The key watch off some shit defensive offerings in the prior weeks was the attitude and D effort. The upside plus is not only getting these players back should they now all start, is in my opinion Bellamy having had a further two weeks (with the advantage of the week off) to get stuck into them in both the head and their D effort and look for one of their better offerings came this game day. It will need to be.
With their best spine now likely to start, Grant, Hughes, Munster and Papenhuyzen its clearly their strongest line up, and when together they excel winning 7 of their last outings together (that 1 loss was v Sharks). But we know they have points and strike in them, and the advantage of depth on the bench, it’s the D that will decide this.
Sharks have been super. That switch that got flicked some weeks ago has them up and about and playing with building confidence. And so it should, post Origin they have clearly the best defence in the comp to date, and it’s the right time of the season to have it. Attitude and belief is hard, big bodies through the middle plus bench depth rotation and then a 9, 7 and 6 playing super and executing very well off the set up. It a scrappy contest and feed opportunity by the Roosters they found away (at home), and then while looking to take some time to get settled and into stride last week through the opening 30 minutes they again got stronger as the game went longer. To be fair, the Raiders threw very little in quality questions or smarts in attack at them, this week will be different, but the defensive effort was super.
The two #9’s in Grant and Brailey might well be the key to this. Both have been in quality form and play instrumental roles in setting up their attack, and or opening up the opportunity.
The market suggests 40 or less points and a tough tight contest, and I am on the same page. The quality of defence and then a few stand out attack moments look the likely script for mine, and who ends up in front. Sharks are on a run of quality form, I expect they match up very well here, and the closer it is for the longer is goes the more they will grow in confidence. Storm at home are a very tough nut to crack, and with the best spine players likely to now line up, Blore back and the bench depth they bring I mark them small favs, but not at the width of the market line (8.5).
With the Storm, a further two weeks of Bellamy work and home advantage. At the market line I could only be with the Sharks at the plus. Coates and Mulitalo look like the obvious anytime try scorer options (together $4.00).
Broncos v Panthers
I have been happy with my rating numbers through the finals series and they have been on point to date, and interesting by comparison to the market here I have the Broncos marked small home favs (-1.5).
History tells us how big an advantage the week off and home prelim is. The Broncos, with an ounce of luck, come through beating the #1 seed at their home track in the Raiders, and now have key ins in Reynolds, Mam and Willison while also losing Carrigan. Then play at home. While Suncorp Stadium these days is not as wide a home ground advantage (rating or line position) as say the Storm playing out of Melbourne, it’s still a handy plus and they’ll also have a very full house of support.
If we go back two games, I think we find the right rating and performance marker (and reference) for the Broncos, when at home they played their best season to date in soundly beating the Storm 30-14. This was a big game, and offering with a top 4 position was on the line (and hello, look what has happened since..) while also looking to shake off the long run of outs vs the Storm, and the Storms winning record at the ground. It had a “Maguire” attitude up and make over written all over it in the attitude and physical offering, and then resounding win.
I was concerned off this game of some let down the following week in Canberra, and with 15 minutes to go and down 16 pts it all looked so obvious, till the Walsh cyclone hit. The rest we know.
Out of that 95 minute game the Broncos have then had time to balance up, r&r, get some key ins and then have Maguire work them toward the next big target game. I think this week is their grand final.
Unlike some in the media wetting their pants through recent days on the Panthers current run I’m not so bullish. I’ve stated for many years my respect and admiration for Ivan Cleary as a coach, and what he has achieved season to date might well, in my opinion, sit up there beside his best achievements, but they still have one, if not two, big tough games ahead before we get ahead of ourselves.
To date they have come through the softest path, beating (as they should have) the two weakest offerings in the finals. On each occasion they have won by decisive margins at or above the line expectation. The Warriors win wasn’t straight forward and needed a touch of on some key second half plays, while last week was a walk in the park against a very poor, sapped out opponent who like the Warriors had all but nothing left.
No argument, the Panthers ball control and management was super, Nathan played the opponent with perfection as if blindfolded, but in all seriousness, it wasn’t much more than an opposed captain's run in terms of depth and quality including stripping them easily down the outside edges for 5 tries. For anyone who missed it, the Panthers also conceded 26 points. My point is, I am cautious in the depth of the last two wins as a standout point into this week. This Broncos offering, and in Brisbane, will be very different; I expect it to be a significant step up.
For mine, the right reference points for the Panthers are their games some weeks ago v Storm (rd24) and v Raiders (rd25), and I expect they now bring something similar, which clearly sets up from a cracking, tough, physical contest.
I’m with my number and rating on the game and a small lean to the Broncos. Maguire had shown prior to his arrival this season his ability to have teams up for tough physical uncompromising footy when it matters (NSW, Rabbits, Wigan) and that's what I expect this week. Reynolds' kicking game and game read is a big in; Walsh is a freak who, in just minutes, can turn a game on its head, while Mam in the role of 14 off the bench brings a real x factor. No knock on the Panthers, but they are not quite the team of last year and will need to be better than the last two weeks if not a new peak for this season, for what I expect here to win.
Cracking contest, might be the game of the season to date. With the Broncos and the plus (+2.5), I can’t see this game opening with attack and points to the level the markets expect (48.5) and am with the points under. To’o, Alamoti and Walsh all look the obvious for anytime try scorer plays, outside of them I will be having something on the Broncos right edge with Riki ($6.00) and Staggs ($2.62) finding some joy through Talagi and McLean.
Storm by 6
Broncos by 4
Good luck with yours! #Enjoy
Finals Facts
• 19 of the last 24 Premiers have won the comp off the back of finishing top 4, winning week one and having a week off into their Prelim final game (and then winning)
• In 2021 Panthers lost week 1 to then go on and win the Premiership
• 15 of last 17 Premiers were one of the Top 2 defensive sides that season – this year’s top two are Bulldogs 19.9 and Storm 18.6
• 6 of the last 8 grand finalists who had played 4 weeks straight, have lost (Panthers went 4 weeks straight last season 2021)
• No Origin or International Rep #7 or #6 – No Chance
In the last 44 years 42 of the Premiership winners had a rep (Origin or International) #7 or #6
• Top 4 losers’ week one of finals series have an 83% win strike rate in week two

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@MichaelChammas The other thing people are missing is there is a chance Sunday arvo in Brisbane could be 30 degrees. Whoever wins that game is significantly disadvantaged. Should have been Friday and Saturday night games.
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BREAKING
The NRL has made a massive call with the preliminary finals. Love me some Sunday afternoon finals.
READ: smh.com.au/sport/nrl/nrl-…

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@BigOtrivia The other thing people are missing is there is a chance Sunday arvo in Brisbane could be 30 degrees. Whoever wins that game is significantly disadvantaged. Should have been Friday and Saturday night games.
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@LukeBradnam Safiti got a fine in 2024. Smithies got a fine in 2025
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If Reece Walsh doesn’t get multiple weeks for this @NRL it will be beyond a joke.
#nrlraidersbroncos
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@PhilGould15 Gus, is there any prospect of moving the kick off time back to 7.30pm? The 8pm kick off is a killer for young kids, hard for them to be awake at 10pm. Got to nuture the next generation coming through and not always think about the money.
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•State of Origin Game 2 was Australia’s No. 1 program with Total People and all key demographics. It secured a National Total TV Reach of 5.467 million and a Total TV Audience of 3.751 million- up 17.5% year-on-year.
•State of Origin Game 2 was the highest rating Game 2 since 2015*.
•State of Origin Game 2 recorded the highest ever Total TV Audience for a State of Origin game in Perth.
•State of Origin Game 2 recorded a BVOD audience of 957,000 on 9Now - up 29.5% year-on-year.
•State of Origin Game 2 was the No. 1 program of the night in:
◦Sydney - Total TV Audience of 1.042 million
◦Melbourne - Total TV Audience of 308,000
◦Brisbane - Total TV Audience of 888,000
◦Perth - Total TV Audience of 190,000
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@IamFarmerRenee Looks like one of the determinate varieties they are using in commercial pigeon pea? Fairly synchronous flowering and short stature.
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@Tbone_Al @LeagueFreak Played league first, than got a scholarship to a union playing private school, Kings. Also a state basketballer.... and still holds the u 12 record for high jump in Australia...
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Rugby League player steps into rugby union and dominates.
Standard.
#RugbyLeague #NRL
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