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Epic Charting@EpicCharting·2h

@nomoarPunkd @GR41067012 @AdamMancini4 A fake headline 😆😭

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·8h

Little to do now but just hold runners. We got long on the 7097 Failed Breakdown in #ES_F yesterday. Today's targets were 7147, 7153, 7165, 7180. 3/4 are hit. I posted 2hrs 7147 then became support, and it held exact. 7180 remains resistance of a 4 day bull flag 7180-7085.

Still no volatility in #ES_F but levels respecting well. After the 7097 Failed Breakdown long yesterday, today's targets were 7147 (hit), 7153 (hit), 7165 (high of day), 7180 (not yet) 7147 then became support, just held exact (7135, 7120 below). 7085-7185 remains a massive flag

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·2h

@badfutures40 Feel bad for the regular hours traders lately! Not always like this though

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badfuturestrader@badfutures40·2h

@AdamMancini4 Evening trading has been sooo lucrative lately! Nice NL calls (again!)

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·8h

CLosing update #ES_F: Long continues to pay from the 7097 Failed Breakdown yesterday. Today's targets were 7153, 7165, then 7180. We've hit all but 7180. Once 7180 clears we begin the breakout leg to 7230+. 7147 remains support. Newsletter out soon with next entries

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·8h

@wes_turner_44 I never do - I just keep holding runner until we get a sell that trails out. If we don't get a sell I just hold

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Wes Turner@wes_turner_44·8h

@AdamMancini4 if targets keep getting run through how do you know when to get out of runners??

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·9h

Still no volatility in #ES_F but levels respecting well. After the 7097 Failed Breakdown long yesterday, today's targets were 7147 (hit), 7153 (hit), 7165 (high of day), 7180 (not yet) 7147 then became support, just held exact (7135, 7120 below). 7085-7185 remains a massive flag

No volatility at all today in #ES_F, midday chop. Wait for a vol spike to engage. 7097 Failed Breakdown yesterday was our long trigger. Targets were 7147, 7153 (hit), 7165 (high of day), 7180. 7085-7185= a massive flag 7147, 7135 (watch traps), 7120 remain supports if we dip

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·10h

@alihobbalah YOu can just see it on the chart - the range is a massive bull flag. Consolidation with downsloping resistance line. Not relevant to day traders but swing traders should be preparing to trade the breakout

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Aloushka 🐍@alihobbalah·10h

@AdamMancini4 very familliar now with failed breakdown style and it made a huge difference to my trading . what do you mean 7085-7085 massive flag? what prompts the flag there ?

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·10h

No volatility at all today in #ES_F, midday chop. Wait for a vol spike to engage. 7097 Failed Breakdown yesterday was our long trigger. Targets were 7147, 7153 (hit), 7165 (high of day), 7180. 7085-7185= a massive flag 7147, 7135 (watch traps), 7120 remain supports if we dip

Mid-day chop in #ES_F. 7097 Failed Breakdown was our long trigger with 7147 target. Today's targets given 8am were 7153 (hit), 7165 (hit), 7180. 7085-7100 now is a massive flag - do not overtrade in this range. It sets up an enormous trend leg 7135, 7120 remain supports

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·11h

Note: Per my morning post there is nothing to do until we get an injection of volatility (elevator down sell). Traps of 7135 or 7120 are of interest. Just hold runner until then x.com/AdamMancini4/s…

Note: As I make clear every single day - there is nothing to do now. I *only* trade in one circumstance: When we get an "elevator down" sell. I want to see retail calling tops, bears chasing short etc. Then I long the Failed Breakdown. After, I do nothing but ride runner

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·11h

Mid-day chop in #ES_F. 7097 Failed Breakdown was our long trigger with 7147 target. Today's targets given 8am were 7153 (hit), 7165 (hit), 7180. 7085-7100 now is a massive flag - do not overtrade in this range. It sets up an enormous trend leg 7135, 7120 remain supports

Targets continue to hit precisely in #ES_F. Long trigger was the 7097 low Failed Breakdown we got after 4pm yesterday (given in newsletter). Main target was 7147. Today's targets given 8am were 7153 (hit), 7165 (hit exact), 7180. Then huge breakout. 7135, 7120 remain supports

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·12h

Targets continue to hit precisely in #ES_F. Long trigger was the 7097 low Failed Breakdown we got after 4pm yesterday (given in newsletter). Main target was 7147. Today's targets given 8am were 7153 (hit), 7165 (hit exact), 7180. Then huge breakout. 7135, 7120 remain supports

We continue to run in #ES_F & work through today's target slate. 7097 Failed Breakdown was the long trigger given 30mins in advance in newsletter. Target was 7147 - stuck there all night. Today's targets were 7153 (hit), 7165 (almost), 7180. Just ride runner until next flush

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·12h

We continue to run in #ES_F & work through today's target slate. 7097 Failed Breakdown was the long trigger given 30mins in advance in newsletter. Target was 7147 - stuck there all night. Today's targets were 7153 (hit), 7165 (almost), 7180. Just ride runner until next flush

As always the moves come after hours/eve & daytime traders get chop in #ES_F. Hold runner. Our long trigger was the 7097 Failed Breakdown after 4pm yesterday (given in advance in newsletter). Target was 7147. Stuck here for hours 7153 (hit), 7165, 7180 next. 7135, 7120=supports

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·13h

THat's because we are in a strong breakout rally now - in these contexts runners do most the lifting. we might get one failed breakdown per day on a headline. Most people are too busy calling tops etc though to actually trade it. As a result they get squeezed out and there's no setups again for a wbile

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The Trading@Thetrading5·13h

@AdamMancini4 Do we know the approximate percentage of FBs happenening after hours? Seems like we haven't had a regular session setup in weeks

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·13h

As always the moves come after hours/eve & daytime traders get chop in #ES_F. Hold runner. Our long trigger was the 7097 Failed Breakdown after 4pm yesterday (given in advance in newsletter). Target was 7147. Stuck here for hours 7153 (hit), 7165, 7180 next. 7135, 7120=supports

Back to low volatility in #ES_F - wait patiently for the next big trap. Long setup was given in newsletter at 3:40PM yesterday: Failed Breakdown of yesterday's big 7097 low. We lost it, recovered, ripped to 7147 target. Today's targets 7153 (hit), 7165, 7180. 7135, 7120=supports

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·14h

Back to low volatility in #ES_F - wait patiently for the next big trap. Long setup was given in newsletter at 3:40PM yesterday: Failed Breakdown of yesterday's big 7097 low. We lost it, recovered, ripped to 7147 target. Today's targets 7153 (hit), 7165, 7180. 7135, 7120=supports

Last eve after 4pm we got a *textbook* Failed Breakdown. Newsletter readers got it 30mins prior. Setup was Failed Breakdown of 7097. We trapped it to 7085, recovered, bought. Target was 7147, hit Plan: Ride runner. 7153, 7165, 7180 next up. 7135, 7120 (watch traps)=supports

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·14h

@thekhomish I only watch ES but ES is building a flag now. Could take a few more days to breakout

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Combine Khomish@thekhomish·14h

@AdamMancini4 Any large flags breaking out or ready to breakout after yesterday?

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·15h

Last eve after 4pm we got a *textbook* Failed Breakdown. Newsletter readers got it 30mins prior. Setup was Failed Breakdown of 7097. We trapped it to 7085, recovered, bought. Target was 7147, hit Plan: Ride runner. 7153, 7165, 7180 next up. 7135, 7120 (watch traps)=supports

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·14h

@Hi_AndrewWilson @Underthecosh1 15 point is my maximum risk for a full size trade, but many failed breakdowns require larger stops so I'll just size down my position to maintain that same risk

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Andrew Wilson@Hi_AndrewWilson·14h

@AdamMancini4 @Underthecosh1 Section I’m referring to.

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·15h

@Underthecosh1 Last nights entry the stop would go under 7085. It would be a 15-20 point stop

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JohnnyUltimamente@Underthecosh1·15h

@AdamMancini4 Still can’t see where a reasonable stop would go with this volatility. The R:R doesn’t seem to make sense 🤷🏻‍♂️

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·15h

@upandown007 @ABalinskiy Nothing exceptional about it - just a normal bull market. It began in April last year, they last 4-6 years typically. We are in year 2 now. Don't make "predicting" more complex than that or you will miss out on life changing long-term gains (and ignore perma bears on twitter)

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upandown@upandown007·17h

@ABalinskiy @AdamMancini4 To be clear, I simply disagree with the 80% probability of another breakout/prolonged rally in this historically exceptional environment.

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Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·1d

Lots of chop now around the 7120 magnet which now an ATM machine. Its reclaim Sunday eve gave us the rally to 7180's this morning. At 11:30AM, we then held exact for 20 points. 1hr ago, we reclaimed and ran to ~7135 1st up. 7120 reclaims see 7135, 7147-53. 7104, 7085=supports