Samir Adatia

5.4K posts

Samir Adatia

Samir Adatia

@AdatiaSamir

Katılım Aralık 2020
110 Takip Edilen300 Takipçiler
MarketMaestro
MarketMaestro@MarketMaestro1·
$SOFI Whether this bottom base works depends entirely on the US-Iran tensions being resolved and the decline in Oil continuing
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$NBIS +5% after hrs!
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Tevis
Tevis@FunOfInvesting·
After a decade in product management, here are a few principles I've picked up along the way: 1. Product management is firefighting. There's little praise during the quiet times and much criticism during the fires. Embrace this early and you'll save yourself years of headaches. 2. There are the numbers and there is the story that frames them. The higher you climb, the more you're paid for the second. 3. Product is the connective tissue between teams that would otherwise clash. Stakeholder management is the art of driving a direction without drowning in the details. 4. Leading through influence is infinitely more difficult than leading through authority. Every PM starts with only influence, but the great ones rarely need more. 5. The quality of your product is directly proportional to the number of nos behind it. Saying yes is easy. Saying no means you've done the work. 6. A product built solely on opinions is a sandcastle. Data is knowing how close to the water you can build 7. Everyone around you starts at the solution. Dig out the problem buried underneath and check whether the two even match. 8. An organization's process is its scaffolding. Small teams build fine without it. Past a certain height, everything topples. 9. Out at sea, there's no such thing as a hole on their side of the boat. Effective teams work the same way.
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Samir Adatia
Samir Adatia@AdatiaSamir·
@OptionsMir I would have only realized long after passing her …. I may have given her the “what’s up” head-nod though, because my brain knows I know her….. and her boring ER calls. 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
It’s funny because it’s true. Lol
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Yiannis Zourmpanos
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz·
Every major $NBIS crash has looked like the end. -54% => new high -36% => new high -38% => ?? It doesn't take a genius..
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Samir Adatia
Samir Adatia@AdatiaSamir·
@SteveUrkelDude Thank you for sending the life affirmation message! 😂😂 I played a pick-up game this weekend ….will sleep until Tuesday. 🥶🥶😂😂😂 Have a great afternoon!
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Urkel
Urkel@SteveUrkelDude·
I’m going to shoot hoops with my son - important life lesson: Never let your kids win. They gotta earn it, builds character. *Side note - if you don’t hear from me by tomorrow I probably had a heart attack on the court.
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Samir Adatia
Samir Adatia@AdatiaSamir·
@SteveUrkelDude 😂😂 We haven’t even paid the $100G. lol. The script is too predictable! 🔥🔥
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AverageDipBuyer
AverageDipBuyer@AverageDipBuyer·
I’ve been quietly building something for the $SoFi community. The goal? Build the resource I always wished existed as a SoFi investor. Do I launch it?
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Samir Adatia
Samir Adatia@AdatiaSamir·
Great post outlining how Noto hedged a little in the euphoric bit of last year.
Night and Day, CPA@NightandDayCPA

📚 EDUCATION POST | $SOFI $SOFI shareholders: the CEO has pulled $46.6 million in cash out of his shares without selling a single one. It's called a 'PREPAID VARIABLE FORWARD' (PVF). Most people have no idea how these work (I didn't 2 hours ago), so here's the full breakdown. The basic idea: A bank hands the executive cash today. In exchange, he pledges a block of his shares and promises to settle up in about three years. How much he owes at settlement depends on where the stock is trading that day. Until then, the shares are still his. He votes them, he collects any dividends, and nothing actually transfers. It works like an advance against your stock instead of a sale of it. The two contracts: 1️⃣ December 2024: pledged 2 million shares, received $22.5 million upfront. Floor $13.06, cap $30.74. Settles early 2028. 2️⃣ August 2025: pledged 1.5 million shares, received $24.1 million upfront. Floor $18.21, cap $49.18. Settles August 2028. Total cash received: $46.6 million. Both fully disclosed in 8-Ks. What the floor and cap actually do (using the August contract): 🔻 Stock ends up at $18.21 or below: he hands over all 1.5 million shares and keeps every dollar of the cash. Below the floor, the bank takes the losses, not him. He can't be asked to pay more. ↔️ Stock lands between $18.21 and $49.18: he hands over fewer shares the higher the price is. The gains inside that range are his. 🧢 Stock ends up above $49.18: the gains past the cap belong to the bank, not him, if he settles with shares. The December contract works the same way at its own numbers. The hidden math: He didn't get market price for those shares. Divide the cash by the shares: the December deal paid him $11.23 per share against a $13.06 floor. The August deal paid $16.07 against an $18.21 floor. Both times, the bank paid him roughly the floor, minus three years of interest. The bank wrote him a check for the worst-case outcome, today, and everything better than worst-case is still his to collect at settlement, up to the cap. What the filings say he can do: ✅ Settle with shares. Hand over the pledged block per the formula above, keep the cash, done. ✅ Settle with cash instead. This is the escape hatch. Per SoFi's filing, he "may deliver shares of the Company's Common Stock or elect to settle the contract in cash." If the stock has ripped past the cap, he can pay the bank what he owes in dollars, keep all his shares, and stay fully exposed going forward. Not free. But available. ✅ Keep voting and collecting dividends the entire time on every pledged share. ✅ Do it again. Nothing stops future contracts, and he's now done it twice. ❌ What he can't do: walk away from settlement, or sell the pledged shares to someone else while they're pledged. What this is NOT: ❌ Not dilution. Zero new shares created. Your ownership percentage is untouched. ❌ Not a secret. Full terms, dollar amounts and all, are in public 8-Ks. ❌ Not a sale. Yet. Which is why SoFi can accurately say he "has not sold any Company Common Stock" since 2018 and bought 2.8 million shares in the open market. Both true. Also true: he's holding $46.6 million in cash against his shares with downside protection on that slice. All three sentences are facts. Decide for yourself what they add up to. Keep it in proportion: these two contracts cover roughly 17% of his stake. The other 83% is untouched. No floor, no cap, no cash received. That portion gains and loses with the stock price like any other shareholder's. Is this bullish or bearish? I think neither, honestly. The contracts change nothing about the company. No new shares, no company cash, no effect on revenue or deposits. If you want to read a signal anyway, both directions have a case. 🔴The bearish read: he accepted a ceiling on these shares in exchange for cash and protection, and you only buy protection on outcomes you think are possible. 🟢The bullish read: he collared a small slice, left 83% fully exposed, and has bought 2.8 million shares in the open market over the years. My honest take is this is an executive with a concentrated position doing standard personal finance, and the useful part isn't the signal. It's knowing how the instrument works, because these contracts are common across the market and almost nobody can explain one. **Visual

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Samir Adatia
Samir Adatia@AdatiaSamir·
@NightandDayCPA Almost nobody has pointed this out amongst the post’s saying $2M in recent buys is so great. But, the deal was public knowledge and anyone could have read about it and known how they should proceed. Great post! Thanks for sharing 🔥
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Night and Day, CPA
Night and Day, CPA@NightandDayCPA·
📚 EDUCATION POST | $SOFI $SOFI shareholders: the CEO has pulled $46.6 million in cash out of his shares without selling a single one. It's called a 'PREPAID VARIABLE FORWARD' (PVF). Most people have no idea how these work (I didn't 2 hours ago), so here's the full breakdown. The basic idea: A bank hands the executive cash today. In exchange, he pledges a block of his shares and promises to settle up in about three years. How much he owes at settlement depends on where the stock is trading that day. Until then, the shares are still his. He votes them, he collects any dividends, and nothing actually transfers. It works like an advance against your stock instead of a sale of it. The two contracts: 1️⃣ December 2024: pledged 2 million shares, received $22.5 million upfront. Floor $13.06, cap $30.74. Settles early 2028. 2️⃣ August 2025: pledged 1.5 million shares, received $24.1 million upfront. Floor $18.21, cap $49.18. Settles August 2028. Total cash received: $46.6 million. Both fully disclosed in 8-Ks. What the floor and cap actually do (using the August contract): 🔻 Stock ends up at $18.21 or below: he hands over all 1.5 million shares and keeps every dollar of the cash. Below the floor, the bank takes the losses, not him. He can't be asked to pay more. ↔️ Stock lands between $18.21 and $49.18: he hands over fewer shares the higher the price is. The gains inside that range are his. 🧢 Stock ends up above $49.18: the gains past the cap belong to the bank, not him, if he settles with shares. The December contract works the same way at its own numbers. The hidden math: He didn't get market price for those shares. Divide the cash by the shares: the December deal paid him $11.23 per share against a $13.06 floor. The August deal paid $16.07 against an $18.21 floor. Both times, the bank paid him roughly the floor, minus three years of interest. The bank wrote him a check for the worst-case outcome, today, and everything better than worst-case is still his to collect at settlement, up to the cap. What the filings say he can do: ✅ Settle with shares. Hand over the pledged block per the formula above, keep the cash, done. ✅ Settle with cash instead. This is the escape hatch. Per SoFi's filing, he "may deliver shares of the Company's Common Stock or elect to settle the contract in cash." If the stock has ripped past the cap, he can pay the bank what he owes in dollars, keep all his shares, and stay fully exposed going forward. Not free. But available. ✅ Keep voting and collecting dividends the entire time on every pledged share. ✅ Do it again. Nothing stops future contracts, and he's now done it twice. ❌ What he can't do: walk away from settlement, or sell the pledged shares to someone else while they're pledged. What this is NOT: ❌ Not dilution. Zero new shares created. Your ownership percentage is untouched. ❌ Not a secret. Full terms, dollar amounts and all, are in public 8-Ks. ❌ Not a sale. Yet. Which is why SoFi can accurately say he "has not sold any Company Common Stock" since 2018 and bought 2.8 million shares in the open market. Both true. Also true: he's holding $46.6 million in cash against his shares with downside protection on that slice. All three sentences are facts. Decide for yourself what they add up to. Keep it in proportion: these two contracts cover roughly 17% of his stake. The other 83% is untouched. No floor, no cap, no cash received. That portion gains and loses with the stock price like any other shareholder's. Is this bullish or bearish? I think neither, honestly. The contracts change nothing about the company. No new shares, no company cash, no effect on revenue or deposits. If you want to read a signal anyway, both directions have a case. 🔴The bearish read: he accepted a ceiling on these shares in exchange for cash and protection, and you only buy protection on outcomes you think are possible. 🟢The bullish read: he collared a small slice, left 83% fully exposed, and has bought 2.8 million shares in the open market over the years. My honest take is this is an executive with a concentrated position doing standard personal finance, and the useful part isn't the signal. It's knowing how the instrument works, because these contracts are common across the market and almost nobody can explain one. **Visual
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Samir Adatia
Samir Adatia@AdatiaSamir·
@SteveUrkelDude I have to up the price at my lemonade stand! 😂😂😂🙃🙃🙃🙃 $100,000/month.
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Samir Adatia
Samir Adatia@AdatiaSamir·
@FunOfInvesting Wow! That is extremely cool. Congratulations! I hope you’ll continue to do social-media stuff as you grow into your lifestyle of the rich and famoso! 🔥🔥🔥
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Tevis
Tevis@FunOfInvesting·
Got this email. My options are: 1. Go work for Sam Altman 2. See if Elon wants to get in a bidding war 3. Continue posting memes on X for a living It's a red week so the free ChatGPT credits are tempting 🤣
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El Jefe
El Jefe@MMeatloaf7·
$NBIS Looks better at 160-120
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Urkel
Urkel@SteveUrkelDude·
That's a large after hours order on $NBIS
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