Unsupervised Policy Turducken

Gonna make a full thread about several practical intelligence analysis techniques and how to use them with case studies

@CollinSLKoh I guess PR tripwire will be the trend for SEA grey hulls Let’s see whether it’s going to be sustainable or not

Embarking international media on board coastguard missions, is Taiwan emulating the Philippines' assertive transparency strategy? wsj.com/world/asia/ins…

On military (and strategic stability) aspect: Probably force structure (especially MRC, LRHW, and Strategic Stability Dialogue) will be on the table Also EDCA and other US force posture in SEA and East Asia as well Hopefully no changes in that aspect

Personally, I haven’t ruled out yet the linkage between SCS and Taiwan contingency (if Taiwan contingency happens, it will disrupt SCS LoC) Any incidents in Taiwan Strait will eventually ripples to SCS and SEA at large

Why SEA matters? Legitimacy, access, and stability SEA’s (and ASEAN’s, to an extent) balanced and multi-aligned stance acts as litmus test/north star on what complex and multilateral systems will do/perceive in the case of Taiwan contingency

For the next days, if not week; both PRC and Taiwan embassies/Trade Representative Office across SEA will poll and probes SEA countries’ and people’s sentiments on Trump-Xi’s Summit Such sentiments will be indicative on what lies ahead with whether reunification is sound or not

How do ICBMs support U.S. political objectives? This JFQ article explores the role of intercontinental-range ballistic missiles in U.S. nuclear strategy - from deterrence and assurance to their place in the nuclear triad. Read more: ndupress.ndu.edu/Media/News/New…

What does illegal fishing have to do with strategic competition? China’s distant-water fleet is expanding along South America’s Pacific coast, and creating challenges. Countering IUU fishing can strengthen partnerships and U.S. leadership. Read more ➡️ digitalcommons.ndu.edu/joint-force-qu…

SSP Director M. Taylor Fravel speaks with @NPR's Emily Feng about China’s expanding nuclear program and the escalating security dilemma. “What [China] worried about was that the U.S. was developing what's known as conventional long-range strike weapons that could be used to attack China's nuclear forces,” Fravel says. 🎧Listen now: wusf.org/2026-05-10/why… @fravel

In a new paper, Mariana Budjeryn examines the global nuclear order after the Cold War, specifically asking why “did only Russia emerge as the only possessor of Soviet nuclear weapons in the post-Soviet space?” Read the full article via @jststs. @mbudjeryn

Italy is the only G7 country without a national security strategy, and that may finally be changing. However, four obstacles could still get in the way. warontherocks.com/2026/05/closin…

@lightningiichan ORBAT and doctrine doko?

the next natural flow of discussion is if our fleet of CN-235s should also be put to counter drone work as well

@_reginagata_ Oh jalur logistik udah pindah?

@_reginagata_ Selama Capitol masih buka, logistik masih aman

@_reginagata_ Ada nama lainnya yang bikin ngagetin wkwk Lagi penjejakan nama dari bawah

CBO estimates that a national missile defense system possessing capabilities broadly consistent with those in the "The Iron Dome for America" executive order would cost about $1.2 trillion to develop, deploy, and operate for 20 years. cbo.gov/publication/62…

@VLS_Appreciator Range?

I was wondering, in what tactical scenario would a submarine rather use a sub launched anti ship missile compared to a heavyweight torpedo considering there is no defense against the latter, that is much more deadly and that the range is usually comparable ?

What does the #PLA think about Legal Warfare? Find out in the latest edition of #ITOW on CASI’s website airuniversity.af.edu/CASI/Display/A…

How quickly can narrative control collapse during conflict? Experts examine how misinformation, AI-generated content, and rapid online amplification shape today’s information environment. Read: csis.org/analysis/how-l… #InformationWarfare #Disinformation