Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦

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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦

Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦

@CollinSLKoh

Indo-Pacific naval affairs, maritime security, mainly SE Asia and SCS. *Tweets/RTs STRICTLY personal. Proud Singaporean and happy father of 2 beautiful girls.

Singapore Katılım Mayıs 2017
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦@CollinSLKoh·
Very privileged to publish with Japan's Research Institute for Peace and Security (RIPS) monthly column on East Asian maritime security, on the ongoing ASEAN-PRC code of conduct in the SCS. Your honest critique is the most welcome. 🙏🏽👇🏽 rips.or.jp/en/newsletter/…
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Trystanto
Trystanto@Trystanto2·
Happy to announce my first article for @east_asia_forum in two years, in which I argue that while Indonesia's waters are geographically important, they are not 100% indispensable as many Indonesian officials assume. Honest critiques are welcome 🙏
East Asia Forum@east_asia_forum

The Strait of Malacca is no Strait of Hormuz, and imposing transit fees there would be a strategic mistake for Indonesia, writes Trystanto Sanjaya. eastasiaforum.org/2026/07/14/ind…

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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
@SingaporeNoFace @OopsGuess The question is why you'll hide behind someone to justify your own actions? Wouldn't you want to stand tall and distinct for your own moral high ground? The problem with Beijing and its supporters is whataboutism with the US the lazy and simplest way to justify themselves.
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
Depends on whether Beijing has the balls to launch a kinetic attack. The last time though, Beijing tried to pincer a lone small Filipino patrol vessel it got one of its best PLAN warships collide bloodily with a CCG cutter. So yeah.
Global Times@globaltimesnews

#Opinion: Wherever you choose to provoke, there China responds; whatever means you use to exert pressure, with equal intensity China pushes back. globaltimes.cn/page/202607/13…

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Rusty Rootbeer
Rusty Rootbeer@RustyRootbeer·
@CollinSLKoh Really busy day, huh, Mr. Koh? Especially when its China suka-suka gue day...
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
Comfort home cooked dinner: plain rice porridge, onion egg omelette, stir-fry butterhead lettuce in oyster sauce, and my wife’s all-time favourite - baked beans with luncheon meat with chili sauce gravy. 🍲🥫
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新加坡不要脸🇸🇬🇹🇼🇺🇦
@CollinSLKoh Beijing has got no international partners coming out to give it supporting fire. It is false. There are some, maybe North Korea, Russia and some countries you haven’t heard about
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
So far, the 2016 arbitral award at least received a 14-country joint statement, and a separate EU statement representing 27 member states. Beijing has got no international partners coming out to give it supporting fire. This only means you have no just cause to begin with. 🤷🏽‍♂️
Global Times@globaltimesnews

"A just cause wins support, while an unjust one loses it," Chinese Ambassador to the Philippines Jing Quan said in response to the Philippines' so-called "#SouthChinaSea Arbitration Award," stressing that the so-called "award" cannot possibly win the endorsement of the international community and will inevitably be swept into the garbage heap of history.

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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
@vasir_berpasir The argument about aiding defense industrial, especially naval shipbuilding, self-reliance is at least a little more convincing amongst many justifications I hear. Though skeptics would point out that PAL may still collaborate with foreign partners without navy buying carrier.
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VaSir Berpasir™
VaSir Berpasir™@vasir_berpasir·
@CollinSLKoh I wonder how much this project is prestige or practical one. I mean yeah its free, If failed not as damaging, the helis & UAV return to Navy Airbases. But curiois how much this to "learn" how to operate flatdeck & PAL making checklist for their dream plan for building LHD
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
@RustyRootbeer This was 1 of the official reasons, but the way I view it, is that such infringements could be better handled by assets short of an aircraft carrier. The more convincing justification is that the ship can serve HADR role, though again, one could argue for cheaper amphibs.
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Rusty Rootbeer
Rusty Rootbeer@RustyRootbeer·
@CollinSLKoh I assume the mission profile is to protect Indonesia’s EEZ from other nations’ claims from fishing and mineral right infringements and claims of ownership, yes?
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lionflyer_sg
lionflyer_sg@lionflyer_sg·
@CollinSLKoh The anniversay was bound to elicit a strong Chinese response and a joint statement at this point would never be supported. But then, any litmus test of "rule of law" would surely bring uncomfort. Is implicit or oblique references working? No, in my view.
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
“The international community” Yet nobody so far has righteously and publicly stood with Beijing in a joint statement to denounce this “illegitimate” award. Zero. Manila has 13 partners who do that. EU representing 27 member states issued a separate statement in support.
Global Times@globaltimesnews

“The Philippines will most likely continue its provocative moves. Nevertheless, the international community has generally seen through the numerous defects of the illegitimate #SouthChinaSea arbitration award. In the long run, it will only be further ignored and discarded by the international community,” said an expert on provocations made by the Philippines and some non-regional countries a decade on from the “arbitration award” farce. globaltimes.cn/page/202607/13…

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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
@B4n4L1ty What you said might also have resonated with regional governments. With status quo, there's more or less predictability about Washington (though Trump muddies the water). There's a lot more uncertainty with a potential replacement hegemon that hasn't a sterling behavioral record.
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Bane
Bane@B4n4L1ty·
They haven’t yet had the chance to sit in the “global hegemon” seat and their auditions so far look pretty bad insofar as how they treat their neighbours who have conflicting interests. In this case, and given my life has been pretty decent for the past 30+ years, think I’ll stick to rooting for status quo.
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
@RustyRootbeer No STOVL aircraft in TNI inventory. No indication that Italy will transfer the AV-8 too, neither is the case of recently decommissioned USMC AV-8s. F-35B is financially out of reach, at least for now as country's fiscal position under strain. The carrier will just operate helos.
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Rusty Rootbeer
Rusty Rootbeer@RustyRootbeer·
@CollinSLKoh Just to ask, how many STOVL aircraft does Indonesia possess? Or is it going to buy F-35Bs?
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
@FMalufti I look forward to your analysis in the upcoming Naval News publication, if you're planning for that, Pak Fauzan. 😃
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Fauzan Malufti 🇮🇩
@CollinSLKoh As Surabaya is already packed, it is arguably not surprising that the navy chose another location Still, it is interesting to analyze why Lampung among all other places
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
@B4n4L1ty The "US hegemony" argument so far didn't really cut that much ice, even though what happened in Gaza since did undermine Washington's regional standing. Eventually, a global offshore hegemon is safer to deal with than a regional hegemon right in the neighborhood.
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Bane
Bane@B4n4L1ty·
@CollinSLKoh They know full well what’ll happen if America doesn’t intervene so it’s really a pretty cowardly way of saying we want to control SCS because might makes right. If only this didn’t contradict their pretense of being more benevolent than America as a hegemon 😅
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦
@lionflyer_sg Indeed a pity. Though, the consistent reference to UNCLOS in ASEAN joint statements can be regarded as an implicit code for the award (at least what some ASEAN diplomats told me). Indonesia also publicly endorsed the award in its May 2020 note verbale to UN in response to PRC.
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lionflyer_sg
lionflyer_sg@lionflyer_sg·
@CollinSLKoh And none of the ASEAN states joined that statement of support for the ruling on the 10 anniversary. Granted some are claimants themselves but the silence is defeating.
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Unknown Traveler 🇺🇸
Unknown Traveler 🇺🇸@nothanksfrankie·
@CollinSLKoh It sounds like you're implying the accident rate may be higher because what they are experiencing may not, i fact, be 'accidents.' 😆
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