


We posted this on March 4. The math said $800 was coming. Since then $SPY dropped from $681 to $632. Price is now sitting directly on the lower band of the simulation. The last time this happened was April 2025. It slingshot back to the mean, and higher, within weeks. 1,000 paths. Median target: $782.9. Mean: $799.5. The model hasn't changed its mind.

























