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albert

@Albert0Crypto

CEO of this profile exploring @polymarket member @zscdao

Katılım Mart 2022
82 Takip Edilen307 Takipçiler
albert
albert@Albert0Crypto·
I traded $30 to win $500 that BTC will hit 60,000 in March Currently +100% up from this position I don't believe in negotiations or a ceasefire Friday's market close will show if my trade will pay off
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albert
albert@Albert0Crypto·
@parlettodotbet in crypto even flash crash can be opportunity to make some $$
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Parletto
Parletto@parlettodotbet·
@Albert0Crypto better to be careful in such situations congrats to those who could predict that
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albert
albert@Albert0Crypto·
Flash crash this Friday? today's insane 3K BTC squeeze in literally 1 minute was pure manipulation risk/reward looks good himos to load up massive shortshere even after Iran called Trump's statement fake price didn't react Trump's 5-day ceasefire clock runs out Friday, right at US market close current Polymarket "What price will Bitcoin hit in March?" odds: - 65k: 26% - 60k: 7% risk/reward looks good here imo
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albert
albert@Albert0Crypto·
STOP BUYING SHARES AT 90% ON POLYMARKET Most people see 90% and think: “Only 10% downside risk” Wrong. Here’s why buying at 90% is usually a bad idea - explained with math. Break-Even Win Rate Every price you pay has its own minimum Win Rate you need just to break even. Break-even WR = Entry Price / Payout = Entry Price / 100¢ At 90¢ you need to be right 90% of the time just to not lose money long-term. Even if the market is pricing 90% probability - that doesn't mean you have a 90% edge. Buying at 90¢ isn't “low risk.” It's high conviction or die. Most people overestimate their WR by 10-20%. At 90¢ that gap turns small mistakes into big rekts. Better zones: 55-72¢ where your real edge actually compounds. Hope this saves someone today from losing money.
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albert
albert@Albert0Crypto·
You can win 10 times in a row and still be a loser Most see: “65% win rate = printing money” But in reality it’s: EV = (WR × Avg Win) - ((1 - WR) × Avg Loss) That's the only metric that decides if you win long-term on Polymarket Real YES share example (65% WR): Entry 62¢ Win = 100¢ - Profit = +38¢ Loss = 0¢ - Loss = -62¢ EV = (0.65 × 38) - (0.35 × 62) = 24.7 - 21.7 = +3¢ per share But most of smart traders use exit ladder If average exit ~94¢ - real profit drops to +32¢ EV = (0.65 × 32) - (0.35 × 62) = 20.8 - 21.7 = -0.9¢ Now you’re losing money long term Fix? Disciplined -25% stop-loss Average loss becomes ~15.5¢ instead of 62¢ EV = (0.65 × 32) - (0.35 × 15.5) = 20.8 - 5.43 = +15.4¢ Now you’re making money long term You’re not trying to be right 90% of the time You’re trying to make sure every trade has +EV And then survive long enough for math to work
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: Meta announces they'll be shutting down the Metaverse, after pouring $80,000,000,000.00 into the project.
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Florian Darroman
Florian Darroman@floriandarroman·
I got invited to an OpenClaw Mastermind today. I drove through one little dirt path, crossed an asphalt road for 10 meters. drove through another little dirt path. I opened the door of a beautiful villa: - An health influencer with 4.1M followers. - A few other huge ones. - A guy who raised $30M with Y Combinator - A few SaaS Founders We talked about OpenClaw for a few hours. This is what I love about living in Bali: a big city vibe in a village.
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albert
albert@Albert0Crypto·
@agentcardai now buying shares at beast price can be easier than ever
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AgentCard
AgentCard@agentcardai·
Introducing AgentCard. Your agent can now buy anything: • pay for inference & APIs • order DoorDash, Amazon, Ubers • run marketing • trade Polymarket 24/7 Open to all, not just businesses 🔥 Instant. Private. Reusable. Live today.
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albert
albert@Albert0Crypto·
@Polymarket Can my agent make $100 a day while Im lying in bed?
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