Alex Slezak

I am pretty sure the world is about to humble everyone that isn’t living debt free. There are not enough dollars going around to finance the debt. There is only 2 ways this ends with treasury yields breaking out to the upside. Great Depression 2 or massive money printing and yield curve control and the crash will come well before they intervene. The crash is what will cause them to intervene.

NEVER be so foolish to manually invest.

Bitcoin is going much lower. In the everything bubble fueled by debt everything must crash… Bitcoin, stocks, real estate and even precious metals. Cash will be the scarcest asset because there is not enough of it going around to finance all the debt. The game of musical chairs will stop and there are not enough seats. This only ends in great depression 2 or epic money printing. One or the other. Stay safe out there.

Probably nothing, right? $BTC

@timevalueofbtc We are going much lower. In the everything bubble everything must crash. It’s either great depression 2 or money printing into oblivion. There are no other options.

ruh roh! stay safe out there!

@NorthstarCharts @badcharts1 @NorthstarCharts thank you both for the education you provide.

We are going to have a financial crisis of untold proportions. We either have Great Depression 2 with crazy deflation of inflated asset prices as everyone sells everything to get dollars to finance their debt or we get the money printed into oblivion at a time when oil is inflating the price of everything and treasuries are being sold. This is the moment. Its building you can feel it. The charts are showing it. But no one knows for certain which they’ll choose. Cash will buy you assets on the cheap while the crash happens. But precious metals and perhaps Bitcoin (liquity indicator) win if they decide to print into oblivion one the fiat scheme going. We don’t know because Bitcoin has never existed in this type of precious metal money bull era. It either rises as a new hardest form of sound money or fails adoption. This is what happens when the music stops and there are not enough chairs to go around. We did this to ourselves borrowing borrowing borrowing. The pain will be real. You cannot paper over oil shortages. I now see how gold goes to $20,000 an ounce, silver to $300, and oil $300. That happens with the big print. Stay safe out there. It’s about to get real and the charts are forecasting what is to come.

Bitcoin - Over the next few months, it's at risk of showing a weakness that it's never displayed before 👇

The time has come Nik. We are going to see a crash of epic proportions. It ends in Great Depression 2 with deflation as their are not enough dollars going around to finance all the debt or we print the money into oblivion at a time when oil is causing inflation which exposes the fiat system for never ending money printing. The TA on charts show gold measured moves maxing to 20k an ounce, silver $300 and oil $300. If those measured moves happen we printed the money. This is the moment for bitcoin. In this moment it either is treated as hard money and adopted or it isn’t. No one knows because it’s never existed in a precious metals bull era. It’s only ever existed in a stock market bull era fueled by debt funded buying. We will know the future of Bitcoin very soon. It likely goes down as it was also fueled by debt funded buying. But after the initial sell off it either fulfills its mission to challenge precious metals as a new form of hard money or it does not get adopted and fades away with so many other great ideas that never came to fruition.

We have not seen a negative liquidity impulse like this for MANY years. All out collapse. Yet bitcoin outperforming stocks. Go figure!

We have lived without sound money for far too long. The malinvestment is profound. The amount of debt people live in is astonishing. The risks people take to store their hard earned wealth is crazy. They don’t even know they are taking risks. They just store their savings in ETFs, buy rental properties on leverage, and produce less than they consume. And you have to play the game just to store your wealth. It is time we get back to sound money principles. “Banks and paper money could be more dangerous than standing armies” Thomas Jefferson

Is it just me... Or it feels like max complacency out there. Combined with terrible charts like this Nvidia one... that equates to one heck of a disaster waiting to happen...

@VladGrabarskyy @NorthstarCharts @badcharts1 I watch everything you guys do and take notes.

I sat down with technical analyst Patrick Karim @badcharts1 to discuss whether gold is in trouble — and why we could be heading toward $350 oil. youtu.be/nzOsYkmSNV4 We cover: • Gold correction: what’s happening and what comes next • Whether gold could take years to reach new highs • Silver outlook and loss of momentum • Stock market correction and downside risks • Why narratives don’t matter in today’s market • Oil outlook and the possibility of $350 oil • 30-year Treasury yields about to break out • Correlations between energy, yields, and markets • Why focusing on fundamentals can mislead investors • A lot more 🎥 Watch here → youtu.be/nzOsYkmSNV4 #Gold #Oil #Macro #Investing #Commodities #Stocks #silver #trading

@IIICapital Well the TA has a downside of 5800 on the S&P. If we lose that support even lower.

Not a TA chart guy, but it’s starting to look like the printer may need to turn back on.

Everything goes up and to the right in terms of fiat. Fiat destruction. Measure your purchasing power in something that doesn’t lose like gold. What matters is are you gaining, maintaining or losing purchasing power in whatever you are investing in. Fiat price doesn’t matter. Purchasing power matters. Bitcoin was the best asset until this cycle. You can prove this by measuring it in terms of gold. But this cycle is different because for the first time ever we broke the trend priced in gold. Imagine Bitcoin priced in gold if gold is 16-20k an ounce and bitcoin goes relatively nowhere for a decade. The ratio goes back to bitcoins beginnings and loss of purchasing power. In that world of gold being 16-20k fiat destruction has led to $300 oil, $45 sugar, the inflation is large.

Doesn't really mean anything, Bitcoin mechanics haven't changed even if you don't believe they are functioning. If we look at W RSI(50) + 200 period lin reg (2 std dev). This is nearly a year of rsi and 4 years of lin reg. You can see we don't stay in this environment for long throughout the entire history of the asset. Also Bitcoin has also shown a consistent step up function in its realized market cap. This means that over time low RSI will be at higher prices.

GOLD GOES TO ZERO AGAINST BITCOIN.

Just imagine gold goes to 20k an ounce snd bitcoin just stagnates just like the stock market did in the 2000s when the same capital rotation happened. For the first time, I’m very concerned because the whole thesis of bitcoin is it superior monetary properties to gold. And at the exact time, it should be functioning like gold it is not. It’s monetary properties are superior to gold but the United States has most of the bitcoin and we are at war in many ways with China and they decided to use gold. The entire world trades with China and they’re taking their surplus and buying gold not bitcoin. And they are not going to magically change because whoever controls the money controls the world.

@AlexSlezak Gold has been losing purchasing power against Bitcoin in a long-term, stair-step decay. Countertrend rallies happen but so far, every major rally has still resolved into lower long-term relative value. We'll see if it breaks the trend! I doubt it will but who knows!

All that matters is the straight is closed. Everything and I mean everything will sell off, gold included, to buy oil because you cannot function without energy. Iran has the USA and the world right where they want. They are going to cause a financial crisis, sovereign debt crisis, inflation crisis etc. They are going to destroy the petrodollar and cut off the USA ability to fund perpetual wars by being the world reserve currency. This war was a mistake and miscalculation of epic proportions. Iran controls the straight and has all the power because they do.

THE TOP 10 REASONS TO BE BULLISH ON BITCOIN IN 2026 Welcome to the financial asylum. In this video, I break down the Top 10 reasons to be bullish on Bitcoin for 2026, while an army of concussed doom merchants continues hallucinating $35K like it’s hidden in the crawlspace behind Jerome Powell’s blood pressure medication. We cover the whole beautiful spectacle: Bitcoin volatility getting strangled into submission, the BTC/Gold ratio snapping back like a deranged spring trap, power law support still standing there like an ancient granite altar, RSI and Fear & Greed already faceplanting into full public humiliation, digital credit crawling out of the laboratory and buying more Bitcoin, IBIT refusing to die, Morgan Stanley opening the velvet rope, the CLARITY Act dragging Washington one inch closer to functional adulthood, institutions vacuuming coins out of weak retail hands, cost of production acting like a steel floor beneath the market, and the post-halving supply squeeze quietly loading the shotgun behind the curtain. In other words, the bears are asking you to believe that weaker supply, stronger hands, expanding ETF rails, improving regulation, institutional demand, and a maturing volatility regime all somehow lead to total annihilation. A fascinating thesis. Very sophisticated. Very crack-pipe adjacent.

@AdamBLiv I mean it did break the trend.

@AdamBLiv It didn’t break the trend a long term one from 2013. It broke the bottom support. This is Bitcoin priced in gold chart always higher lows until now. I am concerned. It’s a long term trend. This stuff doesn’t break easy on technical analysis.

We are to enter a decade of gold outperforming stocks. Bitcoin has only ever existed ima risk on stock bull era. It has never existed in a gold bull market era. This is the exact time Bitcoin should be outperforming if the thesis is correct . It has done the exact opposite. It’s not acting as digital gold in a regime where gold is catching all the flows. The price is the truth. Bitcoin is perfect money but the world isn’t adopting it as such. If it was the price would be much different. Golds in a technically defined bull market and bitcoin a technically defined bear market. It’s use case is digital gold and beyond that…. Something is broken.

Do you share that sentiment? For him it was due to the vol without enough compensation for it. Hes in retirement, so he’s not stacking. And just wants peace in this season. The 5 yr cagr is around 4% on BTC with 58% vol. Not a very good risk/return profile over that timeframe.

Talked with another gentleman yesterday who is ready to quit bitcoin. Class of 2017. Solid stack. Over 50% of his liquid net worth. Anyone else feeling this way?

Unbelievable how the bottom right corner is where BTC priced in gold is today. And it doesn’t mean the Bitcoin thesis is wrong. It’s not acting as digital gold so why hold it? If it broke out of that dome then it would be acting as digital gold. This chart is what brought me to you.

This my Bitcoin 'DOOM' dome from last year help or kept you safe? Let me know!

Everything about Bitcoin makes sense from a sound money perspective. And this is the exact moment in time in a gold bull market it should explode if the thesis is correct. That’s what makes me think. Nothing about prior cycles did as it was gaining in gold. The world is so far away form sound money either gold has to remind the world what the heck sound money even is and the bitcoin can take off. Or something is broken. But the charts will show us well before it, or if it ever, challenges gold.

@AlexSlezak @NorthstarCharts @badcharts1 Agreed with Northstar and Badcharts on this. Fundamental analysis of Bitcoin put me into a cult mentality for quite some time.

The following is CONTRARY to mainstream belief and might SHOCK some of you. The BEST way to get trapped into a corner, reducing your options as a market participant, is to actually STUDY the fundamentals of any single instrument. MORE time you study, more dangerous it is. You are wiring your brain to think that instrument can ONLY go up, that you are right. Ego then gets involved. If you want to be FREE floating, and simply play ANYTHING that is breaking out of a big base, starting to trend UPWARDS, is to learn NOT to learn. You won't feel like you HAVE to study the fundamentals for 5 years to be comfortable BEFORE entering the a trade. You will SIMPLY be accepting that the plethora of OTHER market participants did their homework, placing their bets accordingly. The IS the actual price chart, and is all that WARRANTS analysis. The OTHER stuff is time consuming and mental TRAPS, making it much harder for you to exit when the price falls apart. You have been PROGRAMMING yourself to seek confirmation bias AND dismiss any contrary takes. ANYBODY telling you to read a white paper OR any non chart defined piece of evidence, are slowly helping you get trapped. Spend time learning PROPER chart analysis. It is THE tool that will give you LIBERTY, not take it away.

@Rajatsoni @AdamBLiv this is where I think we are at in bitcoin. What if the world just doesn’t want it? I study I understand but the world isn’t buying it. It’s losing momentum at the exact moment in time when if the thesis is correct the world would rush to it. And the way information travels it should be happening faster. Doesn’t mean it still cannot happen. But when it does the price charts will tell us it is before it is.

There have been many good ideas in the world that never catch on. I see this in my coaching career. I know how much I can help certain players with the knowledge I have. Yet, they simply will not recieve or use the knowledge. I don’t know why. But I spend my coaching now helping those ready to recieve and use the information. This is my only concern with Bitcoin. It has superior monetary properties but will it be adopted because that’s the only property that matters. Money must be a widely accepted medium of exchange. And if it does win out long term how long is that term? It may not be in my lifetime. These transitions take a long time and people are slow to change. I appreciate the work you do. When I receive new information I utilize it to shape world views.

@AlexSlezak @badcharts1 Yes.