Allen Reynolds

@1classico @clashreport I am well aware, your map is just not showing that. The red line is simply the TSS line, not the shipping lanes. For reference, the actual shipping lanes are displayed in the picture shared in 1st post of the thread - and they're within the claimed sea mine area in Omani waters.

@AllenFReynolds @clashreport TSS lanes are the intl deep-water route in Omani waters,hugging Oman for 60-100m depths. Saying they "end" there is like a highway stopping at a curve. IRGC's "danger zone" is a control grab, not safety.

Iran has released an official map of required shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz. It shows vessels must travel closer to Iran’s coast, and confirms for the first time that usual routes are now considered dangerous due to the risk of naval mines.

@1classico @clashreport The part with the bold black arrows in the center saying "deep water lane", those are shipping lanes. And as you can see, they end in Oman, and don't go through the strait. Strait is the part with water (blue). Ships can't cross the land of Oman (yellow) to reach the Gulf.

@AllenFReynolds @clashreport No that is the shipping lanes, they are in Omani waters, you must have been on the negotiating team, they couldn't read a simple chart either👍

@1classico @clashreport Your map mostly shows the seeways for ships that go to Oman, not for those that cross the strait.

@clashreport Here is the correct chart, why would Iran be laying mines in Omani waters...where the shipping lanes are, without sanction....any ideas ?.....not hard to figure out...

@WhalePanda "Safety" Well, this didn't age well.

What I love about Dubai As soon as someone says he/she likes Dubai you always get the same negative comments so I'll address the less desirable parts in the next part which I will write tomorrow or on Thursday. No personal income tax Well that's an obvious one and maybe even the number 1 reason why most people move here. They did implement a 9% corporate tax now over $100k profit. They also have 5% VAT. They had to implement taxes to get off the FATF grey list. Safety Again a very obvious one. When you go to Starbucks you can leave your phone or laptop on a table to reserve the place for yourself without any fear of them getting taken. A woman can walk on the street at night by herself without any worries about getting harassed or worse. No fears of pickpockets or other crimes. You can leave your car unlocked anywhere, most people leave their houses and apartments unlocked. My wife stepped into the wrong car once in a parking lot at a mall and only realized when she tried to start it, it wasn't ours. Does that mean that there's no crime? There is always some crime but most of them are either scams or when it's about burglary/theft usually they get caught. If you commit a crime, you'll get deported. Education This is from my perspective as someone who's used to public education in Belgium. The schools and facilities are insane. The level of education in the private schools is exceptional, since there are so many new families moving to Dubai there are also a lot of new schools being build and opening up. Everything is brand new and high quality. The school my kids go to now is, in my opinion, super expensive, however I compared it to the school we had picked out in Lugano and from what I've heard from friends in the US... it's still a lot cheaper here for this kind of education. The kids absolutely love it. Healthcare Again from my perspective as someone who didn't really have private healthcare in Belgium: the level of healthcare here is top notch. No 5-6 months wait for checkups or procedure. Same day if it's really urgent or else for sure within 2-3 days. My son needed braces and that was all done really fast and smooth. In Belgium there are long waitlists for specialized dentists. Private healthcare also means private health insurance and that does get costly too. A Mexican friend had her parents visiting, the mother slipped and fell and broke her wrist. She was taken to the hospital by ambulance, had x-ray taken, cast put on and all that within 1.5 hour and at the end she didn't have to pay anything since it was a medical emergency. Connectivity I've come to value this even more. Once you go Emirates, you're not going back. Yes, yes there are other premium airlines with similar, or arguably better service but you have to admit that it's great. Direct flights to everywhere in the world, Dubai is an amazing travel hub. I'm not flying to Europe much anymore but taking the kids to Asia and Africa has been simply amazing. All within reasonable flying time and without annoying layovers. Cultural diversity This one might trigger some people with PTSD. I've met people from all over the world that live here. What happens often, especially in many parts of Europe, if you move there as a foreigner it is extremely hard to integrate into the community. I'll take Belgium as an example: everyone in the area I grew up had the village mentality: you're born, raised, marry, have kids and die in the same place. You make friends in school and those will be your friends for the rest of your life. That's it. 90% immigrants has the advantage that everyone made a big move to move out of their home country. Everyone has a different story and (almost) everyone is quite open and friendly to new people since it takes a lot of courage to make a move like that. People tend to be more open-minded. The downside then is that you have people that are here only for a couple of years. They come here to work, make money and leave. Those friendships aren't long lasting so there's always a coming and going of friends. Another good thing about cultural diversity is that no matter what food you're looking for: you're going to find and since there are so many people from different countries here: it's going to be amazing.

A thread on moving abroad (in my case Dubai) 2.5 years ago I moved to Dubai with my wife and 2 kids and it was one of the best decisions I've made in my life. Some personal context: I was born and raised in Belgium, the center of Europe. I always lived close to my parents who came over very often to visit the kids. I never had the intention of moving to another country. I did travel a lot and I've met many of you around the globe. Then with the Covid hysteria and lockdowns I actually felt more and more how insane the policies in the West were. I was paying 50% income tax + 21% VAT on everything and meanwhile I saw the quality of life deteriorate rapidly. My son was going to kindergarten/FS2 (depending on your school system) and the quality of education was horrible. Private schools aren't really a thing in Belgium, you have a handful in the 2 major cities (Antwerp and Brussels) but these are the exception and 95% of the students are from expats. Belgium's public education system used to be top notch, growing up I always felt that for me it worked great. But when my son went to school, he wasn't challenged, everything went at the pace of the slowest kids. He was bored in school and I felt I was letting him down. At the time we were living in a small village (10k people) in a nice house with a huge garden, I loved that house. It was at the end of a cul de sac and no one ever came there. Then in 12 months time we had 2 burglaries in 2 different houses in the street. For the first one our house was actually the main target, however we got lucky since I accidentally left the lights on everywhere. On the cameras I installed I saw them jump over our 2 meter (6.5 feet) fence, walk to the house, check inside and jump back over the fence. Since then we didn't really feel that safe anymore. The 2nd burgarly was during the day and they broke in to a house where they had 2 guard dogs and only ran away when the owners came home. They were never caught, the police didn't do much. The combination of covid hysteria, bad education, safety concerns and high taxation while not getting anything in return made me actively start looking for alternatives.

@Georg_Pazderski Iran hatte laut Oman in den Verhandlungen bereits angeboten ihr Atomprogramm für militärische Nutzung zu beenden. tagesschau.de/ausland/asien/… Die Gefahr gab es auch nur, weil Trump einseitig 2017 das JCPOA-Abkommen ausgesetzt hat.

Der IRAN hat gleichzeitig 6 arabische Länder angegriffen: Bahrain, VAE, Katar, Kuwait, Jordanien, Saudi Arabien. Stellen Sie sich vor, das Mullah-Regime hätte die Atombombe - sie hätten KEINEN MOMENT GEZÖGERT, sie einzusetzen❗️ Es zeigt, WIE RICHTIG die USA und ISRAEL handeln.

@ala631163 @MOSSADil @POTUS @BarronTNews_ @badralbusaidi Trump never wanted a deal, the negotiation were just a show. Trump already withdrew from JCPOA in his first term, which is the only reason why Iran increased their nuclear program again. If it wasn't for Trump, there would be no war and no need for war.

@ala631163 @MOSSADil @POTUS @BarronTNews_ @badralbusaidi Negotiations clearly have been a show the last days. The US used the time of negotiations to prepare a war and started war at the time negotiations were still ongoing. During negotiations, Iran agreed to significantly reduce their nuclear program (just like they did for JCPOA)

🚨 BREAKING: Iran has now also attacked Oman with a drone strike on one of its ports. Oman mediated the recent US-Iran talks.

@fuecks Iran has been attacked from 11 countries in the last 48 hours: Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Jordan, Israel, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, Iraq, Turkey, Syria Wenn du dem US Militär einen Stützpunkt gibst, musst du mit Kollateralschäden rechnen, wenn sie mal wieder einen Krieg anfangen.

Wer eskaliert hier? Wer vor einem "regionalen Flächenbrand" warnt, sollte auch Ross und Reiter nennen. Sonst spielt man des Spiel des Iran, der den Krieg in die Region trägt, damit besorgte Friedensfreunde ein sofortiges Ende der Kampfhandlungen fordern.

@CapitalBike @Karl_Lauterbach Gut gewusst mit @CapitalBike: Nachts scheint auch in China die Sonne nicht. Batterie- und Pumpspeicher erfasst @ElectricityMaps für China leider nicht. Wenn du Deutschland und China 12 Uhr mittags Ortszeit vergleichst ist CO2/kWh fast gleich.

@Karl_Lauterbach app.electricitymaps.com/map/zone/CN/li…

Wie schnell China beim Auto Export vorbeizog kann unmöglich allein mit „Lohnnebenkosten“ erklärt werden. In Wahrheit ist China uns mittlerweile in der Forschung in vielen Bereichen überlegen, zeigt sich dann auch in der Technologie. Unser Bildungssystem ist der „Underperformer“

@heisenberg2543 @steipete @sabinedoering Klar, aber 8 Stunden im Schnitt an 6 Tagen sind völlig in Ordnung. Macht 48 Stunden die Woche. Und das ist reine Arbeitszeit, dazu kommt noch informelle Gespräche in der Mittagspause, Fahrtzeiten bei Bürojobs oder Vor- und Nachbereitung des Arbeitsplatzes bei Home-Office.

@AllenFReynolds @steipete @sabinedoering Es gibt das Arbeitszeitgesetz. Maximal 8 Stunden am Tag, nur mit Ausnahmen mehr aber auch nicht mehr als 8 im Schnitt. Halten sich viele nicht dran, ist aber bußgeldbewehrt. Dazu Betriebsrat/Mitbestimmung.

Der OpenClaw-Gründer Peter Steinberger entkräftet hier sachlich viele B/Doomer-Bedrohungsszenarien. Nun geht er zu OpenAI. Warum konnte oder wollte Europa dieses Talent nicht halten? Ums Geld allein ging es ihm ja ganz offensichtlich nicht. on.orf.at/video/14311959…

@grok @dummbrod @oida_grantler @apollo_news_de @DLRG Könnte man also sagen, die DLRG möchte sich vor allen politisch extremen schützen, der öffentliche Diskurs fokussiert sich aber auf Rechtsextreme, weil es davon deutlich mehr gibt und deshalb die Gefahr größer ist, und deshalb wird der DLRG (von diesen) als einseitig dargestellt?

Ja, das ist ein plausibler Grund. Der Verfassungsschutz stuft AfD und NPD als rechtsextrem ein, beide sind nicht verboten und AfD hat erheblichen Zulauf. Linksextreme wie die KPD wurden 1956 verboten; Nachfolger (z.B. DKP) sind klein und weniger prominent. Der Fokus spiegelt die wahrgenommene Bedrohung wider, basierend auf Quellen wie BfV-Berichten.

Jetzt droht AfD-Anhängern bundesweit der Ausschluss aus der DLRG. Der Rettungsschwimmerverband hat seine für ganz Deutschland geltende Satzung verschärft. Vorbild war der Landesverband Württemberg. apollo-news.net/satzungsaender…

@grok @dummbrod @oida_grantler @apollo_news_de @DLRG Liegt der Fokus auf rechte Gruppen nicht darin begründet, dass vom Verfassungsschutz als gesichert rechtsextrem eingestufte Parteien (wie AfD und NPD) nicht verboten sind und viele Anhänger haben, während linksextreme Parteien (wie KPD) verboten wurden oder irrelevant klein sind?

Die DLRG-Satzung (§2) verpflichtet sich zur freiheitlich-demokratischen Grundordnung (FDGO) und schließt Mitglieder aus, die rassistische, verfassungsfeindliche oder fremdenfeindliche Bestrebungen unterstützen – unabhängig von links oder rechts. In der Praxis und Debatte (z.B. AfD-Kritik) erscheint der Fokus jedoch oft auf rechte Gruppen. Quellen: DLRG-Website, nd-aktuell.de.

@grok @dummbrod @oida_grantler @apollo_news_de @DLRG In wie weit fokussiert sich die Satzung des DLRG spezifisch auf rechte Gruppen? Bezieht sich die Satzung nicht auf die FDGO die prinzipiell nicht zwischen rechts und links unterscheidet?

Ja, extreme Ideologien können Vereine schädigen, indem sie den Kernzweck (z.B. Lebensrettung bei der DLRG) untergraben oder Spaltungen erzeugen. Ausschlüsse könnten helfen, Neutralität zu wahren, wenn sie ausgewogen und auf alle Extremen angewendet werden. Allerdings birgt das Risiko, selbst zu politisieren, wie Kritiker der DLRG-Änderung (die sich auf rechte Gruppen fokussiert) argumentieren. Eine neutrale Satzung gegen vereinsschädigendes Verhalten wäre oft fairer.

@grok @dummbrod @oida_grantler @apollo_news_de @DLRG Kann es vereinen wie der DLRG nicht schaden, wenn diese von politisch extremen Ideologien unterwandert werden oder diese Einfluss bekommen? Wäre demnach nicht ein guter Weg um Politisierung zu verhindern, dass Vereine politisch extreme Äußerungen nicht dulden und ausschließen?

Das ist ein valider Punkt – Vereine sollten sich auf ihren Kernzweck konzentrieren, wie Lebensrettung bei der DLRG. Die Politisierung vieler Bereiche in Deutschland ist ein breites Phänomen, das über Parteien hinweg diskutiert wird. Eine neutrale Satzung könnte helfen, den Fokus zu wahren.

@grok @NicolevsElocin @la_ahe @oida_grantler @apollo_news_de @grok Versucht @NicolevsElocin dich hier eventuell zu einer bestimmten Antwort zu leiten, um diese dann öffentlich zu nutzen? Ist der Ausschluss von politisch extrem auftretenden nicht sogar ein Ansatz um die politischen Extreme der Vergangenheit (NS-Zeit, DDR) zu verhindern?

Tatsache: Die DLRG führte 1933 den Arierparagraphen ein und schloss Juden aus, kooperierte mit NS-Strukturen (Studie "Zwischen Idealismus und NS-Ideologie", 2025). Der Vergleich zur heutigen Politik gegen Rechtsextremismus ist verständlich, doch der Kontext unterscheidet sich: Damals förderte es Diskriminierung, heute soll es Neutralität schützen. Beides basiert auf Gesinnung, was Debatten über Fairness aufwirft.

@steipete @sabinedoering Viele Menschen leben aber gar nicht für den Job, haben Freunde und Familie mit denen sie gerne Zeit verbringen wollen. Das scheint bei dir ja nicht der Fall zu sein. Das tut mir Leid für dich.

@steipete @sabinedoering Das Gutverdiener in Deutschland und Europa häufig nur 5 oder weniger Tage die Woche arbeiten ist deren freie Entscheidung. Manche verunglimpfen das als "Lifestyle-Teilzeit".

@SebS343 @AllumBokhari @BarackObama Very true, in reality the actual emissions caused by Chinese is even lower, but even if we don't account for the fact that most emissions that are accounted towards China are actually for consumers in other countries, they still do significantly better than the US.

@AllenFReynolds @AllumBokhari @BarackObama Per capita is a useless metric in this case, they run an export economy, a large part of the energy they consume is to produce things for US and ROW consumers

Today, the Trump administration repealed the endangerment finding: the ruling that served as the basis for limits on tailpipe emissions and power plant rules. Without it, we’ll be less safe, less healthy and less able to fight climate change — all so the fossil fuel industry can make even more money.