Melius Analytics

Rob Wertheimer lowered $CAT 2019 estimates to below consensus on inventory drawdown flagged by our @AnalyticsMelius team

Fastenal showed continued signs of lower procurement in August 2019, prior to announcement of incremental tariffs! $FAST

New negative signal! #Wayfair data showing a slowdown across the board for furniture procurement $W

Melius Analytics ranked the industrial companies with the most tariff exposure to China. Contact us to find out who else is most at risk in a trade war… #china #trade #dataanalytics

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) procurement market share declining, major decline in brake SKUs! $aap #dataanalytics #alternativedata

We saw continued deceleration beginning in 4Q18 for Mohawk's tiles, driven by ceramic and stone SKUs. We’ll remain cautious on future demand if volumes don’t start picking up… $MHK #DataAnalytics #AlternativeData

Come on #barbie let's go party! $MAT #DataAnalytics #AlternativeData

Melius Analytics' procurement signal showed strong aligner production for both 4Q18 and 1Q19! $ALGN #dataanalytics #alternativedata

$CAT North America procurement is looking strong for key SKUs. This quarter is likely in-line but 2Q19 outlook is tracking better than consensus! #DataAnalytics #AlternativeData

TSLA production in-line with Melius procurement model, things look worse for 2Q19! $TSLA $TSLAQ

Today we initiate data coverage on MedTech ! Through tracking and back-testing millions of key revenue-generating SKUs, we identified predictive power in multiple use cases including revenue/demand signals. #medtech $ALGN $BAX $BDX $BSX $HRC $INGN $ITGR $RMD $STE $SYK

Nobody at Melius Analytics was surprised by the uptick in Mexican imports last year...in fact we saw it real time!! #dataanalytics #alternativedata #longpeso #longKSU $KSU

$LULU procurement acceleration implied a strong quarter and better than expected FY guidance given reloading of key sold-out SKUs.

Tesla year-over-year production data for key revenue-generating SKUs confirms deliveries are SLOWING! $TSLA $TSLAQ @TeslaCharts @PlugInFUD @MarkSpiegel @QTRResearch @RampCapitalLLC @skabooshka @ElonBachman @WallStCynic @Keubiko

Melius algorithms tracking monthly auto OEM production #Analytics $GMQ #Chevrolet @GM @MeliusResearch

Melius Analytics called out accelerating growth in key revenue-generating SKUs within $IR climate segment (Trane/HVAC) which saw 20% orders growth and 9% core. We see continued strength in our January data and expect a strong 1H19. #dataanalytics #alternativedata

Melius Data Analytics sees continued execution risk at $CMI. Our data for key SKUs shows the worst decline in 5 years in terms of production as well as procurement, with higher use of air freight implying factory execution issues. #dataanalytics #alternativedata @MeliusResearch

Melius Data Analytics team highlights conviction industrial winners and losers today with a positive bias on: $IR $NAV $HON $GTES. Concerns exist for $CMI and $GT. #dataanalytics #datascience #procurementdata @MeliusResearch