vernon holgate

4.6K posts

vernon holgate

vernon holgate

@Argoules21

🇬🇧🇨🇰🇫🇷 Katılım Temmuz 2022
53 Takip Edilen53 Takipçiler
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@BBCSteveR The joke section report reminds me that l might like a lot of Russians. Encore.
English
0
0
0
36
Steve Rosenberg
Steve Rosenberg@BBCSteveR·
In today’s Russian papers: Stalin rehabilitated, Soviet jeans remembered, Nato “fragmented” and Moscow wondering “will Nato’s foundation stone, the Article 5 principle of collective security, work?” #ReadingRussia
English
20
183
703
30K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@JulianWaller To state the obvious. The architect needed to be in the foreground and the building created in the background. Do they have (basic) photographic classes at Watson Middle School …
English
0
0
1
5
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@John_ForemanCBE Loathed Monty (understandably) to the point that it affected his judgement. Hence the failure of the breakout from Normandy (territorial v tactical exploitation) might be laid near his and Ikes professional doorstep.
English
0
0
0
5
John Foreman CBE
John Foreman CBE@John_ForemanCBE·
+1 for this man. An exceptional staff officer.
John Foreman CBE tweet media
Big Brain History@BigBrainHistori

Richard Nixon on what makes a great president (1982 CNN Crossfire interview): Nixon offers a striking framework for evaluating political talent, starting with a comparison of the Kennedy brothers: "Edward Kennedy was the best politician of the three; he is gregarious, loves it, and is warm." John Kennedy, by contrast, was "actually quite a shy and private person, though he performed the public duties of a politician very well." And Bobby? Nixon compares him to "a 17th-century Jesuit priest: passionate, intelligent, and someone who broke no opposition." But Nixon's real insight comes when he names the three greatest political operators of the 20th century: Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and Lyndon Johnson. In his view, "no other presidents were in their league as political operators." Then he reveals what he actually looks for in a president: "I don't want a president who is warm on both the outside and inside; I want one who is warm on the outside but cold and tough when making difficult decisions without fear of failure." Nixon then turns to the role of those serving the president, recounting a conversation with General Beetle Smith, widely regarded as perhaps the greatest chief of staff of World War II, and later Nixon's neighbor. Smith once told him in tears that he was just "Ike's Pratt boy," and told Nixon that was what he was as well, serving under Eisenhower. Nixon's response reveals his philosophy of service: "This did not bother me because it was my job. A vice president or cabinet member should consider themselves dispensable and do what the president wants to carry out policy. Otherwise, the president would have to 'get down there in the ring' himself." His reasoning was pragmatic to the point of self-effacement: "While what happened to me personally might not matter to the country, what happened to the president could be disastrous."

English
2
0
7
1.7K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@JulianWaller That’s just priceless. ‘Outstanding contribution to State security’. Yes we shot them and felt more secure. Time to elevate Lavrentiy Pavlovich me thinks.
English
0
0
1
7
Julian Waller 📖
Julian Waller 📖@JulianWaller·
Walking around the EU quarter in Brussels is fun because all the propaganda banners on the corporatist-imperial glass, steel, and concrete buildings gives it something of a Starship Troopers vibe. 😌
Julian Waller 📖 tweet media
English
4
12
106
6.2K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@John_ForemanCBE Israeli tanks seem to cope….jury definitely out in my reading into the anti tank v armour v mobility v firepower equation. I remember facing one and it’s a daunting weapon from the emotional PBI perspective. Easier to write off on the keyboard battlefield. Less so in the trench
English
0
0
0
38
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@KofmanMichael I think historians will relish the challenge. Putting aside my grave personal misgivings, it’s all very intellectually challenging & hence interesting. Evan’s & Freedman have both built plausible frameworks of analysis, which then have to tested by future discoveries/disclosures
English
0
0
0
53
Michael Kofman
Michael Kofman@KofmanMichael·
Ryan raises good questions here, which I think many have had, about the theory of victory. Just reading through the recital of goals and objectives I do not envy historians years from now having to wade through this time period. warontherocks.com/tactical-succe…
English
11
18
124
23.1K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@LawDavF @KofmanMichael It’s amusing to note the majority of comments to a well articulated and obviously factual commentary by a well established expert. Most comments point to there authors deficits in one regard or another. They are delusional and soon to be mortified by outcomes. That’s X world
English
0
0
1
78
Lawrence Freedman
Lawrence Freedman@LawDavF·
This is my assessment of why Trump’s war went so badly wrong. Underestimating an enemy and a belief in a quick victory are familiar sources of failure, compounded in this sense by incredible ultimatums and delusional claims. (£/free trial), open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/the…?
English
46
240
1.1K
286.3K
Julian Waller 📖
Julian Waller 📖@JulianWaller·
Really pleased this thread got around a bit, much better than the horrible slop most were putting out all month. 😌
English
2
0
10
476
Julian Waller 📖
Julian Waller 📖@JulianWaller·
The answer seems to be a decisive yes! Extremely interesting outcome based on current returns, will prompt some important revisions of how political scientists have coded Hungary in the 2020s.
Julian Waller 📖@JulianWaller

And what's different now is that the oppo is shockingly united, led by a pretty charismatic figure, and one who *defected* from the ruling party. All of that makes for an unusually strong challenge that in an electoral moment of opportunity can make up the difference.

English
5
1
25
1.7K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@JulianWaller Very good J. It is a fascinating and important political milestone beyond 🇭🇺 borders
English
0
0
1
47
Julian Waller 📖
Julian Waller 📖@JulianWaller·
So that's my not-prediction prediction. I don't know why many here on twitter have as much confidence as they do, except insofar as they are either partisan signaling generically or trying to contribute to a sense of inevitability. Anyway, I'll give you more tomorrow. 🙃
English
8
0
34
3.1K
Julian Waller 📖
Julian Waller 📖@JulianWaller·
Everyone is talking about the upcoming 🇭🇺 Hungarian elections rn (D-Day: Sunday!), so here's a Hungary regime primer. I'll even throw in a low confidence prediction, even tho [SPOILER] I think the election is basically a coin toss on likely outcome, if not seat distribution.
Julian Waller 📖 tweet media
English
4
29
166
47.4K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@BBCSteveR The jokes add balance & perspective. Oh and they’re rather good!
English
0
0
0
217
Steve Rosenberg
Steve Rosenberg@BBCSteveR·
Despite high oil prices boosting export revenues, these are some of the headlines in today’s Russian papers: “Warnings of an economic crisis [in Russia] grow louder” and “A reduction in purchases by Russians is ringing alarm bells for the economy.” #ReadingRussia
English
18
290
1.2K
62.3K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@sambendett @KofmanMichael For non technical people (me) l asked Copilot The Russian forces have lost access to starlink. They are now reportedly using domestic Spirit-030 satellite dishes for drone attacks. Can you explain the likely effectiveness of this as a substitute The answer was comprehensive.
English
0
0
0
398
Samuel Bendett
Samuel Bendett@sambendett·
Rus TG channels report that the Rubicon Center units are using domestic Spirit-030 satellite dishes over the course of several months at this point. t.me/bes_pilot/5520
Samuel Bendett tweet mediaSamuel Bendett tweet media
English
6
32
154
32.7K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@John_ForemanCBE I have noted that this Administration has achieved several of its objectives but gets no traction for doing so with its own base. Let alone from anyone else. Interesting political phenomenon which baffles them and me a bit.
English
0
0
0
16
John Foreman CBE
John Foreman CBE@John_ForemanCBE·
Spendthrift ‘Rachel is the only person in the Cabinet with worse political antennae than Keir’…’one of the truly outstandingly awful chancellors of the post-war period.’
Rachel Reeves@RachelReevesMP

Minimum wage rising 📈 State pension increasing 💷 Two child limit abolished 🏡 Child poverty falling 📉 Rights at work strengthened 💪🏻 Labour promised change. We are delivering change. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

English
3
3
60
1.9K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@John_ForemanCBE Tim’s knowledgeable ( actually impressive) on Ukrainian history less capable on politics.
English
0
0
0
26
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@John_ForemanCBE @MarkUrban01 British politics fell into the abyss from ‘credit crunch’ - Brexit trauma - Tory psycho dramas - economic doledrums that were linked to these. The state of the UK defences are one of several malaises. I predicted as much after the EU vote. I hate being proven correct. It’s a mess
English
0
0
1
106
John Foreman CBE
John Foreman CBE@John_ForemanCBE·
Nice, mournful piece on the state of the Royal Navy by @MarkUrban01 and how far it has declined since the 1980s. I’d forgotten that the wretched Coalition had cancelled a refit for a Trident boat. They also cut acquisition, support and maintenance funding. Result: no ships/subs and poor availability.
Brian Williams@BriW74

thetimes.com/article/678e93…

English
11
22
122
39K
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@John_ForemanCBE Possible cognitive degenerative symptoms have been evident for sometime. I saw it in my own family.
English
0
0
0
23
vernon holgate
vernon holgate@Argoules21·
@John_ForemanCBE I get the point ; l have noted that Watts & Noem dismissals are reportedly linked to some GOP Senators being furious over their performance (or lack of it). Maybe politics still functions but not openly.
English
0
0
0
30