
agent_arthuro
15.6K posts

agent_arthuro
@ArthuroAgent
purely data driven / anti-establishment / pro Europa, anti-EU bureaucrats


Prediction of the future is the best measure of intelligence






Das sieht mir doch nach einer sicheren Anlage aus.




BMW Cancels its "Autonomous Driving" System BMW is abandoning its "Personal Pilot L3" and reverting to Level 2. Mercedes has taken the same step, and BMW also recognizes that it is not capable of offering autonomous technology, but only driver assistance systems, and the two are as different as night and day. Until now, BMW with the 7 Series and its competitor Mercedes with the S-Class claimed to be pioneers in highly automated driving at Level 3 on the international stage, but this was marketing and never reflected reality. The systems had very limited applicability and were never technologically capable of enabling autonomous driving in all needed situations and conditions. BMW and Mercedes-Benz spent a lot of money to present themselves as technological leaders in the field of autonomous driving, but that is now over. The solutions developed by the two companies had no potential to offer autonomous driving to consumers. Instead, they tried to create an image with solutions that showed short-term successes but did not solve the real challenges like Tesla did. The press and media, especially in Germany, have not stopped pushing the solutions as globally leading. To claim leadership without a technical understanding reveals that these are not solutions. Furthermore, only a very small number of customers have purchased the SAE Level 3 systems from Mercedes and BMW, making their operation uneconomical. What BMW intends to continue offering as part of its SAE 2+ system is the so-called "Autobahn Assistant," which allows drivers to permanently remove their hands from the steering wheel at speeds up to 130 km/h (80 mph), although they must remain attentive and ready to intervene ("hands-off, eyes-on"). The system assists with vehicle control within the vehicle's lane and can also automatically change lanes if necessary – a simple visual confirmation from the driver is sufficient. While the system facilitates driving on Autobahns, it offers no solution for rural roads, cities, and villages, and has no potential for future operation without a driver monitoring the system in other words it is not autonomous and will never be. This stands in stark contrast to systems from Tesla and Waymo, which operate fully autonomously and without a driver in various US cities and drive significantly more safely than the average human driver. What we are currently witnessing is the admission that German manufacturers cannot offer any autonomous driving solutions, while Tesla FSD is gradually conquering and monetizing the market with a functioning and safe solution. Without a functioning, fully autonomous driving system, established automakers will lose large customer groups who can purchase a Tesla at a lower price, whose systems are already superior to the ADAS systems of BMW or Mercedes. While Tesla's FSD is constantly improving and SAE Level 4 is expected to become available to consumers in the US this year, it is likely that customers will continue to turn their back to German automakers.







Chamath explains Warren Buffett’s secret to success: “Markets thrive when there's information asymmetry” “Now I'm gonna get a lot of people really upset with me.” “This is an example of Warren Buffet's returns pre- and post-Reg FD. Now what do you see?” “His returns were double the market returns when this kind of information sharing was legal.” “And the minute that it became illegal and you had to act on the same edge as everybody else, his returns went to the market return. He generated zero alpha. In fact, he probably, on the margins, lost a little bit.” “So this is the single best investor in the world. This is what happens when you have information symmetry.” “So it's just meant to explain that markets thrive when there's asymmetry. Billions and billions of dollars will be made in asymmetry.” “The prediction markets today, unless they are regulated out of existence or shut down, will look like the stock market pre-Reg FD, and there's nothing we can do except choose not to bet it, because otherwise what you're going to have are a ton of sharps taking advantage of a ton of squares.”








i have zero respect for someone who’s willingly in a relationship with jake paul idc about your olympic record















