Bg2 Pod

Robert Reich forgot the 6th and most common way: 6) Build something millions of people actually want

Back-of-envelope numbers for 1 gigawatt data center: All-in Capex: ~$50 bn Enterprise revenue generated: ~$25-30 bn/year Electricity cost: $1-2 bn/year ~2 year payback. The boom is real.

$NVDA CEO: “Inference demand will go up by a billion times.” We are just in the very early innings. Compute demand will likely grow by another 10x over the next decade and current TAM projections for GPU/CPU will look too conservative in hindsight. $AMD $NVDA $INTC $ARM

🚨BREAKING: DELL Technologies (NYSE: $DELL ) Has Filed to LEAVE DELAWARE for Texas $137 BILLION market cap. The filing points to a $1 BILLION Delaware settlement Dell paid in 2023. $266.7 MILLION of it went straight to the attorneys. Why Texas: - Reduces frivolous, opportunistic lawsuits - Business-friendly regulatory framework built for growth - A new Business Court designed for complex corporate disputes

Cloud Giants Update: AWS (Amazon): $150B run rate growing 28% YoY (last Q grew 24%) Azure (Microsoft): ~$108B run rate (estimate) growing 39% YoY (last Q grew 38%) Google Cloud (includes GSuite): $80B run rate growing 63% YoY (last Q grew 48%, neither are cc)

Satya Nadela is basically describing the death of the traditional SaaS model. Explains the AI agentic future, and where the "value" lives. Because business logic is moving from the software application to the AI agents. Currently, you buy software for its specific features and rules. Nadella argues that in the future, software apps will essentially become dumb databases ("CRUD") or simple tools. The AI Agent will hold all the intelligence, orchestration, and reasoning, simply updating the databases as needed. The software becomes a commodity; the AI becomes the "brain" and the worker. ----- Video from Bg2 Pod Youtube Channel (link in comment)

Professor Jiang Xueqin on how this war is likely to go and what happens to the world. (0:00) How Will the Iran War Be Resolved? (7:33) The 3 Major Trends We Will See Due to This War (11:28) Will Japan Become a Nuclear-Armed Power? (16:06) The Future of South Korea (20:12) The Energy Crisis (25:23) The Future of the GCC and Iran (29:57) The Greater Israel Project (35:11) How US Ground Troops Will Change the War (36:46) Prof. Xueqin’s Advice to Donald Trump (38:49) Is It Possible for the US to Get Israel Under Control? (45:03) What Role Does Trump Play in All This? (48:21) The Future of North America (54:59) Are We Seeing the End of Europe? (1:00:58) How Many Americans Truly Understand What’s Happening in the World? (1:03:50) The Effort to Destroy Western Civilization

Elon Musk just said the AI community is misunderstanding the math of superintelligence by two orders of magnitude. Not slightly off. Not directionally wrong. A hundred times off. Musk: “Most people in the AI community don’t yet understand. The intelligence density potential is vastly greater than what we’re currently experiencing.” Everyone is focused on the hardware race. Bigger data centers. More GPUs. Nuclear power plants built to feed the compute. That’s half the equation. Musk: “I think we’re off by two orders of magnitude in terms of intelligence density per gigabyte. That’s just algorithmic improvement. Same computer.” Read that carefully. Not more hardware. Not more energy. Not more capital. The same machine. A hundred times smarter. Through software alone. That’s before the hardware improvements compound on top of it. Musk: “And the computers are getting better. That’s why I think it is a 10x improvement per year type thing. 1,000 percent.” A thousand percent compounding annual growth rate in raw intelligence. A system that becomes 10x more capable every twelve months doesn’t follow a linear curve. It doesn’t follow an exponential curve that human intuition can track. It follows a curve that human intuition cannot simulate at all. In year one it’s 10x smarter. In year two it’s 100x. In year three it’s 1,000x. At that point, the gap between that system and a human brain is wider than the gap between a human brain and a calculator. This is the math the public isn’t running. The models aren’t just getting better. They are compounding on themselves at a rate that makes every previous technology curve look flat. Musk: “The intelligence density potential is vastly greater than what we’re currently experiencing.” We aren’t approaching superintelligence on the timeline most people imagine. We are already inside the curve.