Michael Smith | BTC Project

If you are interested in Bitcoin, but want a calmer place to think it through, the BTC Project Telegram group is open. The focus is simple: Bitcoin-first education. Sound money. Bitcoin cycles. Forward planning. Better questions. Less noise. A community for people who want to understand Bitcoin with more patience, clarity and structure. Join here: t.me/+4PHn5UlteBA2Y…

@0xAddress_ My pleasure - welcome to join our BTC Project community 🙌 t.me/+4PHn5UlteBA2Y…

@BTCPRJT Great insight on the cycle dynamics and I really appreciate you taking the time to break down such complex data for the community.

Is Bitcoin’s four-year cycle broken? That’s one of the biggest questions of this bear market. I spent the past few weeks researching Bitcoin’s historical timing relationships, not to predict price, but to test whether the cycle framework still deserves attention. The result is BTC Project Research Paper 01: The Bitcoin Clock Has Not Broken Free to read: Go to btcproject.org Educational only. No price predictions or financial advice.

@0xAddress_ Correct @0xAddress_ and keeping humble enough to know when patterns begin to change 🙌

@BTCPRJT This is exactly the kind of deep dive I love to see because understanding these patterns is what keeps us ahead of the curve as we build for the future.

@HieuDao151093 Yep 👍 this time it is not different - again. Well so far anyway!

@BTCPRJT Cycle thesis still makes sense to me

If Bitcoin had a control room... this is probably what it would look like. One more shakeout. One more test of patience. One more chance to discover whether you're building conviction or just chasing price. Thankfully, markets aren't actually controlled by someone pressing buttons. But it does feel like it sometimes. btcproject.com

@BitcoinNewsCom Bit more to go - and then we begin the ride again 👍 @BitcoinNewsCom

Stay humble, stack sats.

@SimplyBitcoin @SimplyBitcoin and the Q4 low is closer 😊

637 days until the next Bitcoin halving ⚡️

@blockchainchick @blockchainchick what’s your take on the 4 year cycle and a October / Q4 low?

Nobody is interested in Bitcoin right now In the past these have been the best opportunities to DCA

@The_MegaWhale also has a fantastic read on the cycle 🙌

@WolvesofCrypto_ as well.

@benjamincowen has been super helpful in helping me understand the thesis.

Re-sharing this because some indicators suggest a bottom may be forming. My base case remains that Bitcoin has further downside work to do into the October timing window. I may be wrong. That is exactly why a plan matters more than declaring the bottom too early.

BTC Project Weekly Brief | 13 July 2026 Look beyond the noise, understand where bitcoin:native may sit within the broader 4-year cycle. Want a structured educational tool for thinking about Bitcoin accumulation? Join our community at btcproject.org and explore the BTC Project Dynamic Dollar Cost Average (DDCA) calculator here: btcprojectddcacalculator.netlify.app Market structure | BTC focus | No noise.

Bull markets make people feel smart. Bear markets show whether you actually understand market structure and if you have conviction in Bitcoin. When price falls, the hype disappears. You learn whether your plan is realistic, whether you can stay calm, and whether your conviction is based on more than price. That is a hell of a lot more valuable than the rise itself!