Bruno BaKano 🇪🇺💙💛🇺🇦
22K posts

Bruno BaKano 🇪🇺💙💛🇺🇦
@BaKanoide
🇵🇹 Xennial born in 🇫🇷 and currently living in 🇳🇱 after some stints spent in the 🇬🇧 and 🇯🇵. I usually have opinions about everything and anything.





(1/6) [ANALYSIS] Russian Armored Vehicle Fleet, 2022–2025. A Thread. Current data suggests that Russia’s armored vehicle fleet is larger today than at the onset of the war in 2022. Contrary to recurring claims that #Russia is running out of armored vehicles and therefore relying on infantry-led infiltration assaults, my analysis indicates that the fleet has actually grown by ~5% at the end of 2025. Drawing on an assessment of losses, reactivation rates, and new production, supported by Jompy (Many thanks for the insights) @Jonpy99’s OSINT work on Russian open-air storage sites and additional sources listed in my final post, I developed a projection model similar to the one used previously for Ukraine. According to the simulation (see Table 1), the 2025 fleet shows: - MBTs and IFVs: slight decline relative to pre-war volumes - APCs: sharp increase of 38% - Overall total: from a pre-war inventory of 19,900 vehicles to roughly 20,900 in 2025 Looking ahead, and assuming conservative production and reactivation levels in 2026, the fleet is projected to peak around 23,000 vehicles before gradually declining as Soviet-era storage stocks are depleted. Even so, the model suggests that totals should not fall below pre-war levels before 2030. By that time, refurbishment capacity will likely shift to additional new production, not matching today’s total output but sufficient to offset current loss rates. A second scenario, of course, is that the war ends and new production is redirected toward replenishing the most modern classes of equipment. Read it on substack: open.substack.com/pub/delwinstra… #Strategy #UkraineWar #Analysis

“I think Ukraine should hurry to accept the peace plan, this winter will be cold. Zelensky will have to approve the American plan. If he doesn’t like it, he can keep fighting. I believe you know that if he doesn’t accept it, U.S. support will be withheld. I think peace between Ukraine and Russia is coming soon.”




To answer question one, does Russia have the funds to restart nuclear warhead testing? Yes. And if Moscow decides to do it, it will also mean that Russia will be moving faster toward the collapse of its federal budget. Testing nukes is very expensive. 1/25


⛔️NEW FUNDRAISER⛔️ The fighters of the 31st Brigade's reconnaissance company need two SUVs to carry out combat missions on the front line in the Zaporozhye direction. I believe we can help them, they risk their lives every day and destroy the occupants. GOAL 8️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣💲 FIRST SUV CAR 🅿️🅿️ lifetreeof2@gmail.com

Serious question here: What is the international community gonna do when the death toll of this single massacre ends up being over 100.000? With all the (very justified) international upheaval and scrutiny, lawsuits and sanctions over Gaza, are we just gonna ignore all of this?


Are you ready?🙂 56th brigade needs a pickup and Matrice 4T send.monobank.ua/jar/3Zuzxk994D PayPal v.titarenko@student.csn.khai.edu






