Missile Dodger

@AlexSalvati3 @Chargabar @prestonstew_ Not if you achieve your objectives. Capitulation will not bear fruit with the Ayatollahs. You can't surrender your way out of this. The Ayatollahs did not start calling you the great Satan just last month. Don't be afraid. Israel will stand with you regardless. :)

@BalanceEven @Chargabar @prestonstew_ Success? This war is about to destroy the US economy and push millions out of work. That's all that matters to Americans - they do not care about your country, or your neighbors. I cannot stress this enough.

“Iran right now, if we declared victory, they would now say they own the strait. We’re in a tough spot, ladies and gentlemen, I can’t identify a lot of options.” -General Mattis, retired four star Marine general and former SecDef for President Trump

@pauljonesAIR @prestonstew_ The US is not going to occupy Iran (maybe Kharg Island). You are going to fight a very different sort of a war in Iran, using very different weapons - and remember, those 6000 and many more injured, were mostly killed by Iranian-backed militias.

Maths Iraq 6000 dead Americans. Americans left. Afghanistan 3000 dead Americans. Americans left. Iran def thinks that if they can that sort of number of Americans, America will leave. Are they right? They will do their best to test it, if given the opportunity. How many dead Americans do you think the home front will accept? Because whatever number that is, your plan has to work without hitting it. If you haven't got a number, it's lower than you'd like. As to airpower controlling the battlefield, yes. But unless you then take physical control of the country with boots on the ground, that really is neither here nor there.

@AlexSalvati3 @Chargabar @prestonstew_ Like I said, success has many friends - and this is not just our war. We are way ahead of you and continue diversifying. Just in case. That said, I doubt that anyone wants to push Israel to seek less ideologically aligned allies quite so quickly, right? x.com/Osint613/statu…

@BalanceEven @Chargabar @prestonstew_ It's over. You're on your own by the mid-2030s, at best.

Volkswagen is in talks with Israel’s Rafael Advanced Defense Systems over a potential deal that would shift production at one of its German car factories from automobiles to missile defense components.

@AlexSalvati3 @Chargabar @prestonstew_ I'd stay of the Tucker Carlson if I were you. But regardless of your estimation, what could the future of Israeli-US relations be when the country that told you about Iran's nuclear efforts, and took out their entire leadership (3 times) tells you they are also building a nuke?

@BalanceEven @Chargabar @prestonstew_ You roped us into your war, and basically burned what was left of your support here. Don't expect cordial relations with the US going forward. Very unfortunate - and I say that as the husband and father to Jews.

@pauljonesAIR @prestonstew_ Where did you get those numbers from? Whoever controls the skies, controls the battlefield.

If that's the only acceptable outcome, what is the PLAN to deliver it. Trump had no plan (if Iran didn't fold right away), and it shows. It's a chunky country full of mountains and history shows if you kill a few thousand Americans, they'll go home. Look at Trump, with Run Away from Afghanistan deal after just 3000 deaths. You really think he's the guy to motivate the Home Front to accept 20,000, 60,000 deaths?

@Chargabar @AlexSalvati3 @prestonstew_ Very different culture.

@BalanceEven @AlexSalvati3 @prestonstew_ It's going to turn into Syria 2.0 and won't make Israel any safer in future.

@teobaldo_smith2 @SpockNC @prestonstew_ Well, Tucker Carlson says you should share power with China. Vote accordingly I guess. x.com/visegrad24/sta…

@SpockNC @BalanceEven @prestonstew_ We kidnap Maduro and starve Cuba… and now we throw the Middle East into turmoil and risk global chaos. As an American, I’ll say it: we fear China becoming a bully, but right now, we are the bully and agent of chaos.

@SpockNC @teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ They are prioritising the US military, and rightly so.

@BalanceEven @teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ Anduril so far hasn’t been able to deliver militarily effective drones to Ukraine. They should try and do that first.

@SpockNC @teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ I was referring to weapons sales, not purchases. Israel buys vastly more weapons from the US than the aid covers. Go search for our defense spending over the last 3 years and tell me what percentage of it is from US aid (3.2 bn/year).

@BalanceEven @teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ Israel? They buy their weapons with our money. With changes to warfare on European continent, it’s probably Ukraine that is going to make bank, not the US. The rest of what you posted is just BS.

@teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ I agree, but it won't help you much economically, I warn you in advance. In any case it is a small fraction of Israel's income today as Israel has diversified and now sells high end weapons systems, from the helmets in the F35, to Trophy for Abrams tanks. besacenter.org/dispelling-myt…

@BalanceEven @prestonstew_ Fear-mongering. So many ifs. If the US leaves the Middle East, there won’t be any U.S. bases to worry about. Like I said, we should pack up and let the region handle its own problems: including cutting all aid to Israel.

@SpockNC @teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ I was referring to the shift in philosophy, as embodies in miltech startups, such as Anduril etc.

@BalanceEven @teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ You’re going to need to take off those rose-colored glasses. LUCAS drone is not any kind of game changer. They’re not even effective in Ukraine (as Geran or Shahed).

@SpockNC @teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ Saudi just dropped 1.5 trn. So did the UAE. So will the Europeans, in spite of their anti-Trump agendas, because they simply haven't invested in their own defense industries. Even Israel has about $50 bn. of weapons back orders.

@BalanceEven @teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ That is the definition of Pollyannaish. A global recession is imminent. No one is going to be pumping trillions into our economy.

@teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ Correct. Next time it will be US Bases in the region. After that it will be "If you hit our terror bases" Then "If you fight our proxies" And finally "if your ships try to enter..." The regime are terrorists. If there was any doubt, even the Persian Gulf states know that now.

@BalanceEven @prestonstew_ The Iran-Iraq War. Iran blocked shipping in response to Iraq’s attacks on Iranian oil tankers.

@roarbro @prestonstew_ I disagree.

@BalanceEven @prestonstew_ Yeah much less experience.

@teobaldo_smith2 @prestonstew_ What triggered it in 1980?

@BalanceEven @prestonstew_ Hormuz is closed because attacks on Iran have provoked Iran to make passage unsafe or restricted; saying “we must attack Iran to reopen it” is circular reasoning: attacking Iran is what triggered the closure in the first place.

@colemarie @prestonstew_ This China...? x.com/visegrad24/sta…

@BalanceEven @prestonstew_ China said, "come get your boy, he's f'ed."

@roarbro @prestonstew_ I guess you can hope. 🤷‍♂️ America is not Ukraine either.

@BalanceEven @prestonstew_ Equally likely social media will be full of videos similar to Ukraine invasion and videos of US soldiers being hunted by fiberoptic drones will break America and shatter its confidence.

@teobaldo_smith2 @DanWells1139026 @prestonstew_ ...and fertiliser?

@teobaldo_smith2 @DanWells1139026 @prestonstew_ I disagree, but regardless, what about helium and LNG?