Bau FPL

13797 🌍 20 🇭🇺 Season Review (1/2) An incredible season has come to a close. I've met so many amazing new people who helped me along the way, and I’ve also managed to grow a lot personally. Just when I think there's not much room left for me to improve in this game, entirely new perspectives, strategies, and mindsets open up. I’ve always been more interested in the math and philosophy of the game than simply which player to put in, and my goal is to further research and understand this moving forward. Up next: World Cup Fantasy. Finally, I owe a huge thank you to the following: -@SolioAnalytics: I had the chance to take part in testing before the start of the season, and since then I have a much better understanding of how a model works. It was also one of the cornerstones of my decision-making this year. -@fplreview: My most important decision-making tool. -@SynergyFPL: I joined mid-season and I’m still incredibly grateful for it. It felt amazing to be part of the best Analytics Mini-League in the world, filled with brilliant and helpful people. Lastly, I’d like to thank everyone who supported the content I tried to deliver consistently and precisely. If that wasn't enough and anyone needed personalized help, I was always available and tried to explain everything accurately (completely for free, of course). Thank you!

🚨 Fantasy FIFA World Cup 2026 is now LIVE! Let's see those first drafts ⬇️

Ultimately data ranks show the optimality of your decisions. We want to get a good rank. How can you achieve that? -by making good decisions. If your data rank is good, then that’s a great indicator that you played well. Variance exists. There’re scenarios where someone has an incredible data rank but finishes >500k and the opposite is as well. So it adds objectivity to measure how well you played.

@BauFpl Congrats mate. If your overall goal is rank then why do you measure your success against EV metrics, please? I also use data but I don’t understand the review of the season being measured against expected data. Is that because your other objective is to learn the maths, please?

13797 🌍 20 🇭🇺 Season Review (1/2) An incredible season has come to a close. I've met so many amazing new people who helped me along the way, and I’ve also managed to grow a lot personally. Just when I think there's not much room left for me to improve in this game, entirely new perspectives, strategies, and mindsets open up. I’ve always been more interested in the math and philosophy of the game than simply which player to put in, and my goal is to further research and understand this moving forward. Up next: World Cup Fantasy. Finally, I owe a huge thank you to the following: -@SolioAnalytics: I had the chance to take part in testing before the start of the season, and since then I have a much better understanding of how a model works. It was also one of the cornerstones of my decision-making this year. -@fplreview: My most important decision-making tool. -@SynergyFPL: I joined mid-season and I’m still incredibly grateful for it. It felt amazing to be part of the best Analytics Mini-League in the world, filled with brilliant and helpful people. Lastly, I’d like to thank everyone who supported the content I tried to deliver consistently and precisely. If that wasn't enough and anyone needed personalized help, I was always available and tried to explain everything accurately (completely for free, of course). Thank you!

Thank you, that means a lot! And of course. I don't usually go into it with ultra-specific goals, but I think a baseline of Top 50k and an ambitious Top 10k are good targets. After seeing my EV ranks, I was hoping to break into the Top 100, but because of a few unlucky outcomes, my rmEV rank didn't quite make it. I think my xMinEV would have gotten me there, but I accidentally started O’Reilly in GW38. 😆 But my main goal is always to learn more about the math of the game (probability, statistics etc.) and the philosophy behind decision-making, and I definitely succeeded in that!

@BauFpl Thank you for sharing Bau. I found it fascinating reading the metrics you analysed your performance and decision making. Would you mind sharing what your goal was for the season, please?

@SolioAnalytics 🤍

@BauFpl Thanks for helping us test and congrats on a great OR!

@FPL_Brandon 🐐

🎶 TOP 500 AGAIN OLE OLE 🎶 Best ever finish! 🔥

GW38 —Pure chaos. I hope it went through well, as the site crashed at :29. Insane jam with O’Reilly not in the squad… I get Mosquera (who I’m feeling optimistic about) and hopefully Van Hecke if Gabriel doesn’t play at all. Haaland to Bowen (C) was my only move. Good luck!🍀

Nico O'Reilly and Rayan Cherki do not start for Manchester City. Appreciate the leak? Sign up for our free FPL newsletter. Simple transaction. Click below 👇 lazyfpl.com/subscribe?utm_…

Haaland doesn't start. Appreciate the leak? Sign up for our free FPL newsletter. Simple transaction. lazyfpl.com/subscribe?utm_…

Maxence Lacroix s’apprête à jouer son dernier match à Selhurst Park cet après-midi contre Arsenal. Un transfert du défenseur central de Crystal Palace est programmé. Il n’y a pas de discussion avec les Eagles pour prolonger son contrat. Plusieurs clubs de Premier League s’intéressent à l’international français de 26 ans. rmcsport.bfmtv.com/football/trans…

Here are #FPL Game Week 38's predicted line ups and a huge thanks to all of our predictors and @FPL_Spaceman Quite a lot of uncertainty. Best of luck in all of your seasons!

Mohamed Salah starts for his big farewell at Anfield this afternoon. Andrew Robertson is also given a start in his last appearance in a Liverpool shirt. #LFC

GW 38 – a thread 🧵 Including: - My shortlist - Decision flowchart - Captaincy thoughts

GW38 Preview 🔥 Everything on the line. 15 major dilemmas covered 👇

I heard he’s a good option for 4.0M.

World Fantasy Soccer - Serie A GW38 #5 🌎 #2 🇭🇺 18 points off the first place in the Hungarian Mini League, wish me luck!

Surely GW38 is a perfect chance for Arsenal to play Kepa. Raya is their most important player for the European Cup Final.

Final (GW38) #FPL Tips This Year 🏁 • Rank goals > optimal template decisions • Worst week to take hits; it's never worth it. • This is the GW where your gut feeling matters way more. Intuition > Model decisions. • The goal should be to field a playing XI that you’re most confident in. xMins > EV/ceiling. • TOTEVE and WHULEE are the two games to target; high motivation & easy fixtures at the same time. Bowen, Porro, Mavropanos, Danso, and Richarlison are my favored choices. • Liverpool also have a strong fixture. Salah feels like the exclusive one-week punt: for his last game at Anfield, they surely want him to score. Szoboszlai, Wirtz, or Gakpo can be viable as well. • City is insanely difficult to predict. My feeling is that Pep wants to play the XI that he achieved the most with, and not the new signings/youngsters. Therefore, I think Semenyo, Cherki, and O’Reilly are under threat. • The same goes for Arsenal: my logic here is that Arteta will put out his Champions League XI to build cohesion, confidence, and match fitness, but the subs will come very early. Bruno Fernandes wants to set a new assist record. BHA away is not easy, but he’s certainly a good asset to have. Maybe even to captain. • More on Brighton: they are a highly motivated team against a shaky Man United defense. I’d like to keep Welbeck, but wouldn’t recommend him as a transfer target. I’d bench the defenders. • Another motivated team is Bournemouth. Tavernier and the defenders look fantastic. Good EV, with many solid performances as evidence. • Chelsea fall into the same category. Following a stronger output against Tottenham, Palmer, JP, and Enzo especially look great. Their defense is a no-go. • Haaland is the best EV95 captaincy option, but Pep’s rotation concerns me a bit. Fernandes or Bowen is a safe alternative for obvious reasons. I like a Palmer/Enzo captaincy for those with an extreme risk appetite. • Wait for info and leaks to make your final calls.