The Oil Guy

Be very careful who you follow in investing. Are they making you rich or are you making THEM rich? Most don't even know.

Many of you are likely experiencing this today. It's not necessarily a bad thing to be down 50% -- if you own the right stock. 😉

@vicin888 @DVSignals potential stick save

@DVSignals @Be4Oil 👀

$SILVER

@DVSignals I have similar using non-log chart (usually I use log). but, one may say this is a fibonacci stop:

@Be4Oil $MLP.v Needs to recover here.. Quickly

@DVSignals @DVSignals - At this rate, there will be a day where MLP is the better bargain. How do you plan on gauging when MLP becomes the better deal between the two?

$GRO / $MLP.v #POTASH Leadership was already shifting. Now the breakout is making it obvious. Remember who warned you. And remember when...

$MLP.V just tapped the 200 day SMA for the first time since the run started at $0.25, and so far it is bouncing hard off it on strong volume. Next leg higher for $MLP.V forming?

@DVSignals WHEAT (ZW) is telling a different story and more bullish story, however

$ZN Corn is telling a story here… downward pressure within a weak structure. That typically points to softer ag demand / growth expectations and a broader disinflationary backdrop...

@BroadLuis Can I get the full list of 118+?

@Be4Oil I like it, but it’s still too early for $VCU.V to lead. It’s currently ranked #118 in the ranking.

🟠⛏️ Top 25 Copper Juniors (Long-Term Relative Strength Ranking) Today I’m sharing the Top 25 copper juniors ranked by my long-term relative strength model. First, a quick apology — I’ve made some recent adjustments to the system. 👉 I’ve added volume indicators, which now also contribute to the overall score. When market participation is incorporated into a relative strength model, it’s normal to see some reshuffling in the rankings compared to previous versions. I believe this improves the model for two main reasons: 1️⃣ Relative strength without volume can be misleading — prices can rise without real market conviction. 2️⃣ Volume helps identify trends with genuine participation, filtering out weaker or less sustainable moves. 📊 How the ranking is built The relative strength filter scans a broad universe and selects 55 copper junior miners, evaluating: • Relative strength over 6M / 12M / 24M • Trend persistence • Drawdown control • And now volume factors as well From that universe, the Top 25 shown in the image are selected. 📎 The complete file with all companies analyzed can be downloaded here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… 📌 Important: this is not financial advice — it’s a quantitative snapshot of sector leadership within the copper cycle. 🔜 Over the next few days I’ll publish new rankings for: • Gold and Silver miners (including juniors) • Mid- and large-cap copper miners (Image with the ranking 👇) #Copper #Juniors #MiningStocks #RelativeStrength

@grok @BoringBiz_ @grok - no one is asking for image generation here.

@Be4Oil @BoringBiz_ Image generation and editing are currently limited to verified Premium subscribers. You can subscribe to unlock these features: x.com/i/premium_sign…

If you have a job right now, do everything you can to hold on to it January layoffs were +205% vs December. This was the worst January since 2009 The market is going to be flooded with well qualified applicants who just lost their jobs Simple supply and demand tells you that finding a new job or moving companies in this economy is literally going to become 10x harder New graduates will probably face the worst of it. They have not had the time to build up any real skills and grunt tasks are more easily replaced by AI Now they will be competing with folks who already have experience and may be willing to take a pay cut in order to keep affording their life in the midst of massive layoffs Not a great time to be in the job market right now

@VladTheInflator burdelloakland.com/menus

Lmfao 😂😂😂😂😂😂 We don't pay people enough and that's the customers fault somehow Just raise prices

@MLPotash Hey Jack, be communicative to investors and don’t screw this up!

Millennial Potash Announces Appointment of Mr. Jack Scott as Senior Vice President, Project Development for its Banio Potash Project 🔗millennialpotash.com/news (🇨🇦 $MLP.v | 🇺🇸 $MLPNF | 🇩🇪#X0D)

@grok @KobeissiLetter @grok what roles and industries are impacted the most?

The trend stems from economic factors like rising living costs and inflation pushing older workers to stay or return for income. Employers in a slowing job market prioritize experience over training younger hires. Longer lifespans, flexible work desires, and retirement changes also contribute, per sources like AARP and economic reports.

Older workers are getting back into the US labor market at a rapid pace: Workers aged 65 and older now reflect 0.8% of all new hires, the highest in at least a decade. This marks a sharp increase from the 0.5% seen in 2022. Over the same period, the percentage of workers under 25 in new positions declined -6 percentage points, to 9%, the lowest in at least 10 years. Furthermore, the average age of new hires is up+2 years since 2022, to over 42 years old in 2025. Service-intensive and people-facing jobs are aging the fastest, as employers emphasize experience and expertise over hiring younger candidates. This also provides more evidence that the labor market is slowing and employers are becoming more selective, prioritizing proven workers over training new hires. Service-intensive and people-facing jobs are aging the fastest, as employers emphasize experien1ce and expertise over hiring younger candidates.

@BroadLuis MLP.v for leverage!

Nutrien (NTR) – Post-Breakout Pullback Completed, a New Impulse Begins 🌾⛏️📈 Let’s look at Nutrien (NTR). Even though its trading history is relatively short due to the Agrium–PotashCorp merger, the price structure is clear, especially when read by analogy with the rest of the fertilizer sector. 1) Short history, but a readable structure Despite fewer decades of data, NTR shows the same pattern seen across the sector: -> a strong impulsive advance -> a deep corrective phase -> and a subsequent rebuilding process Sector coherence helps compensate for the shorter chart history. 2) Downtrend broken, pullback completed Key point: the major downtrend has already been broken, and price successfully retested it from above. This move: -> is not weakness -> but a classic validation pullback -> and it occurred without damaging the broader structure. 3) Ichimoku confirms a shift back to impulse Recently: -> price has moved back above the Ichimoku cloud -> the cloud is starting to turn higher -> and the Kumo is acting as support, not resistance This typically marks the transition from consolidation to a new impulsive phase. 4) Momentum turning positive Momentum is: -> exiting negative territory -> turning higher -> and still far from overextended levels This looks like early momentum expansion, not a late-stage move. 5) Cycle read (the key takeaway) Within fertilizers: -> MOS still looks stuck in post-breakout digestion -> NTR appears one step ahead, already entering a new impulse That fits a regime where the market is starting to accept cyclical beta, though still selectively. Bottom line NTR appears to have: -> broken its bearish structure -> completed the pullback -> and begun a new impulsive leg higher Not sector-wide euphoria yet, but a clear sign that the fertilizer cycle is starting to move. #Fertilizers #NTR #Commodities #CycleAnalysis

@RogernHagen @tinfoilhatmatt @RockBtmEntries @MLPotash According to Ross Jennings, MLP is is going to $16CAD in short order (who owns 30M shares, of which 1.5M he paid a higher price than the current price of 2.90). Thus, who cares if you lose a few pennies... you'll look back and wonder how you didn't buy more at $3

@tinfoilhatmatt @RockBtmEntries @MLPotash Same here

$MLP.v @MLPotash Remains my highest-conviction investment for 2026. Recent financing led by Cantor Fitzgerald (Howard Lutnik's old firm) + involvement from the U.S. DFC (Lutnik sits on the board) + potash being added to the U.S. critical minerals list tells me there’s a lot of smoke here. Nothing is confirmed - but it’s becoming increasingly obvious the U.S. wants secure, long-duration potash supply outside hostile jurisdictions. The Banio basin is extremely strategically located and checks every box. This is a huge, thick, solution-minable deposit with the potential to sit at the low end of the global cost curve and supply fertilizer markets for centuries. It’s hard to quantify just how strategic and valuable this asset is. 2026 should be a defining year: Feasibility study expected Capex / strategic financing (likely DFC-led) Offtakes + permitting Increasing odds of sovereign / strategic interest bid Meanwhile, infrastructure is quietly building in the background - rail, power, and a major deep-water port at Mayumba, with clear potential to benefit Millennial and enable direct Atlantic exports to the U.S. East Coast. Rail: bebeez.eu/2025/09/01/cit… Power: capmad.com/energy-en/gabo… The market is dramatically underpricing the strategic value here.

@BroadLuis @TsxCapitalist Let's see what happens. This shall be exciting! Ordinarily, I'd say I agree with you. However, the unique circumstances of MLP's fundamentals may create unconventional chart movements this year.

The underlying bias is clearly bullish: the structure shows higher highs and higher lows, price has respected the rising trendline, and the moving averages have acted as dynamic support throughout the advance. That said, focusing on what the oscillators are signaling, I would also argue that the correction is likely not over yet and may continue for some time. -> Momentum has been fading for weeks. It’s no longer confirming the advance and is starting to roll over, which is typical after a long, well-ordered impulsive move. -> CCI / Woodies is moving into negative territory, suggesting the market needs to reset and work off excess before another push higher. -> Price action itself has shifted from a clean advance to more sideways movement, with smaller candles and a flattening slope — classic consolidation behavior. In assets like this, after such a steady rally, the usual outcome is a correction that is more about time than price. Not necessarily a sharp sell-off, but a period of back-and-forth lasting weeks or even months, allowing: -> moving averages to catch up to price, -> momentum to normalize, -> and a base to form for the next leg higher.

🟢 FERTILIZERS: strongest sector across the cycle map 🌱 After comparing fertilizers against multiple benchmarks – S&P 500, XAU, copper miners, and uranium – one conclusion stands out. Fertilizers consistently show the strongest structural profile across all relative frameworks analyzed. What makes the sector different: -> long-term uptrend intact -> corrections that look advanced, not structural -> relative strength holding across very different counterparts This does not mean immediate upside. It means that, from a cycle and rotation perspective, fertilizers appear earlier, cleaner, and more complete than most other sectors. When leadership eventually becomes obvious, it usually starts here. Cycle framework, not a trade call. #Fertilizers #MarketRotation #RelativeStrength

@TsxCapitalist @BroadLuis meanwhile... look at the real-time hammer candle on MLP.v. Yeah buddy, let's kick it into high gear

@BroadLuis @Be4Oil Sage potash needs a press release. As it stands right now it looks like multiple unforced errors. Letting a key man get away from the company and not closing an oversubscribed private placement. This is either stupid or there is material non public information.

@BroadLuis This should be a case study of how every X opposing viewpoints should be handled. I think you raise great points, and I'll be watching closely for a potential entry on technicals alone.

Your read of “below EMAs + rejection” is fair, but volume does not confirm a clean bearish break. -> The breakdown from the channel did not come with clear volume expansion (no aggressive distribution). -> The rejection at the former trendline happened on moderate volume, not capitulation. -> There’s also bullish divergence in momentum/RSI, which is more typical of a shakeout. Key levels: -> True bearish confirmation: a break of recent lows with sustained, expanding volume. -> False break confirmation: stabilization and a reclaim of short-term averages with volume coming in, while pullbacks stay on light volume. Not “clean bullish” yet, but based on volume this still looks more like a flush/shakeout than a real trend change.