BenLuk 02

@SocDane Socdem pretending like his ideology isn't a different shade of neoliberalism with the additional downside of turning GenZ into pension and debt slaves for the boomers

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@JustAGuy_tbh @yankydankydaioh @KaiserBeamz JonTron basically saidFBI crime statsistics are true, but he doesn't know why they are the way they are and he can't exclude anything. Destiny then pushed hard on the "can't exclude anything" and JonTron who had no experience in debating started to list every possibility for why.

@yankydankydaioh @KaiserBeamz But what did he say that was so bad?

People forget that JonTron was seriously once considered to be the next AVGN before he went crazy. Every time he uploaded a video, an entire series of reaction gifs were born.

@Mabirc @Yaknas_ Er hatte gute und schlechte Spiele als alle anderen verletzt und außer Form waren, aber es gehört halt auch dazu, dass Stergiou bei einem Absteiger keine 200 Minuten sammeln konnte und wir über ihn einfach hinaus gewachsen sind.

@Benluk02 @Yaknas_ Ich finde man sollte aber Stergiou mal wieder auf rechts eine Chance geben, er hat es doch letztes Jahr ganz ordentlich gemacht.

16, 4, 22 👀⏳️

@Hotaru9411 @Yaknas_ Olivier soll gerne contender sein, aber ich hab Zweifel, dass der an den IVs als Backup vorbei kommt. Bei Mr.X ist eh die Frage ob man da explizit nen RV/RAV will, wenn es keine guten 4er-Ketten RVs aufm Markt hat und theoretisch auch einfach Jeltsch außen spielen kann

@Benluk02 @Yaknas_ Wie wäre es bei RV Olivier als Nr.2/Contender die Chance geben und Mister X (Neuer, oder "bessere" Option zwischen Vagnoman und Assignon) als Nr.1?

@Mabirc @Yaknas_ Naja, Assignon würde nur verscherbelt werden, wenn Vagnoman bleibt. Wenn Vagnoman in der WM spielen sollte und dabei trotz limitierter Spielzeit eine gute Figur abgibt könnte man den schon bei einem richtigen Angebot verscherbeln und dann wird man denke ich Assignon safe behalten

@Benluk02 @Yaknas_ Also wenn wir Stenzel, Stergiou, Vagnoman und Assignon gehen lassen, ist die rechte Seite blank (selbst mit all denen manchmal). Stenzel wird gehen, Vagnoman nur bei einem entsprechenden Angebot und bei Assignon bin ich mir nicht sicher.

@mx__7000 Bro hat sich einfach als Erfolgsfan geoutet

Assignon muss der schlechteste Transfer der VfB Historie sein. Preis-Leistung ist ungeheuerlich. #VfB #TSGVfB

@flow1893 @Kimi49066144 @Seriouz1893 Er ist 21 und hat riesiges Potenzial. Die Situation ist halt grade dass Bouanani ähnlich wie Tomás schlechter performt wenn Deniz und Medo beide auf dem Platz sind.

@Kimi49066144 @Seriouz1893 Für den Preis, muss einfach mehr gehen und dass er defensiv nicht mitarbeitet regt mich ehrlich auf.

Hört sich krasser an als es nachher ist. Überwiegend Leihen und Vertragsende. Stergiou, Al-Dakhil, Zagadou, Stenzel, Keitel, Ulrich, Jovanovic, Malanga, Milosevic. Zudem Nübel, Stiller + X.

@Seriouz1893 @l_sauerwald Solange BEK, Bouanani und Darvich da sind wird Ulrich halt original 0 Minuten kriegen außer Hoeneß stellt taktisch um auf asymetrisch wie in 23/24 mit 1 Flügel, 1 ZOM, 1 hängende Spitze und 1 9er. Ich würde es feiern wenn Ulrich sich durchsetzt, aber viel Hoffnung hab ich nicht

@l_sauerwald Da warten sie bestimmt die Vorbereitung ab. Könnte was werden sie auf ein Dreierzentrum gehen (was der Prömel-Transfer nahelegt), aber auch dann wird er sich hinten anstellen müssen.

@_D_dot_ @WilliamofKent I would save the child. Problem with the blue button is that the probability of your vote mattering using available ressources is worse then 1:100 Million. I might consider the altruism route, if I make a impact. In this experiment I wouldn't make one so I'd press red.

@WilliamofKent If I ask you “would you save a child in a burning building even at the potential cost of your life” and you say yes, why would I not believe you? To the same extent, why is it unbelievable to assume the people who would push the button wouldn’t do so irl?

“We don’t live in a high trust society” >test society >high trust wins >test again >trust wins >test again >trust wins “Well obviously they’re all lying”

@Blushs_Art @theramblingfool Ok, that’s your choice and it's fine. I personally would never conciously choose to gamble my life away for any outcome with astronomical low chances and that’s also fine. But why do you insist on insulting all people who don't wanna "selflessly gamble" with their own life?

@Benluk02 @theramblingfool where neither the principled actors nor those who entered due to moral luck, are eliminated from humanity leaving exclusively the least valuable anti-social cohort.

Every Pro-red argument: (1) Cynicism: "It's impossible for blue to win. Don't be suicidal." (2) Narcissism: "There is no downside to pressing red." (3) Changing the hypo: "Babies don't count. That'd be stupid! So there's a blender..." (4) Psychopathy: "Blue pressers deserve to die." (5) General poor analytic reasoning: "If everyone just pressed red!"

@Blushs_Art @theramblingfool No, 20-50 Mio is the scientific data of observed ellections with the estimates expecting a tie scaled to 8 billion. The US ellections hitting a tie in popular vote is btw. also in the same range and if we scaled that one up we end up in the 1 in 100s of millions.

@Benluk02 @theramblingfool Are we assuming that everyone's choice is being decided by individual coin flips or something?

@mElonMario01 @ArtemyZen You also ignore one fact. Pushing either button is no guarantee that you shift the public vote. Look at how often the popular vote ends up at exactly 50/50. It's absurdly unlikely. The question is risking your life an option if hitting the jackpot is saving billions.

@ArtemyZen They also ignore one stark fact. Pushing blue is not a guarantee to dying. There is no guarantee to dying. Death is not the default for blue. Every red vote increase the chance of death for blues, and death is only guaranteed if enough of them are cowards.

У краснокнопочников есть одно интересное когнитивное искажение. Они думают, что все такие же рациональные как они, и не допускают, что люди в здравом уме могут нажать синюю. Опросы и споры в интернете не могут их переубедить, что на синюю всё же кто-то, да нажмёт.

@Blushs_Art @theramblingfool Best case for you is that 50% is the most likely outcome and your odds end up at 1 in 32 Mio. Realistically there are multiple standard deviations between 50% and the most likely result, each dividing your chances in half. Would you take the risk?

@Benluk02 @theramblingfool I don't think you could back up those assumed statistics if you tried.

@OttoBerlandieri @ondrapxc My whole timeline is just red gang calling blue gang naive idiots and blue gang guilt tripping red gang aswell as calling them every bad thing possible from murderers to consious genociders. Imma be real here, the blue gang is much more heated and cruel towards the red gang.

@ondrapxc Its interesting how heated Red pushers get about trying to defend their decision.

People who push the red button are the same kind of people who would hide they were bit by a zombie. Not exactly, but It's selfish preservation that condemns others to die for no reason if they successfully hide it. Its a direct choice to that. Blue means NOBODY loses. It goes to show how so many people would gladly pick something that benefits themselves at the loss of others over the SAME benefit to everyone, including themselves. For many reasons, distrust your fellow man will make the same choice, "I got mine" mentality, or just instinctual self preservation, etc.. Its a social morality experiment, there is no "right answer" but what you pick says alot about you.

@zer0main43 @MilesTuesday The whole dillema is literally altruistic gambling with possibility of death vs ensured self-preservation at the expense of others survival odds. It's just that one side calls the glass half empty and the other side half full, when it's just the same thing with different wording.

@MilesTuesday It fundamentally changes the hypothetical to place inherent danger upon blue when that is not the case The hypothetical is do you press a button that does nothing or a button that kills the people who pressed the other button with no outside influence or threat

“Let me explain the blue vs red button debate” *misrepresents the hypothetical to make blue seem stupid and red smart

@Blushs_Art @theramblingfool Would you join a lottery where everyone playing the lottery might die to unknown chance, but there is a abysmal chance that you might save the lifes of all lottery players with the chances being likely worse then irl lottery jackpot probabilities?

@Benluk02 @theramblingfool Your choice matters regardless. You're simply rounding down because the numbers are conveniently big and obtuse, like every other person who wishes to wash their hands of the negative effects they have on the world.

@Blushs_Art @theramblingfool In a regular ellection you can inform yourself, coordinate with others, join a party and also shift the popularity rating. In the experiment you are isolated and the choices of others are essentially out of your control with your choice only mattering in a perfect 50/50 split.

@Benluk02 @theramblingfool Just because that's a common cope for societal parasites, it's not how voting actually works.

@theramblingfool You forgot the "my vote won't change the outcome any I rather don't wanna die" option

There's a secret number 6 that's not great but I can at least begrudgingly respect it: "Maybe I shouldn't press red, but I'm afraid to die."

@henrikflengel @cinnamontoastk A lot of blue-button pushers ignore that the marority choice is arbitrary and out of their control. In the end your choice won't impact the final result. Your cope for choosing either side won't change the fated outcome. Either let fate choose your destiny or stay alive for sure.

@cinnamontoastk A lot of red-button pushers either willfully ignore, or are outright incapable of comprehending, that if red wins people ARE going to die (e.g., small children). Picking red means abandoning those people. And then they go on to reframe it as if blue is at fault for dying.

This red button/blue button discourse is wild. 100% red saves everyone no consequence 51% of blue saves everyone no consequence 51% red kills all of blue but they frame it like its blues fault they had to kill them even though red is the only choice that causes anyone to die.