BetsWithStats

Erdivisie 20/3/2026 🇳🇱 Yegoian shot ladder! >1.5 shots 1.73 >2.5 shots 2.9 Read second photo for full explanation. If you want to double this, I also like Ozan Kabak >0.5 shots for 1.53. Bets on Kambi, and all stats by @StatsHubCom. Make sure to follow them!!

@JackGorman55 @cosmo_nffc @jamie2965 @BillyBets_ It quite literally does in the long term, that's why you should always max super boosts when they're +ev.

@cosmo_nffc @jamie2965 @BillyBets_ Not necessarily, backing ‘value’ doesn’t guarantee results

This is an excellent bet365 boost & should be maxed Not sure how much I trust forest personally but personal thoughts aside it’s fantastic value

@ThomasShel29602 Yesss, we go again next time!🫡 i don't have any bets lined up for tomorrow yet but I will be posting some bets for the Europa League and on the weekend!

@BetsConStats I did tail this. Unfortunate he didn't start. Lets go again ❤️

Calafiori sadly did not start so the bet gets voided, annoying cause Maza did get 2 shots

Champions League 17/3/2026 Maza + Calafiori shot double (Kambi) I think both of these prices are too high, read third and fourth photo for full breakdown. Maza & Cala >0.5 shots = 2.12 Maza & Cala >1.5 shots = 9 (Without supersub, and on Kambi) All stats by @StatsHubCom 🫡

@Dtourtz @Opta @bet365help I could try, but I feel like they won't make any more changes so far after the actual game.

@BetsConStats @Opta @bet365help You can definately get bookmakers to submit an opta review, it’s usually via the trading team, u normally have to ask to be put through to the readers on chat / service. U can also request final written confirmation and ibas

@Opta @bet365help Pay up for Salah shot on target!! Clear as day lads....

@Dtourtz @Opta @bet365help The problem is that, since in the game it got counted as a "miss" since a goalkick was awarded. Opta won't change the stats because it wasn't credited as a corner (which means Salah was the last one to touch it) I know it's stupid but that's what Opta does😭

@BetsConStats @Opta @bet365help The lords work. Let’s get on chat

This ended up as a loser, I'm sorry lads but we have gotten absolutely robbed😭

@extremevar Yeah cause the linesmen didn't give a corner, absolute joke 🤡

@BetsConStats They won’t even update it either lol scum

Absolutely ROBBED off a Salah shot on target....

Frimpong SOT = 3.00 >1.5 SOT 15.00 On Bet365 👀

@OptaJohan @Opta how is this not a shot on target by Kabak?

@propsdataio That's class but can Bet365 potentially still take away your money?

@BetsConStats Cashed out when Bet365 thought it still was 27 Throw-Ins, Leverkusen had just received a Throw-In. Cash out should have been like 1/8th or something compared to what we were able to cash out for.

Thank You Arteta, boring as usual 🙏 We never cash out but at 27 Throw-ins Leverkusen got a Throw-in but Bet365 did not suspend the bet. Game ends with 29 Throw-ins 😅 16 Shots 19 Tackles 11 Goal Kicks 29 Throw Ins 5 Corners Haramball ❤️ Ohhh btw, all picks were supported by the statistics on our site. Bet365 31.5 Tackles Propsdata ~29 Tackles Bet365 24.5 Shots Propsdata ~23.5 Shots Bet365 9.0 Corners Propsdata ~8 Corners Bet365 31.5 Throw-Ins Propsdata ~29 Throw-Ins Bet365 13.5 Goal Kicks Propsdata ~13.5 Goal Kicks (But a good correlation with the rest of the bets)

@ThomasShel29602 I also backed this, his shooting stats at Cremonese have been really good so far.

I lost this earlier and I'm willing to lose again on this. Cremonese game 🙂‍↔️ 2+ shots is 1.90 B365 & 2.75 MGM SoT around 2.10 B365 & 3.50 MGM Win or lose the adrenaline rush is what matters for me, racing against the odds. No sweat here.

@StatsHubCom Massive winner😂 (I barely noticed the shot)

@BetsConStats We feel the same way!

A bit of a longshot here - 🚨 Wolverhampton v Liverpool Virgil van Dijk Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ 5.00 Hit rate: 54.55% (6/11) ✅ Recent SOT: 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1 Van Dijk averages 0.55 SOT per 90 and plays full 90 mins 👀 BoyleSports: 5.00, Bet365: 4.50 He's been on a hot run and holds value in the long term 💪

@propsdataio Right, thanks for the clear reply. I think I'll stay clear from it at the current price, just because of the uncertainty - I feel like it's hard to predict Atleti tonight. Might reconsider if the odds change to at least evens, but feels unlikely

Hard one this, Barcelona might be very open to specifically counter attacks today especially towards the end of the game. Haven't watched Atletico enough to know if there's any value in this information or who gets on the end of their counters. But seen to the numbers both models and usage % have the fair odds around 1.70 so the edge (if any) might not be in the underlying numbers here. Great hit-rate though as you mention, Over 0.5 in 12/15 last starts in La Liga including Barcelona (A). Hard one, nothing we are able to say yes or no to using our tools!

With this game in mind we added a very useful new feature to the site for players - usage %! There's situations when our models will not have useful predictions, today is one of them. Barcelona have a 24.5 shotline due to their loss in the first meeting. Our models would never expect 25 shots from Barcelona versus Atletico Madrid but today the bookies do. What usage % tells you is how many % of the teams total x-stat can I expect this player to contribute with? So today the bookies expect 24-25 shots from Barcelona, what does that mean for their player odds? We had a quick look and here's our favorite! 🪜 Dani Olmo Over 2.5 Shots @ 1.85 (Kambi) 🪜 Dani Olmo Over 2.5 Shots @ 2.85 (Kambi) Usage: 15% Barcelona 24.5 Expected Shots * 0.15 = 3.675 Projected shots for Dani Olmo This gives us fair odds around 1.40 for Over 2.5 shots for Dani Olmo! There's two more great options using this logic but we see very little chance for them to start, but if they do keep an eye on Joao Cancelo (Over 0.5 @ 1.64) and Marcus Rashford (Over 3.5 @ 2.23).