Bezurk

4.9K posts

Bezurk

Bezurk

@Bezurk1

Katılım Nisan 2022
128 Takip Edilen123 Takipçiler
Compound248 💰
Compound248 💰@compound248·
The $GME proposed acquisition of $EBAY is even dumber than it sounds, which is why he refused to answer @andrewrsorkin's basic questions this am. To start, the ACTUAL proposal is not GME acquiring EBAY: GME is the seller, not the buyer. Ryan Cohen is asking eBay to acquire GME, fire eBay's CEO, and let Ryan run the business. Onto the dumbness of the proposal details: The idea is 50% cash / 50% stock for roughly $56 billion of consideration to eBay. Pundits note GME's ~$11.1B market cap and ~$9B of existing cash. BUT THAT DOUBLE-COUNTS. Of GME's ~$11.1B market cap, ~$9B IS THE CASH. Or 81% of the market cap. If I have a company worth $110 with $90 of net cash, it's not worth $180: the cash is worth $90, and the company ex-cash is worth $20 = $110. As shown below, if GME pays eBay the ~$9B in existing cash, the remaining market cap (from eBay's perspective) is ~$2.1B. GME shares are worth ~$5/share ex cash. To issue $28 billion of GME shares, it has to issue ~5.6B of new shares to eBay (vs 590B FD GME shares today), giving eBay 90%+ of the post-deal shares (+ $28 billion of cash to eBay owners). To be clear, GME is proposing that eBay acquire GME, with GME owning 10% of the CombinedCo. In 2026, eBay is expected to generate $2.8B of free cash flow vs $500 mm by GameStop (15% of combinedco). eBay revenue is expected to GROW 9% in 2026 while GME's is expected to shrink 1% (and has shrunk >40% in 5 years). So eBay brings 85% of the cash flow and is growing, and gets 90% of a newco that is dragged down by GameStop's declining revenue. To compensate for owning a lower quality CombinedCo, it levers up and pays legacy eBay $62/share in cash. However, that cash is financed by the quality of eBay's business, not GameStop. eBay doesn't need GameStop to recap its existing business - it could do so and continue to own 100% of the better business. Ultimately, this is GME attempting to swap into a better business by selling itself to eBay, not vice versa. Everyone knows this deal won't happen, Ryan Cohen included.
Compound248 💰 tweet media
Compound248 💰@compound248

Ryan Cohen responding to absolutely normal questions from @andrewrsorkin this morning.

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Cap’n Wicked 🦆 🏴‍☠️ 🤪 🐧
Why is no one putting together that $EBAY has 95+% institutional ownership. RC stating they have 5% makes ownership of $EBAY at 100+%… 2% non-existent shares are short…
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bad robot
bad robot@foxenflask·
If $GME is going to acquire $EBAY, this is how I expect it to go: Unlike traditional activist campaigns that unfold over 18-24 months, this timeline could compress into roughly 12 months from first trade to full control, leveraging GME's enormous cash position to build a stake so large so fast that the board has no viable defense. Phase 1 (Weeks 1-8): Dual stealth accumulation to ~9.8% combined ($4.3B) via dark pools before any public filing (dual as in, GameStop and Ryan Cohen separately and together). Perhaps other partners and affiliates accumulate during this phase as well (Nat?). I believe this phase is over. Phase 2 (Weeks 8-10): Dual 13D filings plus a public white paper; expected EBAY pop of 15-30% and GME pop of 10-20% Phase 3 (Weeks 11-20): Proxy fight for 3-5 board seats at EBAYs next annual meeting while building to 15-20% combined stake Phase 4 (Months 5-12): Board control, install Ryan Cohen as Chair, execute cost cuts, redirect FCF to buybacks, etc The stealth phase is compressed to 8 weeks because GME's cash allows aggressive accumulation at 15-20% of daily volume across multiple prime brokers and dark pools. Both GME and Ryan Cohen accumulate independently to 4.9% each, staying below the 5% 13D trigger. HSR filings happen on Day 1 but are confidential. By Week 8, the combined position is ~9.8% ($4.3B deployed) and nobody knows. The dual 13D filings at Week 8-10 hit the market like a bomb: the largest shareholder bloc in eBay, backed by $9B+ in additional firepower, with a public white paper detailing the value creation plan. From there, continued accumulation during the proxy fight period pushes the combined stake to 15-20%, making the proxy contest a mathematical certainty. Board control follows, and the transformation begins.
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BigboyJuju
BigboyJuju@BigboyJuju_·
$AMC SHORT SQUEEZE BELONGS TO @BarkingPuppy8 KITTY HAD HIS WITH $GME NOW ITS TIME FOR HIS BROTHER TO GET HIS $AMC IS KEVINS LEGACY
BigboyJuju tweet mediaBigboyJuju tweet media
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PrivatePerry
PrivatePerry@ProofOfWar·
@TickerTrapper @Bezurk1 @ApeCrayonsYummy Spot on ^ its scary how lost thus guy is, with such confidence. You think you are buying shares in any company ever from real people? 🤣 All NYSE/NASDAQ liquidity are from MM's. The float means nothing for a short squeeze. Just SI% and Option Gamma ramping.
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Apę Munchin Crayons
Apę Munchin Crayons@ApeCrayonsYummy·
So Avis, a shitty rental car company with even more debt than #AMC can squeeze like it did today but everyone keeps saying #AMC just has too much debt to survive? K got it.
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TickerTrapper
TickerTrapper@TickerTrapper·
@Bezurk1 @ProofOfWar @ApeCrayonsYummy Perry is right you are fucking braindead. You are so lost if you think people actually custody shares now a days. Retail just buys IOUs from market makers. Market makers hold all the liquidity. You are never buying shares from "people" unless you are using OTC dark pools.
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Bezurk
Bezurk@Bezurk1·
@ProofOfWar @ApeCrayonsYummy "Float means nothing" besides being half the equation? You know nothing of short squeezes, pump or dumps, or the market if you can't understand it is easier for someone to purchase 30mil shares from a small handful of people than 500mil+ spread between a large number of people.
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PrivatePerry
PrivatePerry@ProofOfWar·
@Bezurk1 @ApeCrayonsYummy PRICE X SHARES OUTSTANDING. $1 X 1Billion $1Billion X 1 BOTH EQUAL $1 BILLION. Float means nothing. Market cap and the capital deployed to induce a short squeeze imposed the same marginal effects. You are seriously a fucking retard. Get checked out.
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PrivatePerry
PrivatePerry@ProofOfWar·
@Bezurk1 @ApeCrayonsYummy You a retard. Float is irrelevant. Market cap is the only metric that matters. Hence a company could have 1 share avaliable for $1billion per share. Or 1billion shares outanding at $1 per share, and investors would pay the same price to acquire all the shares.
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Bezurk
Bezurk@Bezurk1·
@darkgreencap That's not a valuation metric? How are you pricing the stock?
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DARKGREENCAP
DARKGREENCAP@darkgreencap·
@Bezurk1 box office this year is stronger than ever, movie slate about to break the cinemas. plus cinemas and ai is the future
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DARKGREENCAP
DARKGREENCAP@darkgreencap·
$AMC WILL BE THE MOST VALUABLE STOCK IN THE HISTORY OF THE STOCK MARKET. #AMC
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DARKGREENCAP
DARKGREENCAP@darkgreencap·
@Bezurk1 i just want to ragebait the shorts and scream the fact that amc is undervalued
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Bezurk
Bezurk@Bezurk1·
@Johnnyslesh Kid it's not even at $2. You have to understand why so many people laugh at you right?
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Johnny
Johnny@Johnnyslesh·
$AMC Part of me thinks they will run it up hard to get your shares. They know that we know what’s going on. If they run it to $100 in an instant and then run their media pieces I could see how it could give them a better chance of people being tricked into it being a short squeeze. Just be prepared for anything. A slow run up would give a lot of people time to see how undervalued their shares still are. We don’t know how much control they really have but we also know they don’t have full control
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Prime Tate
Prime Tate@primetateHQ·
Andrew Tate goes off on men who accept a boring average life: “I have f*cked women you will never f*ck, I drive cars you’ll never drive, I go places you’ll never go earning sums you’re never gonna f*cking make. The difference between you and I is that I would rather die than live any other way”
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Dean Turner
Dean Turner@DeanTTraining·
@JCourageFIT I’ve posted more exercise tutorials than maybe anyone on this app Get off your high horse lmfao
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Joe MM
Joe MM@Evilisrising·
$AMC They can never stop talking about our beloved #AMC. I would choose AMC and this community than to be like @matt_kohrs any day! Something about being anti AMC and @CEOAdam that ages you. I see it with the other “influencers” as well. Deceit ages you!
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Bezurk
Bezurk@Bezurk1·
@Evilisrising @matt_kohrs @CEOAdam It's been 5 years. Time didn't stop when you made the worst financial fail of all time by letting life changing gains slip away due to your own greed.
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Crazy Videos 🔞
Crazy Videos 🔞@CrazyyHub·
Bro really posted this thinking people would agree with him
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