0xBimba

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0xBimba

@BimbaCrypto

On-chain Researcher | Prediction meta | All about Polymarket | Member @zscdao

Katılım Aralık 2024
62 Takip Edilen97 Takipçiler
0xBimba
0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🏀 THUNDER vs LAKERS - $2.79M IN PLAY, LA IS DECIMATED Market: Thunder 91% | Lakers 9% WHALE WATCH Thunder side (overwhelming favorites): > PPInsider - 282,851 shares > BABELCONSTEL - 167,140 shares > 19HO - 141,957 shares > 4217 - 126,101 shares Lakers side (massive underdogs): > surfandturf - 309,873 shares > Dishonest-Bloom - 179,187 shares > Random3366 - 88,358 shares > ShucksIt69 - 68,220 shares INJURY CONTEXT (WHY THE LINE IS SO WIDE) Lakers are absolutely destroyed: ❌ Luka Dončić - out for season (hamstring) ❌ LeBron James - foot soreness ❌ Austin Reaves - oblique strain ❌ Marcus Smart - ankle Thunder missing Jalen Williams (hamstring management), but OKC is 62-16, locked into the #1 seed, and just blew out the Lakers 139-96 five days ago. - Thunder have won 8 of last 10 meetings, including the last 3 by 15+ points. - Lakers are 0-5 without Dončić this season. - The spread is -16.5 - and $703K is riding on whether OKC covers. - Totals at $307K suggest a high‑scoring blowout (Over 223.5 at 58% probability). This is the most lopsided NBA market of the night. Whales are split - some are riding the obvious Thunder blowout, others are hoping for a desperate home stand from a skeleton‑crew Lakers team. $2.79M on the floor. One team is resting for the playoffs. The other is just trying to survive.
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0xBimba
0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 $620K PRINTED IN 24 HOURS ON "US-IRAN CEASEFIRE" POLYMARKET - THESE DEGENS BOUGHT THE DIP AT 2¢ While the world was doomscrolling Trump's "civilization will die" threat, three Polymarket traders quietly loaded up on ceasefire "Yes" contracts at 1-4¢. Hours later, odds exploded to 60¢+. WHAT HAPPENED? - Yesterday: Iran rejected a temporary ceasefire, Trump threatened annihilation, odds crashed to 1-4%. - Today: Back-channel talks via Pakistan's army chief, CNN reports "good news expected soon", odds exploded to 60%+. - Smart money loaded during the panic. Retail is still catching up. Here's who printed: > 25xp - Joined April 2026 > Total predictions: 1 (yes, ONE trade in his entire Polymarket career) > Bought 182,695 shares of "US-Iran ceasefire by April 7?" at 3.9¢ > Current price: 59.8¢ > Profit: +$102,123 (+1,451%) 👉 @25xp?r=bimbacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@25xp?r=bimbac… One trade. Six figures. That's how you debut. --- UpDownUpDown - Joined Sep 2025 > Total predictions: 680 > Trade 1: 355,555 shares of April 7 "Yes" at 1.9¢ → now 59.8¢ > Profit: +$205,613 (+3,010%) > Trade 2: 55,555 shares of April 15 "Yes" at 8.6¢ → now 82¢ > Profit: +$40,789 (+856%) 👉 @UpDownUpDown?r=bimbacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@UpDownUpDown?… Perfectly timed double dip. --- Fernandoinfante - Joined Feb 2026 > Total predictions: 30 > Bought 477,543 shares of April 7 "Yes" at 2.8¢ → now 59.8¢ > Profit: +$272,132 (+2,061%) 👉 @Fernandoinfante?r=bimbacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/profile/@Ferna… COMBINED PROFIT: ~$620,000 (and still holding) If the April 7 market resolves "Yes" (which would require an official ceasefire announcement by end of day April 7 - the deadline is tight but possible), each contract pays $1.00. That would push their combined profit well over $1.2 million. Three traders with almost no history (1, 30, and 680 predictions) just outperformed 99% of degens by buying extreme fear. Markets don't wait for headlines. They price them in real time.
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0xBimba
0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 BREAKING: U.S.-IRAN CEASEFIRE POSITIONS EXPLODING HIGHER! FROM 17% TO 60% - AND STILL CLIMBING. LOOKS LIKE IT'S GOING TO HAPPEN! POLYMARKET RIGHT NOW: > Ceasefire by April 15? - 56% (up from 17% yesterday) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > Ceasefire by April 30? - 64% (was 28% before the jump) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > Ceasefire by May 15? - 72% 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > Ceasefire by June 30? - 80% 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > Ceasefire by December 31? - 87% 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… Total volume on the April 7 contract alone: $25.8M - and that market just resolved at 36% before the spike. Smart money is now rolling positions into later dates. WHAT HAPPENED? Just hours ago, Iran halted direct diplomacy with the U.S. after Trump threatened to "destroy a whole civilisation". But behind the scenes, something shifted. CNN cited a regional source reporting that "some good news is expected from both sides soon". Talks are now being steered directly by Pakistan's army chief. Mediators are pushing a two-phase plan: a 45-day ceasefire first, then comprehensive peace talks in Islamabad. The market is now pricing a 64% chance of a ceasefire by April 15 - a massive reversal from just 17% yesterday. April 30 position surged to 69%, and June 30 hit 80%.
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0xBimba
0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 BREAKING: TRUMP JUST KILLED THE CEASEFIRE HOPE - POLYMARKET ALREADY KNEW "A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back. But after a full regime change, something new and better may begin. God bless the people of Iran." - Trump No ceasefire. Only ultimatums. CURRENT POLYMARKET POSITIONS: > 🛑 US-Iran ceasefire by April 7? - Just 3% (over $103M volume) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > 🛑 US-Iran ceasefire by April 15? - 15-19% (down from 37% last week) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > 🛑 US-Iran ceasefire by April 30? - 29% (was 45%) 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira… > 💰 Total Iran-related volume on Polymarket - Over $1 billion Smart money has been sitting in "NO" on April ceasefire contracts for days. The Trump insider with 16 winning trades and $170M in profit opened a $51M oil short - and it's already printing. A civilization might not die. But anyone who bet on a ceasefire just got liquidated.
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nofad
nofad@nofadsec·
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich tonight ⚽ Polymarket has $2M in volume and the market says: Bayern 42% Real 37% Draw 24% I'm going with Real. If you put in $100: Real wins -> +$170 profit Real loses -> -$100 High risk? Yes. But Real Madrid is Real Madrid. Who's with me?
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0xBimba
0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 BLACKROCK BUYING $BTC RIGHT NOW - U.S. MARKET STILL OPEN Millions every few minutes. This is not random. They know something big is coming 👀 WHAT POLYMARKET IS PRICING RIGHT NOW: > Bitcoin hit $75k in April? - 42% probability > Bitcoin hit $80k in April? - 17% probability 👉 polymarket.com/event/what-pri… BlackRock doesn't buy $BTC in size without a reason. Smart money is positioning ahead of something - maybe a Fed pivot, maybe geopolitical relief, maybe a ETF flow surprise. Polymarket whales have been quietly accumulating "Bitcoin up" contracts for days. Markets don't wait for headlines. They price them in real time.
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BS@prerichguy·
put $67 on the brazilians from Legacy vs NRG they picked de_dust - NRG’s won it once in the last 3 months lol found a pretty sweet line on the @chance_ prediction terminal
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Tiptop
Tiptop@dobioprer·
Great night on @Polymarket! Winnipeg Jets 6-2 Seattle Kraken✅ San Jose Sharks 3-2 Chicago Blackhawks✅ Both my positions hit. Jets and Sharks took care of business at home. @PolymarketSport
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Tiptop@dobioprer

My @Polymarket positions on tonight’s NHL games: Blackhawks vs Sharks Sharks Win - 62% Kraken vs Jets Jets Win - 61% Both home favorites I like. Sharks are in much better form and still fighting for a playoff spot, while Chicago is one of the weakest teams in the league. Jets have higher motivation than Seattle, who are almost out of the playoff race. Let’s see how they go.

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0xBimba
0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 FED INJECTS $8 BILLION - POLYMARKET TRADERS SAW IT COMING The Fed just pumped $8,071,000,000 into the financial system. They’ve lost control after the oil crisis - and finally turned on the money printer. Here’s what Polymarket has been pricing for weeks: > Fed rate cut in April? - Just 2% probability (98% chance of NO cut) | $1.1M+ volume 👉 polymarket.com/event/fed-rate… > How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? - 41% chance of ZERO cuts | $16.6M+ volume 👉 polymarket.com/event/how-many… > US recession by end of 2026? - 36% probability | $1.1M+ volume 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-reces… > March inflation (annual) above 2.6%? - >99% chance | $3.2M+ volume 👉 polymarket.com/event/march-in… The market has been screaming “NO CUTS” for months. The Fed’s $8B liquidity jolt isn’t a rescue - it’s a quiet stress signal that the plumbing of the financial system is cracking. When banks stop lending to each other and the Fed has to step in with emergency repo operations, you don’t do that from a position of strength. Polymarket whales have been loading up on “NO rate cut” contracts for weeks. The volume across all these macro markets tells you smart money saw this coming. Markets don’t wait for headlines. They price them in real time.
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Tiptop
Tiptop@dobioprer·
3/4 in Italy 🇮🇹 “Juve, storia di un grande amore” Yesterday's results on @Polymarket. Juventus and Venezia won at home. Napoli got the 1-0 win, but it wasn't enough to clear the Over 1.5 line. Juventus to win (2-0)✅ Venezia to win (3-1)✅ Spezia NOT to win (1-3)✅ Napoli vs AC Milan: Over 1.5 (1-0)❌ Moving on to the next ones.
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Tiptop@dobioprer

Today’s football slate on @Polymarket 🇮🇹 Focusing on Serie A and Serie B today. Juventus is a clear favorite at home, and the Napoli vs AC Milan clash should be a battle. Current positions: Juventus to win vs Genoa (71%) Napoli vs AC Milan: Over 1.5 goals (69%) Venezia to win vs Stabia (69%) Spezia NOT to win vs Carrarese (78%) A lot of value in these matchups. Let’s see how it plays out.

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0xBimba
0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 BUFFETT'S $274B PORTFOLIO IS PUBLIC - AND POLYMARKET TRADERS ARE ALREADY MIMICKING HIS MOVES Warren Buffett just disclosed his final portfolio before handing Berkshire to Greg Abel. Here's what he did: > Apple: Trimmed again (multiple quarters in a row) > Amazon: Cut 80% > Bank of America: Reduced > Alphabet: Held steady (one of the only tech bets he kept) > Chevron: Added MORE energy > Chubb: Built a major insurance position > Domino's: Added (recession‑resistant cash flow) > New position: New York Times (~5M shares) Selling tech, rotating into energy, insurance, and simple cash‑generating businesses. Leaving Abel $300B in cash and maximum flexibility. HOW POLYMARKET IS PRICING THE SAME TRENDS: > US recession by end of 2026? - 32% probability (No at 68%) | $1.1M+ volume > How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? - 40% chance of 0 cuts | $2.7M+ volume > WTI crude oil hit $140+ in April? - 25% probability | $7M+ volume Polymarket whales have been quietly building energy longs and rate-hike shorts for weeks - same rotation Buffett just signaled. The smart money doesn't wait for 13F filings. It watches the flow.
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Tiptop
Tiptop@dobioprer·
Today’s football slate on @Polymarket 🇮🇹 Focusing on Serie A and Serie B today. Juventus is a clear favorite at home, and the Napoli vs AC Milan clash should be a battle. Current positions: Juventus to win vs Genoa (71%) Napoli vs AC Milan: Over 1.5 goals (69%) Venezia to win vs Stabia (69%) Spezia NOT to win vs Carrarese (78%) A lot of value in these matchups. Let’s see how it plays out.
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akura
akura@helter2006·
@BimbaCrypto Will Jerome say good afternoon this time?
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0xBimba
0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 THE MOST VOLATILE WEEK OF 2026 STARTS NOW - $20B+ IN POLYMARKET POSITION ALREADY PRICING IT IN > Fed emergency meeting. CPI data. BOJ intervention. Liquidity injection. Polymarket markets right now: polymarket.com/economy?r=bimb… > BOJ Decision in April? → 55% on 25 bps increase > Fed emergency rate cut in 2026? → 28-36% (spiking) | $1.2M+ volume > Fed rate cut by April 30? → Just 1% (99% chance of NO cut) | $1.8M+ cumulative volume > US CPI (March) MoM forecast → +1.0% (highest since 2022) | $2.6M+ volume on inflation markets > Fed balance sheet expansion by June 30? → 42% | Traders betting on stealth QE Same pattern as before: when the BOJ intervened last month, Polymarket whales correctly called it hours before the official announcement. When CPI surprised to the upside in February, the "higher for longer" contracts printed 3x. Markets don't wait for headlines. They price them in real time. The most volatile week of the year is here. Trade accordingly.
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0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 TRUMP INSIDER WITH 100% WIN RATE JUST OPENED A $51M OIL SHORT - POLYMARKET ALREADY PRICED IT IN 16 perfect trades in a row. $170M in profit. Now he's shorting oil hours before Trump's emergency announcement. He knows something. WHAT POLYMARKET IS SHOWING RIGHT NOW: > Oil above $120 by April 30? - 47% (was 65% a week ago) > US-Iran ceasefire by end of April? - 28% (jumped from 18% in 24 hours) Total Iran-related volume on Polymarket: $100M+ If Trump announces a ceasefire → oil dumps → $51M short prints millions. If he doesn't → oil spikes → but Polymarket's 28% ceasefire odds suggest the market expects peace. The smart money is already positioned. Markets don't wait for headlines. 👉 Track it live: polymarket.com/event/what-pri…
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0xBimba@BimbaCrypto·
🚨 BREAKING: TRUMP TO ANNOUNCE CEASEFIRE DATE WITH IRAN TODAY AT 1 PM ET Bullish news for markets. But here's what really matters: Massive insider buying just hit BTC: - Binance: 22,206 BTC - Wintermute: 26,398 BTC - Coinbase: 20,954 BTC - Trump insider: 17,303 BTC - BlackRock: 17,301 BTC Someone knew something. --- POLYMARKET ALREADY PRICING IT IN The "US x Iran ceasefire by end of April" market jumped from 18% to 28% overnight. Positions for a June ceasefire now sit at 56%. Insiders bought the dip. Whales positioned. Markets don't wait for headlines. They price them in real time. 👉 polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira…
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Tiptop
Tiptop@dobioprer·
Philadelphia Flyers get the job done in OT! Like I said, they needed these points for the playoff race way more than Boston did. A huge shoutout to their goalie, Dan Vladar. He was an absolute beast tonight and kept them in the game. My @Polymarket result: Flyers to win vs Bruins ✅ Traded: $3700 Payout: $6400
Tiptop@dobioprer

Bruins vs Flyers Putting $3,700 on Philadelphia tonight to take down Boston. The Flyers are favorites (58%), and there’s a good reason for it. The Flyers are on a mission after crushing the Islanders 4-1 yesterday, and they need every point to survive the playoff race. Dan Vladar has been a wall lately, and he already shut down the Bruins’ offense earlier this season. While Boston is safe in the standings, Philly is playing like their lives depend on it. My @Polymarket position: Philadelphia Flyers to win vs Boston Bruins (58%) Target payout is $6,400. Betting on the team that has to win.

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BS
BS@prerichguy·
The #1 rule for CS preds: — blacklist the french squad from 3dmax ("322max") — don’t bet on them. if the price looks good, just fade them yesterday was a perfect case study. they were up against a US tier 3 roster, playing with a stand-in who hadn’t appeared on LAN in 5 years due to a prior match-fixing ban. and even against that level of opposition, they nearly collapsed: > map 1: threw a 9–3 lead and lost 10–13 > map 2: somehow won while doing everything possible to lose > map 3: voca had 5 match points and still couldn’t close - they’re just the weakest team at the event next game is vs B8. tbh, taking the ukrainians at ~63% @chance_ looks like a pretty solid angle.
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BS@prerichguy

WON ON THE MOST OBVIOUS MATCH ON POLYMARKET RESULT: +$164 IN UNDER 30 MINS how the value was found: cs2 tournament just kicked off in bucharest ($1.25M prize pool) checked upcoming matches and one stood out: spotted this: NRG vs Voca (70% vs 30%) line already looked off - Voca isn’t even tier-2 then: — one of their main players out (visa issues) — replacement hasn’t played pro in 5 years (5 YEARS) banned for match-fixing '322', which means zero real cs2 pro experience +52%. easy +EV btw, keep an eye on their next matches. don’t think they last long

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GutPolyArc
GutPolyArc@GutsPoly·
𝟴𝟬% 𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲, 𝟮𝟱𝟬𝗸 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝘁 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝘄𝗼 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵 𝗶𝘀𝗻𝘁 𝗵𝗲 𝗸𝗻𝗼𝘄 𝘀𝗼𝗺𝗲𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗲𝘀𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁? >Started in January, and slowly cooking profit >almost no loses, networth is only growing >League CS , and wealth on Polymarket not a bad one for copy for sure, will follow him
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