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💫BitcoinMajlo 🇸🇰

💫BitcoinMajlo 🇸🇰

@BitcoinMajlo

₿ Bitcoin changed my mind — now it’s changing the world 🌍

Slovenská republika Katılım Aralık 2017
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Mr. Buzzoni
Mr. Buzzoni@polydao·
+$36,600 PNL TRADING LONDON TEMPERATURES. WIN RATE 84% almost 3,000 weather trades. one city the whole time. the edge: most people trade what's obvious. this trader reads the Met Office forecast and enters before the market catches up the strategy: > find London temperature markets where Yes is priced at 1-5 cents > check the official Met Office forecast - if it aligns with the target temp -> buy > simultaneously buy No on adjacent temps (1-3°C lower) as a hedge > if London hits 24°C -> Yes wins. if it hits 23°C -> the No hedge wins instead then the exit: > start selling at 55-75 cents (25% of position) > sell another 50% at 90-95 cents > hold the last 25% to 99 cents or expiry real example: > London 24°C May 27 -> entry 4¢ -> exit 98-99¢ -> +$5,750 (+9,278%) > London 43-44°F Feb 15 -> entry 0¢ -> exit 50¢ -> +$1,500 (+49,900%) markets resolve via Wunderground - so the edge is knowing the final reading before most people check > i track this trader on @CrispPredict - backtest shows $2,000 in fixed copy mode at $100/trade returned +$591 in ~3 weeks with 99% win rate and only 9% max drawdown it's one of the cleanest risk profiles i've seen > full profile: [ @meropi?modal=signup&mt=1&via=0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@meropi?modal=… ] copy his trades: -> [ app.crisp.trade/trader/0x99777… ]
Mr. Buzzoni@polydao

x.com/i/article/2040…

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Leman Deniz
Leman Deniz@Dnzgibisi·
İsviçreli biliminsanları Paganini Caprice N. 5’i 2002 yılı doğumlu İspanyol besteci ve kemancı Maria Duenas’tan dinlemeden ölmeyin diyor :) Mükemmel bir yorum. 🎶 Paganini öleli 186 yıl olmuş eserleri ile yaşıyor.
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EliZ
EliZ@eliz883·
$FET my favorite always
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Lord Bebo
Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo·
🇮🇹 NEW FERRARI IS NOT LIKED - OUCH: “This is definitely a car that the Chinese will not copy from us.” Former chairman of Ferrari and famous businessman Luca Cordero di Montezemolo hates the new Ferrari Luce: "If I say what I really think, I harm Ferrari. We're risking the destruction of a legend. I hope they at least remove the Prancing Horse from that car." Harsh words.
Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo

The new Ferrari presentation … WTF

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Yarchi
Yarchi@undefinedKi·
HE TURNED $12 INTO $104,000 ON POLYMARKET USING THE SIMPLEST STRATEGY YOU CAN THINK OF, WITHOUT ADDING A SINGLE DOLLAR Meet ascetic0x - @ascetic0x?r=yarosslav#MxyuCIF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@ascetic0x?r=y… He opened with $12.40 on a Bitcoin Up or Down market. It won, and instead of pocketing it he pushed the entire payout into the next bet Then he did it again. And again. No new money ever went in The chain laid out: $12 → $24 → $40 → $79 → $101 → $407 → $732 → $2.4K → $5.8K → $11K → $29K → $53K → $104K The hard part wasn't the first $12. It was sitting on $29K of pure profit and risking all of it on the next call Then doing it again at $53K. One loss anywhere ends the entire story Not a system. Just conviction and compounding, held longer than anyone sane would Bookmark to try it later
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Yarchi@undefinedKi

x.com/i/article/2038…

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lyxe
lyxe@cryptolyxe·
Bybit has decided to freeze my account and withhold $200k of personal funds for absolutely ZERO reason. Have been using this account for 2+ years with 0 issue - have done 9 figures in volume and had 7 figures liquid in here with no problems. But 3 days ago my account was “banned” for depositing $10,000. It has asked me for “proof of wealth”, “full KYC”, “pay slips” as well as proving ownership of the deposit wallet. My account and KYC has already been verified to the level required for 400k+ in daily deposit limits, as well as the trading volume I already do. I can no longer trade and withdraw my OWN funds with an account i already had full KYC for. @Bybit_Official @benbybit
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Crash
Crash@CrashiusClay69·
You are looking at the Mount Rushmore of memes Doge - 80B ath Pepe - 11B ath $TROLL - only at 100M market cap today if you mess this up, you will probably hate life knowing you missed all 3 of these Get your friends and family into the next 10B+ dollar meme It’s never gonna be more obvious than this
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cvxv666
cvxv666@antpalkin·
A blackjack dealer in Macau got blacklisted from the VIP rooms last spring for counting cards. By August he couldn't get a floor job at any property in Cotai. So he deposit $500, ran a Hermes trading agent on Polymarket and pulled in $881,319 over the next 14 months. His wallet: @0x6e1d5040d0ac73709b0621f620d2a60b80d2d0f?via=cvxv666" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x6e1d5040d0a… The casinos taught him one thing - count, size your bet to your edge, walk away when the edge is gone. So he makes 5 trades a day. Not 50. Not 500. Five. And waits for the rest. Here's the actual stack. Claude Opus 4.7 reads the order book nightly, scores every threshold market by Markov persistence x Kelly edge, and surfaces the 2-3 mispriced ones. Hermes Agent by NousResearch executes. A $10/mo Hetzner VPS runs it 24/7. Telegram pings on every fill. Total cost: $10/month. Setup: 30 minutes. No coding. One trade in April: Will Bitcoin reach $90,000? Market said 1.2¢. He put $3,088 on Yes. It hit. +$123,196. A 3,988% return on a single position. The real edge is the nightly self-learning loop. Every midnight, Opus reads the day's trade journal and rewrites MIN_PROB and MIN_EDGE in the .env file. Last week the threshold was 0.87. This week 0.89. Next week maybe 0.91. His version of the bot has rewritten itself 412 times in 14 months. The Macau syndicate couldn't ban him from Polymarket. The bot doesn't sit at a table. It doesn't show a passport. It just hunts the tails. Save this post - if you want to build something of your own based on Hermes. Or just start copying algorithm that has improved itself 412 times: @cvxv666" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@cvxv666
cvxv666@antpalkin

x.com/i/article/2046…

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Untold Secrets
Untold Secrets@RealGemsfinder·
The BEST Towing & Lifting Knot EVER!
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Spencer Baggins
Spencer Baggins@bigaiguy·
10 MORE WEBSITES EVERY INTERNET USER SHOULD CHECK THIS WEEKEND. Part 2. Save this one too. 1. tineye.com Reverse image search to catch catfish, fake profiles, and stolen photos. 2. scamadviser.com Tells you if a website is a scam before you enter your card. 3. urlscan.io Drop any link and see exactly what that site is doing under the hood. 4. coveryourtracks.eff.org Tests how easily advertisers follow you across the web. 5. simplelogin.io Creates unlimited email aliases so your real inbox stays hidden. 6. archive.ph Saves any webpage forever and bypasses most paywalls. 7. ipleak.net Full leak test for IP, DNS, WebRTC, and torrent activity. 8. clearurls.xyz Strips tracking junk from every link you copy or share. 9. emailrep.io Tells you if an email address is fake, risky, or part of a scam network. 10. privacytools.io A massive directory of private tools to replace every Big Tech app. Most people pay for the worse version of all of these. These cost $0.
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vorty
vorty@vorty279·
The quant stack that took institutions years to build is sitting on github right now 5 repositories. free. open source. more useful than any course 1. freqtrade/freqtrade github.com/freqtrade/freq… 50k+ stars. crypto bot with a built-in ml module called freqai trains models on live data, reoptimizes automatically, supports 30+ exchanges. telegram integration out of the box. the community has been battle-testing this since 2018 and the issues tab alone is worth reading 2. hummingbot/hummingbot github.com/hummingbot/hum… 19k stars. market making and cross-exchange arbitrage engine. manages bid/ask placement, spread adjustment, and inventory hedging across 50+ cex and dex simultaneously. used by actual liquidity providers in production. the architecture docs explain things no course will tell you 3. AI4Finance-Foundation/FinRL github.com/AI4Finance-Fou… 12k stars. reinforcement learning applied to trading. agents trained with PPO, DQN, DDPG on real market environments. the repo includes crypto data pipelines via binance api and ccxt. not a toy researchers publish papers using this codebase 4. nautechsystems/nautilus_trader github.com/nautechsystems… 9k stars. python on the surface, rust underneath. the backtesting engine is byte-for-byte identical to the live trading engine what you test is what you deploy. built for latency-sensitive strategies where milliseconds matter 5. ranaroussi/quantstats github.com/ranaroussi/qua… 7k stars. performance analytics library. sharpe, sortino, calmar, max drawdown, monthly return heatmaps, monte carlo one function call generates a full tearsheet. the standard tool for evaluating whether a strategy is real or just lucky you don't need a course to understand how systematic trading works you need to read code written by people who actually do it
vorty@vorty279

x.com/i/article/2055…

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Philippe T
Philippe T@brain_stimulus·
🚨 UNE CONFÉRENCE TED INTERDITE QUE LA CIA A ESSAYÉ DE FAIRE DISPARAÎTRE ! 😱❗ 💥RUSSELL TARG, physicien et ingénieur laser, a travaillé pendant des années pour la CIA sur les programmes psychiques. Il a prouvé que la vision à distance, la précognition et les capacités psychiques sont réelles. Voici la conférence qu’ils ne voulaient pas que vous voyiez. Regardez jusqu’au bout.
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Science girl
Science girl@sciencegirl·
Footage comparing before and after shows the dramatic progress made by Gath, a Parkinson’s patient diagnosed 12 years ago, after only two days using the Produodopa treatment.
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vorty
vorty@vorty279·
While people pay $497 for polymarket courses, others just read github 5 repos that replace any paid prediction market course 1. warproxxx/poly-maker github.com/warproxxx/poly… automated market maker for polymarket. places bids and asks simultaneously. the author wrote a real-world breakdown of running it live and warns upfront: not profitable today. use it as a reference, not a deploy-and-forget 2. Dhaiwat10/polymarket-ai github.com/Dhaiwat10/poly… multiple ai agents (openai + claude) compete against each other in real time. live dashboard with equity curves, trade history, and positions. one-command deploy via docker compose 3. Jon-Becker/prediction-market-analysis github.com/Jon-Becker/pre… > 3.4k stars the largest public dataset for polymarket and kalshi 36gb of historical data. full order books, all trades, analysis tools. if you're building models, the data is already here aulekator/Polymarket-BTC-15-Minute-Trading-Bot github.com/aulekator/Poly… 7-phase architecture for BTC 15-minute markets. redis, grafana, self-learning. the author wrote a full breakdown on medium — not just code, but the logic behind every signal direkturcrypto/polymarket-terminal github.com/direkturcrypto… three modes in one: high-frequency market maker, copy trading, and orderbook sniper. runs from the command line. MIT license all of this is open source. read the code, learn the patterns, stop paying for screenshots
vorty@vorty279

x.com/i/article/2055…

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Crash
Crash@CrashiusClay69·
$500K to $1M USD Challenge 3 month agreement with @rainbetcom But with a requirement that I get to share: Rainbet offered about 7 different deals I declined all of them.. until I came up with my own structure “Instead how about you sponsor a $1M account, if I double it, I get to giveaway $1M to ppl who follow me, 3 month time limit” “Nope we can’t do $1M giveaway” “Ok $500k, if I double it, I get to giveaway $500k” “Also nope… the max we can giveaway is $250k, So you can use $250k account if you double it, you can give $250k” “$250k account is gay, let’s do $500k account” “You can do $500k account, but $250k giveaway is the max we can do” Ok fine. So basically Rainbet is giving us a $500k account I have 3 months to double it publicly If we succeed, I’m able to give away $250k to you guys I’m not sharing any ref link or profiting from anyone’s loss. I have a ref link that if you ASK me for, I could share it to you. But I’m not gonna share it on socials. Only directly if you directly asked me and WANTED I always bet on my own If you follow me in my Don’t bet the house TG I’ve bet my own money always and I always love to share money with you guys when I win Now I get a risk free for me, $500k account to do that to greater extent for 3 months There is no agreement beyond a 3 month challenge here Rainbet wins mindshare/visibility People following me who help me grow the account with a bet, win, as I will give away the $250k to people who help double the account or has fun with me during this Rainbet will not be the one doing the giveaway if successful - I will be doing it 3 month time limit - end of nba playoffs, World Cup, mcgregor, White House event etc lot of stuff happening The $500k starting balance, I do not get to withdraw for myself, it’s only for the challenge Haven’t been on YouTube in a while but I used to live stream my trades and listen to Larry June with everyone This will give a more fun reason to stream and hang out as I’ve lost all enjoyment to post or stream on YT the last year with how many salty casuals there are on it Also we can decide together how we want to giveaway $250,000 if we succeed on live stream Im still planning how to distribute it all, obviously a lot of it will go directly to you guys here, and I’ll take your feedback on how to as well But I’d also like to see regular people on the street get some money or if there’s anyone you know who’s in need, we talk about it on stream and we find a way to deliver it to them. Not only people here on X. Also I will be documenting the “main conviction” bets that I place ahead of time on X, and the smaller riskier LIVE odds bets on TG which I will share the link to below this post. This way I don’t hit X with a bunch of live odds bets, it’s more for the people who actively bet like me or who are more engaged. And also.. if we turn $500k into $620k for example We did not succeed So Rainbet has say on if we can giveaway that $120k or not at the end of 3 months Also if we FAIL and turned $500k to ZERO or $500k to $300k for example Then that is also a failure and there is nothing to giveaway. not planning on that being the outcome although it’s possible Ive turned down countless amount of things thrown my way. Ultimately have come up with my own way of doing things always. Thanks to Rainbet for taking the risk on this, but also, it should be worth it for them thanks to the visibility And thanks to anyone following who will be a part of doubling this Give me your best bets and let’s double this in the next few months
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Alter Ego
Alter Ego@AlterEgo_eth·
11 Best Weather Forecasting Models for Polymarket Markets Right Now (Global + Regional Breakdown) Understanding their regional strengths and update frequencies can dramatically improve your probability estimates and win rate Here’s the complete regional breakdown of the best models you should be using > Global models - work for any city • ECMWF - the gold standard for global forecasting, best accuracy at 5–10 day horizon • ECMWF AIFS - AI-powered version of ECMWF, same global coverage, faster updates • GFS - solid global coverage, free, widely used as baseline • ICON-Global - reliable global model from DWD, good backup to ECMWF > USA + Canada (LA, NYC, Chicago, Dallas, Miami, SF, Atlanta, Austin, Denver, Seattle) • HRRR - best short-horizon model for US cities, updates every hour, 3km resolution • GEM - very strong for both US and Canada • GFS - solid baseline, pairs well with HRRR > Europe (London, Paris, Madrid, Milan, Amsterdam, Munich, Warsaw, Helsinki, Istanbul, Ankara, Moscow) • ICON-EU - the strongest regional model across all of Europe • AROME - high resolution for Western Europe: France, Spain, Italy, UK • UKMO - best for London and Northern Europe specifically • ECMWF - always worth including as the global reference > Central Europe (Warsaw, Munich, Milan, Amsterdam) • ICON-D2 - highest resolution for Germany, France, Benelux, Poland, Austria, Czech Republic • ICON-D2 EPS - ensemble version of ICON-D2, gives you probability distribution instead of single forecast. Use this when the market is binary and close to the threshold > Asia (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Chengdu, Chongqing, Wuhan, Qingdao, Hong Kong, Taipei, Singapore, Jakarta, Manila, Lucknow) • JMA-GSM - strong across East Asia and Pacific • JMA-MSM - high resolution specifically for Japan and nearby areas • ECMWF + ICON-Global - best global options for Southeast Asia and South Asia > Middle East & Africa (Jeddah, Tel Aviv, Cape Town, Karachi) • ECMWF - dominant choice, no strong regional alternatives here • GFS - reliable backup The practical workflow: always start with ECMWF as your anchor. Then layer in the regional model that covers your city. Where you have an ensemble version (ICON-D2 EPS) - use it A single deterministic forecast tells you the expected value. An ensemble tells you the distribution. For binary threshold markets, the distribution is what actually matters Save this list. If I missed any models, please feel free to mention them in the replies
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Alter Ego@AlterEgo_eth

Official Resolution Stations for All Major Polymarket Weather Markets Every weather market resolves by a specific meteorological station - not by city average or weather apps Always check the station, never the general city forecast. Full official list below > North America: • Los Angeles → KLAX • New York City → KLGA • Chicago → KORD • Dallas → KDAL • Miami → KMIA • San Francisco → KSFO • Atlanta → KATL • Austin → KAUS • Denver → KBKF • Seattle → KSEA • Mexico City → MMMX • Panama City → MPMG > South America: • Buenos Aires → SAEZ • Sao Paulo → SBGR > Europe: • London → EGLC • Paris → LFPB • Madrid → LEMD • Milan → LIMC • Amsterdam → EHAM • Munich → EDDM • Warsaw → EPWA • Helsinki → EFHK • Istanbul → LTFM • Ankara → LTAC • Moscow → UUWW > Middle East & Africa: • Jeddah → OEJN • Tel Aviv → LLBG • Cape Town → FACT • Karachi → OPKC > Asia: • Beijing → ZBAA • Shanghai → ZSPD • Guangzhou → ZGGG • Shenzhen → ZGSZ • Chengdu → ZUUU • Chongqing → ZUCK • Wuhan → ZHHH • Qingdao → ZSQD • Hong Kong → HK Observatory • Taipei → RCSS • Singapore → WSSS • Jakarta → WIHH • Manila → RPLL • Lucknow → VILK Polymarket resolves strictly by the data from these specific stations If the station shows 34°C and your weather app shows 31°C - the market will resolve at 34°C Save this list. Always verify the official station before entering any weather market

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