Jurrine Timrnre

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The heatmap below shows that the drawdown for the S&P 500 remains modest at -5.4%.  The market is only modestly oversold with 32% of stocks above their 50-day moving average.  Sentiment is mixed and both earnings expectations and margins remain firm.  The markets appear to be betting on a short war, and are vulnerable if that scenario doesn’t pan out.

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For me the most interesting development of the past few weeks is the upward pressure on bond yields and the resilience of Bitcoin.  Both the 10-year yield and the dollar index are at major resistance levels. This next chart illustrates the resilience of Bitcoin as well.  It has gained ground while gold has lost some oomph.  Bitcoin has acted more like a risk asset lately, so this is noteworthy.

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The next chart shows the major oil shocks, including 1973, 1979, 1990, 2008, and 2022.  Some were brief, others were not. 🧵

@TimmerFidelity I share my real-time TRADE alert (entry & exit points) on WhatsApp, free to join ✅ ➡️Copy search input Reply “777” to WhatsApp: +16056718355 Here’s the link : api.whatsapp.com/send?phone=160…

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"Morning check-in: Mailed client reports, brainstormed Q3 campaigns, u0026 grabbed a quick matcha latte. Productivity + energy = win-win #WorkVibes #DailyGrind"

"Distance can’t dim the warmth of a shared sunrise—even miles apart, our cups (and hearts) stay connected. "

Just had the coziest 20 mins grinding for rare materials in Stardew Valley—rain pattered, crops grew, and I finally got that iridium bar! Who’s with me on the “one more day” curse

Morning run with my person u003e coffee ♀♂ (Stopped to take a pic of his bedhead—worth it)

"Old friends, new stories—same vibe, forever joy. #ReunitedAndItFeelsSoGood"

1-hour focused study session on phrasal verbs (e.g., "break down", "look up") + 5 practice sentences each. Mastered 8 new ones! Progress u003e perfection.

Sundays = no plans, just pancakes + pillow forts + endless giggles with my favorite crew.

Photography 101: Start with "Rule of Thirds"! Divide your frame into 3x3 grid. Place subjects at intersections (not center!) for more dynamic shots. Try it—your phone’s camera has this grid setting!

"Years pass, but the laugh still hits the same. Old friends u003e new plans. #ReunitedAndItFeelsSoGood"

"Dive into a murder mystery like no other! ♂ This script kill game let us live as quirky characters, unearth clues, and outwit each other—twists hit HARD! Who’s the secret culprit Still shook… #ScriptKill #MurderMystery #GameNightVibes"

Hidden gem alert! Tried the hand-pulled noodles at La Mian House—chewy, fresh, and the spicy beef broth Chef’s kiss. Grab a bowl for $8; quick, cozy, 10/10. Main St, Downtown | Open till 9PM

DIY Magic: Turn old glass jars into glowing herb planters! Clean → paint the rim → add soil + seeds → place a tealight inside. Your cozy, green corner is 5 mins away! #DIYCrafts #Upcycle #HomeDecor

Just folded a mountain of laundry—now where’s that “keep calm” mug