Bond Capital retweetledi
Bank of Japan postpones rate rise after Middle East war erupts ft.trib.al/ScedUwg
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Bond Capital
1.6K posts
Bond Capital
@BondCapital
Private Equity Fund specializing in private debt and mezzanine debt with equity. Fill your business finance gap with subordinated debt and structured equity.
Vancouver, Canada Katılım Ocak 2011
225 Takip Edilen386 Takipçiler
Bond Capital retweetledi
Text of the Bank of Canada's latest interest rate decision bnnbloomberg.ca/business/2026/…
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The Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to keep the interest rate at 3.75%.
Find out more: bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-polic…
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The 2 year U.S. Treasury yield has risen 50 basis points in less than three weeks.
It now suggests one Fed HIKE may be coming.
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Jobs and inflation expectations causing consternation for the nation
Federal Reserve@federalreserve
Chair Powell reads opening statement at the #FOMC press conference on March 18, 2026: youtube.com/shorts/bKnYvBe…
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Oaktree’s Danielle Poli says the moment for the distressed debt shop to scoop up the asset class in droves isn’t here yet as global credit markets remain relatively resilient bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Now on the other hand… $200 oil will be a systemic risk
Andy Constan@dampedspring
On the private credit kerfluffle. Doesn't seem like a systemic risk to the banking industry to us. @DanielSimonyi and DSData with the charts
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Unwinding special treatment… never should have been done in the first place
Mohamed A. El-Erian@elerianm
Following JPMorgan’s announcement earlier this week (please see earlier post), here’s Bloomberg on “back leverage:” “Private credit funds, already on the defensive amid an unprecedented investor exodus and a number of defaulting borrowers, are now bracing for a battle with their go-to lenders: major banks.” #economy #markets #privatecredit #banks
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The Strait of Hormuz crisis is exposing a harsh reality: the global “oil glut” never really existed. Even a 400M-barrel SPR release failed to push prices lower, signaling a structurally tight market with limited spare capacity. #OilMarkets #EnergySecurity #OPEC
oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-O…
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Before there was private credit there was C&I lending. Even if PC losses were 10x ever seen in all of history, it would still be irrelevant from a macro perspective.
x.com/BobEUnlimited/…
Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited
@DumbInvestorGuy In the most extreme scenario (say 25% losses on the whole 1.3tln industry in the US), the losses on private credit will be less than a 1 day standard deviation in the US stock market.
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Higher debt, worse demographics, and an increasingly large government sector...
We simply do not have the conditions to sustain positive real interest rates anymore.
This dynamic favors speculators over savers.
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The current oil shock is at least 10x more important to the economy than all the possible losses in private credit.
Thanks for coming to my TED talk.
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While folks fall all over each other to claim private credit losses will be a systemic crisis, the losses math just doesn't work out. And importantly, the vast majority of the risk is held by unlevered investors vs 30:1 levered banks back in '08.
x.com/BobEUnlimited/…
Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited
@DumbInvestorGuy In the most extreme scenario (say 25% losses on the whole 1.3tln industry in the US), the losses on private credit will be less than a 1 day standard deviation in the US stock market.
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You get a different result from the CME tool (derived from a simple probability-weighted average) if you use options prices in the Atlanta Fed's tracker
As of Friday, options prices implied a rate hike had risen to around 23%, from 8% a week earlier atlantafed.org/research-and-d…
Sonu Varghese@sonusvarghese
Baffling to me that the probability of a rate hike in 2026 is zero Why shouldn’t the Fed even consider thinking about rate hikes. Not saying they should hike but surely a hike shouldn’t be completely off the table. Especially since there’s no prospect of fiscal deficits easing
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Strong investment grade credit sailing into the saaspocalypse
Financial Times@FT
Investors demand steep concessions in Salesforce’s $25bn bond deal ft.trib.al/1EmLMFi
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