Tony G
3.2K posts



EXCLUSIVE: Jeff Probst slams prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket for allowing users to make trades about who won “Survivor” 50, saying that the companies are “incentivizing people to lie, cheat and steal to get ahead.” “They have figured out a way to capitalize on [the show],” he tells Variety. “It doesn’t sit well with me as a human. I get it — they built a great business. They don’t care. I’m not happy about it.” “Clearly, if 90% of the people are voting for somebody, there’s a leak. But to look at us, the producers, as though we have a problem, is the mirror pointing in the wrong direction,” he says. “[Prediction market platforms] are the ones with the problem, not us. We went and made our show in a vacuum, and we keep it very tightly contained, but if you are foolish and naive enough to not think that somebody might leak it, that’s your problem.” variety.com/2026/tv/news/s…


On Aliens, Survivor, and The Bachelorette (so far). TL;DR: Just because someone has a large position in a market or traders follow rumors online does not mean they’re insider trading. Aliens, Survivor, and Bachelorette markets - we’re investigating all of them, and so far, we have not found compelling evidence of insider trading or market manipulation. However, these markets are not closed, and our monitoring and analysis continues. Aliens A few weeks ago The Atlantic posted an article titled "This Looks Like an Insider Bet on Aliens." The story focused on trades by a user who is wagering that by the end of the year, the U.S. government will confirm aliens exist. According to The Atlantic, due to the size of the trades it might be someone with "insider knowledge." But we investigated this position, including document requests and an interview with the trader. (He gave us permission to make this post). There is no evidence the trader has insider information. He's tired of trading stocks; he doesn't feel they are accurately priced. While looking for markets he felt he had an edge on, he found Kalshi's alien market. He developed a researched thesis for why the U.S. government might be on the verge of confirming alien existence (including recent document releases, new comments by President Obama, President Trump's response to those comments, etc.) and felt the position was underpriced. He doesn’t know whether the government will confirm anything or not, but based on public information and research, he considers his position a good one. Survivor and The Bachelorette Pre-taped shows mean that people have knowledge of what happens before the show airs - including contestants and production staff. But they typically sign legal documents preventing them from telling people - otherwise, shows would constantly be spoiled for everybody. Using that information for profit is not allowed. This week there was a New York Times article titled “People Are Making Money Betting on Pretaped ‘Survivor’ Episodes” that suggested insider trading is happening with our Survivor markets. We’ve investigated and, so far, have not found definitive evidence of that. We’ve been checking backgrounds of traders in this market and have not identified anyone with any connection to Survivor. After reviewing the trading activity, it appears the likeliest explanation is that traders are following public rumors, following other traders who placed trades in the opening hours of the market, or just trading based on research and conviction. Same scenario for The Bachelorette, and same conclusion thus far. It seems that Reality Steve’s site posts spoilers that tend to be right. People can look at those predictions, then place trades on prediction markets. That’s not insider trading. Still, we are continuing to monitor these markets and analyze trading patterns, and we will take action if we find anything anomalous.


The two 2 million dollar games really could not be any more different 😭😭 #Survivor #Survivor50


Chelsea Handler is sharing her distaste for Shane Gillis and Tony Hinchcliffe‘s jokes at Netflix‘s Roast of Kevin Hart, slamming them as “racist,” “bigots” and “sexist.” bit.ly/4tQem7c







Today's #Survivor Winners Bracket matchup. The Finals! It's Todd vs. Parvati! VOTE AT LINK: ew.com/best-survivor-…



Game Of Thrones ended 7 years ago today. Here is my annual tweet saying that this finale gets way too much hate. Every character winds up perfectly where they’re supposed to in the end. That is all.



NFL owners have approved increasing the maximum number of league-run international games per season from 8 to 10 beginning in 2027. That maximum does not include the Jaguars-run game in London.








