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155 posts


@bottomisin @sagsan2012 One week at a time with a a slight forecast. Shits moving at rapid rates even multi-decade economists and scratching heads
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That’s my take? Or maybe that’s just the way the sheet was made and I spoke about that hundreds of times through the bull market.
You just don’t want to hear that.
Your opinion dude. I called plenty of things correctly over the years. Yes I thought we’d push into another 4 year cycle blow off top in H2 of 2025. I admit I got that wrong.
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@noBScrypto @sagsan2012 Nah that’s your take since you’re selling the product to make money
None of the forecasts came remotely close lol
You shouldn’t be selling anything or advising anyone tbh
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No it didn’t. If you understood how it worked it was only ever a ceiling. Forecasted market growth and dominance, it was entirely designed for a bull market not an oracle telling people that a crash was coming and to sell coins at 20% profit. That tool would be something any sane person wouldn’t offer anyone.
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@noBScrypto @sagsan2012 kyren how’s your pf projection excel file now.. that really fked a lot of people
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@sagsan2012 I’ll make a video on my thoughts for tomorrow mate! Might be more than meets the eye
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@Peter_thoc But Peter isn’t this because silver retraced hard today
It just means relative performance and they are both going down
Doesn’t necessarily mean money is rotating into ETH?
🥲
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@ColinTCrypto just wondering then Colin, ur still 100% btc no cash
How come? If you believe top is most likely in
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To bring some clarity to my short term and medium term outlooks for BTC...
🔸 SHORT TERM (Next 1 month):
I am 50%/50% on this time frame. I could equally see BTC bouncing and heading to the 50 week MA ($100k+) for a larger relief rally (as $98k was sorta wimpy), as I could see it breaking down and dropping to lower lows immediately. No strong opinion on this time frame, as it seems not super clear. Because of this, I am basically waiting for a breakout in some direction, taking out local lows ($80k) or highs (~$99k) for confirmation. White arrows drawn show this short term uncertainty.
🔹 MEDIUM TERM (Next 2-8 months):
I am still of the opinion the BTC top was more likely Oct 2025 than not. I give 75% chance the top is in and a 25% chance it could go higher. Would be happy to be on the losing side of these odds. Pink arrows drawn show this 75% scenario.
Medium-term I have a pretty clear opinion. Short term I do not. It's best to admit to oneself when one needs more confirmation.
There are a ton of metrics out there, a ton of indicators and a ton of ways of looking at all of this, but the above are my current views on both time frames. I present this because know it can be confusing when one toggles analyses between time-frames, so I wanted to be clear.

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@nottellingyou73 Fk you resorting to engage farming now or have gone insane. Disappointed.
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@Hossbone @theo_crypto99 He doesn’t give an opinion. It’s easy to be spot on when you just report what has already happened
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Bitcoin Update
Bitcoin will reclaim the 50 week moving average at $101K
Everyone will be screaming “bull market back on” & “supercycle”
It will trade above the 50 week moving average for about 2-3 weeks to make everyone believe “it’s just cooling off before the next leg up”
Then boom. Hammer down for rest of year
Will probably go down to $60-$65K
If I’m wrong and Bitcoin makes a new ATH this year, I’ll send $1K in USDC to someone in the comments
Not Telling@nottellingyou73
Everyone thinks “this time is different” But it’s not. Same story, different year
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@benjamincowen say some nice things for once PLEASE BEN
every post of yours makes me so sad
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Stablecoin dominance following the path...
Drops back to the bull market support band as BTC runs towards its own bull market support band.
Of course, anything is possible, but strong chance stablecoin dominance stabilizes in the coming weeks before moving higher.

Benjamin Cowen@benjamincowen
After the current consolidation, it looks like stablecoin dominance will go higher into the summer months
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Ok may I ask you some more insights on below since I really respect your views.
- what specific conditions at 100-105k would confirm to you that it is a trap rather than a continuation? liquidity, positioning, macro or market structure? or do you just firmly believe? i know we don't know for sure.
- if global liquidity and fed balance sheet are expanding into 2026 (confirmed), what mechanism do you see that override that and turn 100-105k into a macro top?
- do you think this trap (midterm year thesis) is short lived as in weeks or structural as in months?
- what would make you abandon your bull trap thesis and accept that 100-105k is the start of the real leg?
I'm just struggling to ignore factors like ISM>50, financial conditions easing and liquidity turning v.s. weak midterm-year weakness thesis
ty!🔮🔮🔮
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@bottomisin Midterm election years are the weakest for every presidential term and post midterms are the strongest gains in every presidential term
Like it or not but crypto needs the stock market to go risk on before a full blown alt szn
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Did you bookmark the below?
Don’t get greedy above $100K-$105K 🔮
Not Telling@nottellingyou73
🚨 BTC Update Bitcoin is going to trade sideways here between $86K and $97K until 2026 Some time in Q1 2026 BTC will have a final exit pump to $107K to $112K Alts will have a mini alt szn during this time (I expect it to last 3-4 weeks) DCA into alts now and sell when that comes in Q1 2026 Then we go down to $50K-$60K and trade in this range for months Late Q3 or early Q4 2026 BTC bottom and 2027 BTC moves up aggressively Bookmark this 🔮
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@Sykodelic_ My god I hope you are right. I’m in very much in agreement with all your thesis…
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I have put forward my thesis in detail now.
Bottoms take time to form, and each move higher or lower should be dictating your daily mood.
A lot of manipulation and liquidity hunting goes on within this bottoming formations as we have witnessed over and over these last few weeks.
If you believe we are in a full blown bear, it wont matter what I say.
But if you believe we are going to have a bullish 2026, you simply must just wait out the bottoming formation and DCA your bags when possible.
Each time we have had a Death cross during this cycle it has taken a maximum of 45 days to begin to reverse again.
Currently we are at 33 days.
If you are not a trader, do not get caught up with daily moves. Focus on the bigger picture and have patience.
I understand having patience is the hardest thing to do here, but it is why it is so important.
If you have followed my content you will understand why I am very bullish for 2026.

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@martypartymusic No matter how BTC goes. The debt is still 35T USD. The debtors still wants USD, so how does the US government pay them?
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