Brian Winter retweetledi
Brian Winter
32.1K posts

Brian Winter
@BrazilBrian
Latin American politics & barbecue. Editor-in-chief @amerquarterly "O mais brasileiro dos texanos." Opinions mine.
Nova Iorque Katılım Aralık 2010
3K Takip Edilen92.9K Takipçiler
Brian Winter retweetledi

This account is extraordinary
ArtButMakeItSports@ArtButSports
Napoleon, by Emanuel Bachrach-Barée, early 20th century
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Brian Winter retweetledi

Washington’s heavy-handed approach to Latin America “has produced some results for Trump, at least in the short term,” writes @BrazilBrian. But certain policymakers in the region “warn of a backlash in the long run.”
foreignaffairs.com/americas/trump…
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@Arturo_Sarukhan Thank you. In the article itself, I was a bit more cautious, sourcing the “unprecedented” description to officials in both countries. Obvious incentives for them to say this but I will say I was surprised to hear same from people with 20 yrs or more of experience. Saludos
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Good piece, but I disagree with the characterization of cooperation with Mexico; "unprecedented" yes, if solely measured against the Lopez Obrador six-year term. Certainly not if you compare it with what we were doing together during the Bush and Obama administrations between 2006-2012; it went beyond just drugs and thugs; counternarcotics cooperation became the midwife for expanded North American, hemispheric and global security issues and intelligence-sharing.
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Trump Is Remaking Latin America
At a time when the president’s war on Iran looks like a miscalculation of historic proportions, and when his rhetoric, tariffs, and other actions have alienated traditional U.S. allies in many parts of the world, Latin America stands out as the foreign policy sphere in which Trump has enjoyed the most success in advancing his agenda.
- Unprecedented security cooperation from Mexico
- Setbacks for China in Mexico, Panama, Chile & elsewhere
- U.S. treasury rescue probably changed history in Argentina
- Basically picked a president in Honduras
- Venezuela
- Aligned leaders being elected everywhere
Yet some Latin American policymakers, even as they acknowledge Trump’s victories, warn of an emerging backlash to Washington's heavy hand. In a recent meeting, the foreign minister of a Latin American government aligned with Trump told me with palpable anger: “We will not be anyone’s vassal.”
With major decisions still to come on Cuba, Mexico, and Venezuela, the return of U.S. interventionism in the 21st century may ultimately have the opposite effect that Trump wants: driving the region away from the United States and into the arms of China.

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My new article for Foreign Affairs, gift link:
foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/red…
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Brian Winter retweetledi

PLEASE LISTEN TO THE TELEMUNDO CALL OF MESSI'S GAME-TYING GOAL 🗣️
#FIFAWorldCup | #Argentina
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Brian Winter retweetledi

O cinturão agrícola do Brasil “vende para a China sem confiar nela, aceita as regras europeias sem adotá-las e confia nos EUA sem depender deles comercialmente. Isso coloca o Brasil em uma situação de interdependência sem alinhamento, na qual a influência econômica não se traduz automaticamente em confiança política”.
Brian Winter@BrazilBrian
Brazil’s FGV school decided to poll 1,000 people in the country’s farm belt to see which superpower they trusted more: China or the U.S. China has been Brazil’s largest trading partner since 2009, with trade reaching $171 billion last year. And the survey took place during Trump’s massively unpopular 50% tariff And yet:
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@BrazilBrian The way i see it this is quite an accomplishmente for China. Given the level of pro US media and coverage that exists, and anti china propaganda as well, these numbers are very similar.
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Brazil’s FGV school decided to poll 1,000 people in the country’s farm belt to see which superpower they trusted more: China or the U.S.
China has been Brazil’s largest trading partner since 2009, with trade reaching $171 billion last year. And the survey took place during Trump’s massively unpopular 50% tariff
And yet:

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Brazil’s farm belt “sells to China without trusting it, accepts European rules without embracing them, and trusts the U.S. without depending on it commercially. This leads Brazil into a situation of interdependence without alignment, in which economic influence does not automatically translate into political trust,” write Matias Spektor & co-authors for AQ
americasquarterly.org/article/china-…
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Verdade, que desgraça perder nos 16avos de final para um pequeno país europeu
Cristiano Romero@CristianoRomero
Americano não sabe matar a bola, não sabe passar, não sabe cabecear e, principalmente, não sabe driblar. Futebol não é com eles. Ponto.
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@BrazilBrian Brian, só a sua preocupação de mostrar que a foto não é a do jogo de ontem e que não é pé frio mostra que já é um pouco brasileiro... Rs
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In 2002 I was living as a reporter in Buenos Aires when Brazil made it to the World Cup final -- for the 3rd straight time. A friend and I spontaneously bought tickets to Rio so we could be there for the celebration when they inevitably won. A big beery sea of yellow & green revelers on Copacabana chanting "Pen-ta-campe-ÃO!" My first lesson in a vowel sound I am still trying to master to this day. The initial seduction in a long romance with Brazil.
*Never* did I imagine so much time would pass before seeing a similar party. At LEAST 28 years will pass before the "hexa," matching Brazil's longest drought from 1st Cup in 1930 to the magical 1958 run when a 17-year-old Pelé set the world on fire.
Then, as during the 24-year drought from Pelé's last Cup until the 1994 win, I see all kinds of theories about Brazil's decay in both soccer & other areas. I am not a specialist in the técnica of the sport, but I did see a lack of big, confident personalities on this team -- Vini, Jr, and 10 other guys, it seemed. You read about Romario, Ronaldinho, Socrates, Carlos Alberto, Zico, etc, and I never had many expectations for this group. Neymar was never up to it, too fragile, sneering, symbolic of an era that now ends.
Brazil will do the inevitable soul-searching and some of it's necessary. (NORWAY?? 5 mln people, a quarter of São Paulo) I would personally like to see a little more celebration, or at least awareness, of the history. A generation of players that mostly snubbed Pelé's funeral (as Lula recently noted with appropriate pique) may be symbolic of a need to reconnect with the creativity & verve that made Brazil great. So many good things happening in the country today, would be great to see soccer again at the same altura so my Brazilian kids can celebrate like I once did ;) VIVA.
PS photo is from the Morocco game, not yesterday. I am not pé frio.

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